Monetary policy decision 8 October 2008
The financial crisis may worsen Reinforces the ongoing economic downturn Resulting in lower inflationary pressures
Repo rate cut by 0.5 percentage points Alleviates the consequences of the financial crisis Inflationary pressures beginning to decline Credit crunch over and above the repo rate Joint action reinforces confidence
Spreads continuing to rise Note. Basis spread = Interbank rate – expected policy rate (STINA-rate), 3 months, basis points
Tightening in short-term mortgage rates over and above the effects of monetary policy Note. The difference beween variable mortgage rates and expected policy rate (STINA rate), percentage points
Weakening of Swedish krona Note. TCW index, 18 November 1992=100
GDP and employment forecasts… General economic slowdown Financial crisis Exchange rate Oil and commodity prices..probably need to be revised down
Purchasing managers’ index at lowest level since start in 1994 Note. Manufacturing industry, seasonally-adjusted index and net figures
Clearer signs of weakening in the labour market Note. 1000s, seasonally-adjusted data Probably high in September
Inflation forecast… Weaker economic activity Oil and commodity prices Exchange rate ….will probably be revised down
Lower oil prices (Brent, in USD)
The Economist commodity price index (in USD)
Repo rate cut by 0.5 percentage points Alleviates consequences of the financial crisis Inflationary pressures beginning to decline Credit crunch over and above the repo rate Joint action reinforces confidence