Racing Flow TM January 8, 2014
A Brief History of Racing Flow TM Phil Gregoire 30y handicapper with 25y in construction industry R Jake Jacobs 40y handicapper with 35y in pharmaceutical industry Timeline Research into “pace makes the race” analyses – 2003 Calculation of figures for own handicapping – 2005 Private sales of figures – 2007 Website established – 2008 Litfin & Horseplayer Magazine articles – 2009 Virginia Incorporation – 2009 Subscriber growth each of past 4 years
Racing Flow TM Figures FLOW Did the race shape favor speed vs. closers? Range -300 to +300 BIAS Did the surface favor speed vs. closers? Range -300 to +300 CFR (closer favorability ratio) Did the combined effects of FLOW & BIAS favor speed vs. closers? Range (percentile ranks) BL12 Lengths the winner raced from the lead at the first two calls, combined. Wire to wire winner = 0.0. A winner 6 lengths back at the first call and 3½ back at the second call receives a figure of 9.5.
Racing Flow TM – Assets Built a 103,000 Race Database Developed software to calculate FLOW, BIAS & CFR figures We don’t sell the software, just the calculated figures Tracks Covered NYRA – Aqueduct, Belmont, Saratoga Kentucky – Keeneland, Churchill Downs, Ellis Park, Turfway Park Chicago – Arlington, Hawthorne South Florida – Gulfstream, Calder Southern California – Hollywood, Santa Anita, Del Mar, Fairplex Others – Woodbine, Monmouth, Oaklawn, Fairgrounds, Indiana Downs
Racing Flow TM – Flow + Bias Report Winner BIAS FLOW BL12 CFR 04/06/2013 Aqu 1 DIRT 6.5 Lovely Syn /06/2013 Aqu 2 DIRT 8.0 Midnight Taboo /06/2013 Aqu 3 TURF 8.5 Front /06/2013 Aqu 4 DIRT 8.0 Withgreatpleasure /06/2013 Aqu 5 DIRT 6.5 Ground Force /06/2013 Aqu 6 DIRT 6.0 Do I Amuse You /06/2013 Aqu 7 TURF 8.5 Gimme Credit /06/2013 Aqu 8 DIRT 9.0 Close Hatches /06/2013 Aqu 9 DIRT 7.0 Declan's Warrior /06/2013 Aqu 10 DIRT 7.0 Swagger Jack /06/2013 Aqu 11 DIRT 9.0 Verrazano /06/2013 Aqu 12 DIRT 8.0 Greeley's Law
Racing Flow TM – Extreme Race Report Winner BIAS FLOW BL12 CFR 04/07/2013 Kee 8 TURF 8.0 Emotional Kitten /06/2013 Crc 1 DIRT 6.5 Kanavayen /06/2013 Crc 6 DIRT 8.0 Riversrunrylee /06/2013 Kee 3 DIRT 8.5 Barrymore /06/2013 Kee 5 DIRT 7.3 Winning Cause /06/2013 OP 3 DIRT 6.0 Midnight Rider /06/2013 SA 3 DIRT 6.0 Declassify /06/2013 SA 10 DIRT 6.5 Points Offbench /05/2013 GP 6 TURF 9.0 Perfect Timber /05/2013 Kee 6 TURF 8.0 I'll Call /05/2013 SA 5 TURF 10.0 The Only Key
Racing Flow TM – Enhanced Running Lines
Racing Flow TM – Graded Report