Slide: 1 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Guy Seguin (CSA), Chair, CEOS Disaster SBA Team Roadmap for improved disaster management – path forward?

Slide: 2 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Overview Report on December Frascati Meeting Report on Workplan DI Actions Approach for Gap Analysis Disaster Users’ Needs Conclusions Architecture Requirements or Measurements Gap Analysis Results GEOSS Ten-Year Plan Objectives CEOS Disaster Activities Roadmap

Slide: 3 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Frascati Meeting - Objectives Review GEO objectives for disaster management Align CEOS action plan with GEO objectives and improve planification vs list of actions Harmonize CEOS action plan with disaster Charter Develop timeline for roadmap development to achieve GEO 2015 DI Objectives Participants: Michael Tanner (GEO secretariat), Ivan Petiteville (CEOS CEO-ESA), Philippe Bally (ESA – Charter Extension), Francois Boubila (ESA), Lorant Czaran (Head UN-SPIDER office), Steven Hosfors (CNES), Laura Frulla (CONAE), Wolgang Lengert (ESA – INSAR Geohazards), Brian Killough (CEOS SEO, NASA), Shelley Stover (NASA), Claus Zehner (ESA – co-chair ACC and Volcanic Ash)

Slide: 4 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 GEOSS Targets and Achievements By 2015: More timely dissemination of data in support of full cycle of disaster management at local, national and regional levels Development of a multi-hazard, end-to-end approach for disasters Support implementation of Hyogo Framework

Slide: 5 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 CEOS Contribution to GEO Disaster Tasks DI-06-09: Use of Satellites for Risk Management DI-09-01: Systematic Monitoring for Geohazards Risk Assessment o a) Vulnerability Mapping and Risk Assessment o b) Seismographic Networks Improvement and Coordination DI-09-02: Multi-Risk Management and Regional Applications o a) Implementation of a Multi-Risk Management Approach o b) Regional End-to-End Disaster Management Applications DI-09-03: Warning Systems for Disasters o a) Tsunami Early Warning System of Systems o b) Implementation of a Wildland Fire Warning System at Global Level

Slide: 6 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Disaster Management Roadmap 10/09 10/10 10/11 Use of satellites for risk management Multi hazard end-to-end plan development Gap analysis Recommendations to CEOS Action plan to address Gap Timely dissemination of Data (WGISS) Risk Mapping and Assessment INSAR Super sites Volcanic ash Regional End-to-end demonstrations Caribbean Flood Pilot African Flood/Disease Pilot Warning Systems Operational Fire Warning X

Slide: 7 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 OPEN Disaster Actions DI-06-09_7 Process Modelling for earthquakes, fires and floods DI-06-09_8 Satellite Systems Architecture for Disaster Management DI-09-01a_4 Data for Geohazards Supersites DI-09-02a_2 Global Operational Volcanic Ash Alert DI-09-02b_2 Caribbean Satellite Disaster Pilot DI-09-02b_3 African Flood and Health Pilot DI-09-03b_2 Global Geostationary and Polar Orbiting Fire Warning System 2012 – 2015 activities to be defined in 2011 workplan

Slide: 8 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 CLOSED Disaster Actions DI-06-09_5 Charter Meta Data Catalogue: CNES has completed catalogue based on CNES contributed data. DI-06-09_6 Improved Charter Access: Charter Board has established new mechanisms on regional basis to improve access. ESA conducting African study. DI-09-01a_2 Action Plan for increased INSAR data use: task has migrated to Geohazard Supersite activity (_4) DI-09-01a_3 Operational INSAR use in Canada: initial milestones achieved; task does not involve multiple CEOS agencies and will be monitored directly by CCRS DI-09-02b_1 Contribute satellite data to regional pilots: task has been split into separate Caribbean and Southern African tasks (_2 and _ 3) DI-09-03b_3 Operational Geostationary Fire Warning for GOES, MTSAT and MSG: system up and running at NOAA – new work to focus on integrating polar measurements (_2) See CEOS Disaster SBA Team Website for presentations on closed actions

Slide: 9 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Develop a Data Dissemination model to integrate and make use of existing technologies within WGISS/CEOS, i.e. sensor web, web service, grid, and clearing house for disaster response Implement a prototype to demonstrate use of these integrated technologies for Disaster Response WGISS and Disasters – DI-06-09_7

Slide: 10 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Geohazards SuperSites Active VolcanoesSeismic FaultsLandslide prone Areas Areas subject to subsidence Best Candidates Mauna Loa, Kilauea, Hawaii (USA) Etna (I) Vesuvius / Campi Flegrei (I) Tokyo (Japan) Istanbul (Turkey) Los Angeles, US Vancouver (CA) Landslides prone areas in: Ecuador Japan Italy Pakistan (Quetta) India Cities (3): Amsterdam Mexico Jakarta Mining sites (2): Poland Loraine (France) Other Candidates Nyiragongo (Congo) Yellowstone (US) Piton de la Fournaise (Fr) Iceland volcanoes Sakurajima, Miyake-Jima (Japan) Main Japanese Islands African Rift Valley San Francisco (US) Bam (Iran) Sumatra (Indonesia) full Italy / Greece ….suggestions? Initial system Envisaged enlarged system Geo-hazard Super Sites – DI-09-01a_4 Provision of SAR and INSAR Data over the Geohazard Supersites

Slide: 11 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Eruption of Etna (Italy) on 27 Oct ACC for Volcanic Ash Monitoring – DI a_2 Demonstrate global operational volcanic ash alert system for aviation hazard avoidance. Improved algorithms, improved data latency, and addition of EUMETSAT/SEVIRI data.

Slide: 12 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Caribbean Satellite Disaster Pilot – DI b_2 Phase 1: o Hurricane warning, response and recovery at Caribbean-wide level: use of Sensor Web to predict flooded areas; near real-time acquisition of optical, thermal infrared, and radar satellite data; post event mapping o Mitigation activities with five national partners (Barbados, British Virgin Islands, Grenada, Jamaica, Saint-Lucia): satellite data archive mining, background mission imaging, collaboration at national and local level, six regional projects  Sensorweb, Coastal decision support tool, urban risk mitigation, multi-hazard vulnerability mapping, sensitive ecosystem monitoring (landslides) and integration of data into operational warning systems Phase 2: o Extension of projects to Phase 2 countries and development of statement of requirements for Caribbean-wide approach for satellite-based mitigation

Slide: 13 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Southern African Flood and Health Pilot – DI-09-02b_3 Extensive flooding in Namibia in 2009 Worked with Guido Van Langenhove, head of Hydrological Services in Namibia, to identify flood sensorweb pilot scenario Collected satellite imagery for months in the Lake Liambezi area Collected the following: o Ground measurements (Guido Langenhove) o Rainfall estimates, and predictions for first three months of 2009 (Policelli) o Flood predictions for 1st three months of year (TRMM – Policelli) o Assets:  EO-1 30 meter/10 meter 1 -2 times per week(Frye)  Formosat 2 meter data, once per week for 4-6 weeks (requested from Cheng-Chien Liu  MODIS flood map, once per week 4-6- weeks (Requested from Bob Brakenridge)  Radarsat every three days for critical period Year 3 Accomplishments

Slide: 14 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Satellite View Angle 80° 65° Global Geostationary Active Fire Monitoring Capabilities GOES-EGOES-WMSGCOMS (116 or 128 E), MTSAT (140 E) 160 GOMS (76 E), INSAT (83 E), FY-2C (105 E) GOES-10 partially implemented by NOAA Geostationary and polar global fire network DI-09-03b_2 Inclusion of satellite-based fuel load and fuel condition data into global early warning system; create data inventory and define specifications and requirements

Slide: 15 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 DI-06-09_8 : Satellites for Risk Management – Approach Examine high level conclusions from user needs Derive architecture/measurement requirements Perform gap analysis and examine results Review GEOSS ten-year objectives Establish roadmap for improved activities by disaster cycle phase o mitigation o warning o response and o recovery

Slide: 16 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 “Stop-Light” Chart RED = 0 missions YELLOW = 1 to 5 missions WHITE = > 5 missions Disaster SBA Information Current SEO database contains shows 339 (of 415) missions, 391 (of 984) instruments and 88 (of 146) measurements relevant to Disasters. These measurements are a mixture of atmosphere, land and ocean parameters. Measurement requirements are based on the GEOSS 10-Yr Implementation Plan. Future gap analyses will require better definition of measurements and their detailed requirements to match relevant missions. Satellites for Risk Management: Measurements and Gap Analysis

Slide: 17 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Gap Analysis 04/10 06/10 10/10 User requirement product identification Measurement requirements Gap analysis Presentation to CEOS Plenary X

Slide: 18 CEOS Disaster SBA Team – Tokyo, Japan – April 2010 Deliverables for 2010 Gap analysis for flood Video on use of satellite data in disaster management Data dissemination model Agreement with key CEOS agencies on data for supersites Phase I of Caribbean flood pilot Phase I of African flood pilot Plan for global fire warning using polar orbiting satellites