Historical Texas Drought Update LCRA Firm Water Customer Meeting October 27, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Meteorologist.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Fred Schmude StormWatch Manager ImpactWeather, Inc. Fred specializes in hurricane forecasting, severe thunderstorms, winter.
Advertisements

Update on the Drought of 2011 TWCA Mid Year Conference June 16, 2011 Bob Rose, Meteorologist LCRA.
Drought Update; What’s in Store for 2012 LCRA Firm Water Customer Meeting January 26, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Chief Meteorologist.
Agricultural Outlook Forum Crystal Gateway Marriott Hotel February 24, 2012 Brad Rippey Agricultural Meteorologist USDA/OCE/WAOB Washington, D.C.
2014 Summer Weather Outlook Temperatures, Precipitation, Drought, and Hurricanes.
Mojave Desert Katherine Semone Dejana Skopljak Kim Sandova Jenna Rimensnyder.
A Look Back at 2011/ A Look Ahead at 2012 John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service Little Rock, Arkansas.
Matt Masek NWS Meteorologist, WFO North Platte, NE May 25, 2011.
Historical Texas Drought Update TAIA El Campo Meeting October 18, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Meteorologist.
HOW TO MAKE A CLIMATE GRAPH CLIMATE GRAPHING ASSIGNMENT PT.2.
REDUX: REMAKES, REVIVALS AND RECREATIONS 12 TH ANNUAL CASE CONFERENCE.
Weather Discussion January 4. Year in Review SEATAC HAD THE WARMEST AVERAGE January TEMPERATURE EVER WITH 47.0 DEGREES BREAKING THE PREVIOUS RECORD.
What is El Nino and will it end our drought?. What has caused the drought? We have been experiencing drought conditions since September, We've also.
Texas Drought Update TWCA Mid-Year Conference June 18, 2009 Bob Rose, Meteorologist, Lower Colorado River Authority TWCA Mid-Year Conference.
2015 Summer Weather Outlook Temperatures, Precipitation, Drought, and Hurricanes.
Jeffrey Lindner Meteorologist Harris County Flood Control District October 4, Drought and Outlook.
Water Management Strategies for Drought Mitigation and Sustainable Agricultural Production December 13-14, 2012, Bradford Farm, Columbia, MO Pat Guinan.
Drought and Heat Wave of 2012 Midwest and Great Plains Worst drought since 1956 with ~60% of contiguous U.S. under drought, worst agricultural drought.
BRITISH WEATHER. What is the British weather like? The climate is generally mild and temperate. The temperature is subject of two extremes: it is rarely.
Seasonal Outlook Long Range Forecast
Weather Outlook El Nino effects: Jet Stream shifts southward and across southern California Alex Tardy – NWS San Diego – November 16, 2015.
Northwest Geographic Area Coordination Center Predictive Services Winter of Climate and Significant Fire Potential Outlook Monday December 7.
George A. Galleher, PE Hydro Fleet Operations Duke Energy Carolinas NC Drought Management Council Duke Energy Update March 24, 2011.
NOAA Climate Science & Services Monthly Climate Update A look back at summer and a preview of fall.
Between November and April Antananarivo (Madagascars largest city) receives 55.1 in of rain. I would have thought there would have been more but the facts.
NOPS 2016 PS Weather Operations. ROMAN is GONE! Some workable replacements: MesoWest NWS Plots WIMS DRI.
Water Year 2011: Review of Conditions and Forecasts in the Colorado River Basin CRFS November 8, 2011.
Jan 2016 Solar Lunar Data.
John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service
Summer and fall Weather outlook
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 10/5/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 9/14/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/24/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 7/31/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/31/2017
IRI Multi-model Probability Forecasts
Baltimore.
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 7/24/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/7/2017
ROD'S WINTER FORECAST Rod's Winter Outlook 1 1
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 9/11/2017
Average Monthly Temperature and Rainfall
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 11/2/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 9/7/2017
ND Weekly Drought Update
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 11/30/2017
India’s Summer and Winter Monsoon Seasons
CORPUS CHRISTI CATHOLIC COLLEGE – GEOGRAPHY DEPARTMENT
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 9/21/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 6/29/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 11/9/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 7/27/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 6/19/2017
HOW TO DRAW CLIMATE GRAPHS
ND Weekly Drought Update
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 10/19/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 7/17/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/28/2017
ND Weekly Drought Update
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 10/12/2017
A Climate Study of Daily Temperature Change From the Previous Day
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 7/20/2017
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 9/28/2017
EQ: What is the impact of climate on Georgia’s growth and development?
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 3/1/2018
Month Rainfall (mm) Temp Jan Feb March 34 April 38 May June July
ND Weekly Drought Update
John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service
Objective - To make a line graph.
Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/17/2017
Presentation transcript:

Historical Texas Drought Update LCRA Firm Water Customer Meeting October 27, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Meteorologist

Worst Drought in Texas History “This is state’s most severe one-year drought in recorded history” John Nielsen-Gammon, Texas State Climatologist. Driest October-September on record with 7.18 inches. Normal is Record low was 7.35 inches Oct 1901-Sep 1902.

7.18 in in. Texas Rainfall, Oct.-Sep.

Austin’s Driest 12-Month Period in History 1.OCT TO SEP JAN TO DEC OCT TO SEP OCT TO SEP MAY 1977 TO APR NOV TO OCT JUN TO MAY SEP TO AUG SEP TO AUG OCT TO SEP JUL TO JUN

Rainfall Oct 2010-Sep 2011

Rainfall Departure from Normal October 2010-September 2011

Unprecedented Summer Heat!! !

Temperature Departure from Normal, 6/1-8/31

Unprecedented Summer Heat Second hottest summer ever recorded, for any state. Average temperature 86.7 degrees. (Oklahoma was first with 86.8) Austin recorded its hottest April, July, August and September on record. June was second hottest. Austin recorded 90 days at or above 100 degrees. 165 days at or above 90 degrees.

Rainfall, October 7-9

Going into Second Year of La Niña January 6th October 24th

Typical Patterns Associated with La Niña

La Nina

WetDry

Temperature Precipitation

NWS Winter into Spring Rainfall Outlook

Drought Outlook through January

Jan-March Anomalies Based on 2 nd Year La Niña

April-May Anomalies Based on 2 nd Year La Niña

June-Aug Anomalies Based on 2 nd Year La Niña

Ending Drought in 1 Month

Rain Needed to End the Drought in 6 Months

The 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season

An Active Season, but Not for Texas

Take Home Points No clear end in sight to the ongoing drought; could last well into Scattered rains possible this fall and winter but not heavy enough to temper the drought. Intense droughts are hard to break. Tropical storms rains now not likely. La Niña is back. Late fall and winter expected to be drier than normal. Dry years interspersed with wet years.

Bob Rose Meteorologist, LCRA