Writing Tips for Ph. D. Students John H. Cochrane Graduate School of Business University of Chicago 5807 S. Woodlawn Chicago IL 60637. 773 702 3059.

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Presentation transcript:

Writing Tips for Ph. D. Students John H. Cochrane Graduate School of Business University of Chicago 5807 S. Woodlawn Chicago IL ch/Papers/ June 8, 2005 Always put your contact info on the front page so that people can find your paper and send you comments It’s the 21st century — get a web page. If your paper is ready for a faculty member to read it, it should be on your webpage. Put the date on the paper so people know if they are reading a new version.

Organization What is your contribution Figure out the one central and novel contribution of your paper Write it down in one paragraph It must be concrete Explain what the central results are Bad Example “I analyzed data on executive compensation and found many interesting results.” Good Example Fama and French 1992 start their abstract with: “Two easily measured variables, size and book-to-market equity, combine to capture the cross-sectional variation in average stock returns associated with market β, size, leverage, book-to-market equity, and earnings-price ratios.”

Organization Know your readers Your readers are busy and impatient No reader will ever read the whole thing from start to finish Readers skim You have to make it easy for them to skim. Most readers want to know your basic result Only a few care how it is different from others Only a few care if it holds up with different variable definitions, different instrument sets, etc

Organization Organize the paper in “triangular” or “newspaper” style, not in “joke” or “novel” style. Start by the main contribution or findings Then fill in background later for the readers who kept going and want more details. 1 2 “triangular” or “newspaper” style

Organization Abstract Most journals allow words. Obey this limit now The main function of the abstract is to communicate the one central and novel contribution out You should not mention other literature in the abstract Abstract must be concrete. Say what you find, not what you look for Don’t write “data are analyzed, theorems are proved, discussion is made..”

Organization Introduction The introduction should start with what you do in this paper, the major contribution Don’t just state your conclusion. Give the fact behind that result You must explain your contribution so that people can understand it Bad Example “My results show that the pecking-order theory is rejected.” Good Example “My results show that the pecking-order theory is rejected. In a regression of x on y, controlling for z, the coefficient is q.”

Organization Introduction The first sentence is the hardest Do not start with philosophy Your paper must be interesting on its own, and not just because lots of other people wasted space on the subject Do not start with a long motivation of how important the issue is to public policy Start with your central contribution Bad Example “Financial economists have long wondered if markets are efficient.” “The finance literature has long been interested in x.” Good Example The Anatomy of Value and Growth Stock Returns Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French Value stocks (those with low ratios of price to book value) have higher average returns than growth stocks (high P/Bs). Our goal is a better understanding of the sources of this value premium in returns. The one-period simple return on a stock from t to t + 1 (Rt+1) is commonly broken into a dividend return (Dt+1/Pt) and a capital gain return (Pt+1/Pt): To better understand the average returns of value and growth stocks, we examine the sources of capital gain. In our initial tests, we break the capital gain return into two pieces. The first is the growth rate of book equity, primarily from earnings retention. Capital gains from earnings retention follow from the dividend irrelevance theorem of Miller and Modigliani (1961). Specifically, an additional dollar of time t + 1 earnings retained rather than distributed as dividends should result in an additional dollar of capital value for old shareholders at t + 1. Breaking the growth rate of book equity (Bt+1/Bt) out of the capital gain return (Pt+1/Pt) leaves the growth rate of the price-to-book ratio (that is, Pt+1/Bt+1 ÷ Pt/Bt) as the remaining (multiplicative) piece of the capital gain return:

Organization Introduction Three pages is a good upper limit for the introduction I don’t write a “roadmap” paragraph: “Section 2 sets out the model, section 3 discusses identification, section 4 gives the main results, section 5 checks for robustness, section 6 concludes.” It seems a waste of space; readers will figure it out when they get there And I save a paragraph against the editor’s page count Make your own mind up about this question; but realize it’s not mandatory Another alternative The Anatomy of Value and Growth Stock Returns Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French Our story proceeds as follows. We first discuss what motivates the breakdown of returns into dividends and capital gains from growth in book equity and growth in P/B, and we address estimation issues. We then present estimates of the breakdown for value and growth portfolios. Finally, we examine the more detailed breakdown of capital gain returns that splits growth in P/B between convergence and drift.

Organization Literature Review Do not start your introduction with a page and a half of other literature First explain your contribution, then you can write a brief literature review Make it a separate section of otherwise set it off so people can skip it who aren’t interested Remember, it will be very hard for people to understand how your paper is different from others’ given that they don’t understand your paper yet, and most of them have not read the other papers.

Organization Literature Review Be generous in your citations It is not necessary to cite every single paper in the literature The main point of the literature review should be to set your paper off against the 2 or 3 closest current papers, And to give proper credit to people who deserve priority for things that might otherwise seem new in your paper. Good Example The Anatomy of Value and Growth Stock Returns Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French The rational view of asset pricing outlined above has a well- known competitor. Behaviorists such as Lakonishok, Shleifer, and Vishny (1994) argue that the higher average returns of value stocks relative to growth stocks stem from irrational pricing. Their story centers on convergence.

Organization Literature Review Some people worry a lot about strategic citations; choosing citations to hint to editors who they should assign as referees and adding loads of citations to make sure referees see themselves. Whatever one thinks of these practices, we can agree you should get rid of all the fluff in the final version

Organization Body of the paper Your task now is to get to the central result as fast as possible Most papers do precisely the opposite Bad Example They have a long motivation, a long literature review, a big complex model that then gets ignored, descriptive statistics, preliminary results, a side discussion or two and then finally Table 12 of “main estimates.” And by then we’re all

Organization Body of the paper Here’s the rule: There should be nothing before the main result that a reader does not need to know in order to understand the main result.

Organization Theory In most papers, the “main result” is empirical The theory is there to help understand the empirical work the theory must be the minimum required for the reader to understand the empirical results

Organization Empirical work Start with the main result. Follow the main result with graphs and tables that give intuition, showing how the main result is a robust feature of compelling stylized facts in the data Follow that with limited responses to potential criticisms and robustness checks Most of those should end up in your appendix.

Organization Conclusion Conclusions should be short and sweet Do not restate all of your findings You can include a short paragraph or two acknowledging limitations, suggesting implications beyond those in the paper And don’t speculate; the reader wants to know your facts not your opinions.

Organization Conclusion Really, a conclusions section should not be necessary. If you did a good job of explaining your contribution in understandable prose in the introduction, and then documenting those claims in the body of the paper, (writing in good triangular style), then saying it all over again is pointless. “I tried omitting the conclusions section a few times, though, and this was too radical for editors and referees. It is true that some people skip to the conclusion to look for the main result, but that’s because they are used to authors who don’t explain it well enough in the introduction” Example The Anatomy of Value and Growth Stock Returns paper of Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French