NATIONAL TRACKING POLL National Public Opinion Poll March 31, 2014 #140314.

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Presentation transcript:

NATIONAL TRACKING POLL National Public Opinion Poll March 31, 2014 #140314

2 RD Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? NATION OFF ON WRONG TRACK WT TotalBy PartyBy Age RDWTRDWTRDWTRDWTRDWTRDWTRDWT

3 Approve And, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? OBAMA JOB APPROVAL INVERTED Disapprove Senate battlegrounds even less amicable to President. ApproveDisapproveApproveDisapprove * “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report. Disapprove +19Disapprove +21Disapprove +22

4 Approve Do you approve or disapprove of the health care legislation passed by Barack Obama and Congress in 2010? OBAMACARE ALSO UNPOPULAR Disapprove Numbers closely approximate Obama job approval. ApproveDisapproveApproveDisapprove * “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report. Disapprove +19Disapprove +24Disapprove +27

5 Now, thinking about your vote in 2014 for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress, what would you say is the top issue that is motivating your vote? FISCAL ISSUES DOMINATE Immigration Reform Foreign Policy Health Care Federal Budget Deficit and Debt Jobs/Unemployment The Economy Medicare and Social Security DEM (37%) IND (31%) GOP (32%) (17%) (24%) (38%) 65+ (21%) 29%31%36%37%36%34%19% 25%16%7%19%21%14%15% 19%15%18% 22%17%14% 7%17%18%11%9%14%21% 12%11%10%3% 12%23% 3%2%4%3%5%2% 1% 4% 1%2%1%

6 DEM Overall, which political party do you trust to do a better job coping with the main problems the nation faces over the next few years? The Democratic Party, The Republican Party, The Tea Party, The Libertarian Party, The Green Party … or … None of the above? A NATION POLITICALLY DIVIDED GOPTea Party LibertarianGreen None } 39% R+4

SENATE ELECTIONS

8 DEM And, when you think about the upcoming 2014 elections for U.S. Senate happening in some states, which is your preference for the outcome of the election? Is it a… Senate Controlled by Democrats …or… Senate Controlled by Republicans? GENERIC ADVANTAGE TO GOP GOP * “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report. DEMGOPDEMGOPDEMGOPDEMGOPDEMGOP R+4 R+8 R+3 R+13 R+11 D+10 TotalsKey Demographics

9 Sup Will your vote this November for federal offices such as U.S. Senate and U.S. House be a vote to… Send a signal of support for President Obama, Send a signal of opposition to President Obama, OR Not send a signal either way about President Obama? VOTERS WANT TO SIGNAL OPPOSITION TO OBAMA Opp * “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report. No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. TotalsKey Demographics

10 AMONG “NOT SEND A SIGNAL” Among those voters who indicate that their vote for federal offices is not sending a signal either way about President Obama… Age No Signal (31%) Total (100%) % %24% %38% 65+20%21% Gender No Signal (31%) Total (100%) Male48%47% Female52%53% Party No Signal (31%) Total (100%) DEM37% IND39%27% GOP20%32% Geo No Signal (31%) Total (100%) Urban23% Suburb48%49% Rural29%28% More likely to be INDs, otherwise evenly distributed among demos.