Research perspectives and formative assessment ASME Conference: Researching Medical Education, November 2009: RIBA, London Dylan Wiliam

Overview The nature of educational research  What should educational research try to do?  How should it try to do it? Formative assessment  Definitions  Implementations  Researching formative assessment

Pasteur’s quadrant

Educational research “An elusive science” (Lagemann, 2000)  A search for disciplinary foundations Making social science matter (Flyvbjerg, 2001)  Contrast between analytic rationality and value-rationality  Physical science succeeds when it focuses on analytic rationality  Social science  fails when it focuses on analytic rationality, but  succeeds when it focuses on value-rationality

Research methods 101: causality  Does X cause Y?  In the presence of X, Y happened (factual)  Problem: post hoc ergo propter hoc  Desired inference: If X had not happened, Y would not have happened (counterfactual)  Problem: X did happen  So we need to create a parallel world where X did not happen  Same group different time (baseline measurement)  Need to assume stability over time  Different group same time (control group)  Need to assume groups are equivalent  Randomized contolled trial

Plausible rival hypotheses  Example: Smoking cigarettes causes lung cancer  Randomized controlled trial not possible  Have to rely on other methods  Logic of inference-making  Establish the warrant for chosen inferences  Establish that plausible rival interpretations are less warranted

Knowledge Not justified-true-belief Discriminability (Goldman, 1976) Elimination of plausible rival hypotheses Building knowledge involves:  marshalling evidence to support the desired inference  eliminating plausible rival interpretations ‘Plausible’ determined by reference to a theory, a community of practice, or a dominant discourse

Inquiry systems (Churchman, 1971) SystemEvidence LeibnizianRationality LockeanObservation KantianRepresentation HegelianDialectic SingerianValues, ethics and practical consequences

The Lockean inquirer displays the ‘fundamental’ data that all experts agree are accurate and relevant, and then builds a consistent story out of these. The Kantian inquirer displays the same story from different points of view, emphasising thereby that what is put into the story by the internal mode of representation is not given from the outside. But the Hegelian inquirer, using the same data, tells two stories, one supporting the most prominent policy on one side, the other supporting the most promising story on the other side (Churchman, 1971 p. 177). Inquiry systems

The ‘is taken to be’ is a self-imposed imperative of the community. Taken in the context of the whole Singerian theory of inquiry and progress, the imperative has the status of an ethical judgment. That is, the community judges that to accept its instruction is to bring about a suitable tactic or strategy [...]. The acceptance may lead to social actions outside of inquiry, or to new kinds of inquiry, or whatever. Part of the community’s judgement is concerned with the appropriateness of these actions from an ethical point of view. Hence the linguistic puzzle which bothered some empiricists—how the inquiring system can pass linguistically from “is” statements to “ought” statements— is no puzzle at all in the Singerian inquirer: the inquiring system speaks exclusively in the “ought,” the “is” being only a convenient façon de parler when one wants to block out the uncertainty in the discourse. (Churchman, 1971: 202). Singerian inquiry systems

Educational research …can be characterised as a never-ending process of assembling evidence that:  particular inferences are warranted on the basis of the available evidence;  such inferences are more warranted than plausible rival inferences;  the consequences of such inferences are ethically defensible. The basis for warrants, the other plausible interpretations, and the ethical bases for defending the consequences, are themselves constantly open to scrutiny and question.

Effective learning environments A prevalent, mistaken, view  Teachers create learning  The teacher’s job is to do the learning for the learner A not so prevalent, not quite so mistaken, but equally dangerous view  Only learners can create learning  The teacher’s job is to “facilitate” learning A difficult to negotiate, middle path  Teaching as the engineering of effective learning environments  Key features:  Create student engagement (pedagogies of engagement)  Well-regulated (pedagogies of contingency)  Develop habits of mind (pedagogies of formation)

Formative assessment: a definition “An assessment functions formatively to the extent that evidence about student achievement elicited by the assessment is interpreted and used to make decisions about the next steps in instruction that are likely to be better, or better founded, than the decisions that would have been taken in the absence of that evidence. Formative assessment therefore involves the creation of, and capitalization upon, moments of contingency (short, medium and long cycle) in instruction with a view to regulating learning (proactive, interactive, and retroactive).” (Wiliam, 2009)

The formative assessment hi-jack… Long-cycle  Span: across units, terms  Length: four weeks to one year  Impact: Student monitoring; curriculum alignment Medium-cycle  Span: within and between teaching units  Length: one to four weeks  Impact: Improved, student-involved, assessment; teacher cognition about learning Short-cycle  Span: within and between lessons  Length:  day-by-day: 24 to 48 hours  minute-by-minute: 5 seconds to 2 hours  Impact: classroom practice; student engagement

Unpacking assessment for learning Key processes  Establishing where the learners are in their learning  Establishing where they are going  Working out how to get there Participants  Teachers  Peers  Learners

Five “key strategies”… Clarifying, understanding, and sharing learning intentions  curriculum philosophy Engineering effective classroom discussions, tasks and activities that elicit evidence of learning  classroom discourse, interactive whole-class teaching Providing feedback that moves learners forward  feedback Activating students as learning resources for one another  collaborative learning, reciprocal teaching, peer-assessment Activating students as owners of their own learning  metacognition, motivation, interest, attribution, self-assessment (Wiliam & Thompson, 2007)

…and one big idea Use evidence about learning to adapt instruction to better meet learner needs

A model for professional change Content  Evidence  Ideas Process  Choice  Flexibility  Small steps  Accountability  Support

KMO Formative Assessment Project 24 teachers, each developing their practice in individual ways Different outcome variables No possibility of standardized controls “Polyexperiment” with “local design” Synthesis by standardized effect size

Jack-knife estimate of mean effect size: 0.32; 95% C.I. [0.16, 0.48)

Effect size by comparison type IParallel set taught by same teacher in same year SSimilar set taught by same teacher in previous year PParallel set taught by different teacher in same year LSimilar set taught by different teacher in previous year DNon-parallel set taught by different teacher in same year NNational norms

Summary Educational research is a never-completed process of assembling evidence that:  particular inferences are warranted on the basis of the available evidence;  such inferences are more warranted than plausible rival inferences;  the consequences of such inferences are ethically defensible. The basis for each of these is constantly open to scrutiny and question