Community Profile 2007 Education and Economics City of Tulsa January 22, 2007 Prepared for the Tulsa Area United Way Community Investments Process By the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa January, 2007

Demographic Trends in Tulsa County Population growth in Tulsa County twice the pace of the City of Tulsa between 1990 and 2000; the city has actually lost population since 2000 Growing cultural diversity, particularly among the population <25 Hispanic population continues to expand; since 1991, number of births to Hispanic women have increased 400% to 1,486 in 2005 Population 65+ projected to make up 20% of population by 2030 (up from 12% in 2000)

Demographic Trends in Tulsa County (cont.) Population <18 projected to account for 23% of population by 2030 (down from 26% in 2000) As working age population’s share declines, the 2030 projected dependency ratio climbs to 75 per 100, up from 62 per 100 in 2000 Living arrangements are changing significantly with more children living with a single parent, especially the mother, and living with other relatives, especially grandparents Larger number of people over 65 years of age are living alone, especially women Median family income varies by race Large population of mobile renters Source: US Census 2000, American Community Survey, 2005

What is the Job Climate in Tulsa, Oklahoma, and the US? More jobs than qualified workers (Impending Crisis: Too Many Jobs, Too Few People, 2003) 80% of new jobs require a degree (The End of Work, 2002) 39.2% of Tulsans have a high school degree or less and 23% more have some college (US Census 2005 Estimates) 59% of the University of Oklahoma Bachelor’s degree graduates leave Oklahoma (1999, University of Oklahoma) The immigrant population….if all stay….will not be enough to fill the job demand

Top Risk Factors for Adults and Families for Poor Economic Success Single-parent households Low educational attainment Illiteracy Poor health and lack of health insurance Substance abuse/addiction

How Do We Increase Tulsa’s Economic Potential? Long Term Gain Think P-16 (prenatal through college) –Healthy prenatal and early childhood –Prevent abuse and neglect of children –Engage students in school –Prevent student drop-out –Students complete a bachelor’s degree

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Prenatal Interventions Healthy Start Children First Healthy Families and Safe Care Parents as Teachers

Education Success in Preschool Star Rating System for Quality Educare Head Start Supercenters Pre K 4 All Day Kindergarten All this makes us Number 1 in US in early childhood efforts

Education Success Kindergarten – 12th Grade Community Schools School-based Clinics Alternative Education Charter Schools

Education Success Post-Secondary-Higher Education Improved engagement in post high school college and vocational preparation Reduce remediation classes in first college years

How Do We Increase Tulsa’s Economic Potential? Mid Term Gain Redevelop workforce for new job areas of health, early childhood education, nanotechnology, information technology, recreation and service industry Prepare immigrant workforce to participate in “information age” workforce Examine immigration policies to bolster needed workforce demands

How Do We Increase Tulsa’s Economic Potential? Short Term Gain Recover drop-outs who are now years of age Recover retired workforce of year olds Stop the “Brain Drain” of college educated to other states Improve health of the workforce Recover workforce leaving prison

Area of Study Number of Majors Percentage of Majors Business1958 % Engineering2473 % Humanities1958 % Natural Sciences1855 % Professional Studies 1855 % Social Sciences1855 % Total116 Expected Percentage 59 % Area of Study of University of Oklahoma Students Leaving Oklahoma Source: Migration After College: The Spatial Distribution of Recent OU Graduates, Emily McCauley, March 1999, University of Oklahoma

Reasons to Leave and Stay in Oklahoma Oklahoma is loosing 20% of its graduates each year to Texas and other enticing states. Economic opportunity is cited most often as the top reason to move to a location. Students rank it first 44% of the time. Students who are from Oklahoma and who plan to remain in Oklahoma (31%) rank economic opportunity as the top reason for their locational decision 41% of the time. Source: Migration After College: The Spatial Distribution of Recent OU Graduates, Emily McCauley, March 1999, University of Oklahoma

Oklahoma’s prison population was relatively stable until 1980 when laws passed to curb illegal drug use came into effect Oklahoma’s Prison Population Source: Oklahoma State Department of Corrections, Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa for the Metropolitan Human Services Commission in Tulsa. Note: Number of inmates in Oklahoma prisons, data as of June 30 of each year

Appendix Slides which support statements offered regarding demographics and human development

Tulsa Metropolitan Statistical Area

Economic Potential of Tulsa is at a Turning Point Middle class is disappearing Many households lack adequate income Stress of inadequate income and related conditions is widespread Starting life in Tulsa for many is risky business

Economic Potential of Tulsa is at a Turning Point Populations of aging and persons with disabilities are large and growing Health challenges are critical to individual and community well-being Poor human conditions impact crime and growing incarcerations Overall progress in human development is tied to educational success

The Middle Class is Disappearing ~Lower income groups greatly expand, middle shrinks, highest income group increases dramatically

Many Households Lack Adequate Income ~More and more households lack adequate income to meet living needs

The Self-Sufficiency Standard Customized by specific family composition Customized by geographic location Based on all expense categories Updated annually using consumer price index …The level of income required for a family to meet its own needs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Stress of Inadequate Income and Related Conditions is Widespread ~Based on following key indicators : Poverty Families with children headed by women Youth not in school or high school graduates Men not employed or in labor force

“Severely Distressed” and “Distressed” Neighborhoods Definitions Census tracts with at least 3 of the 4 following characteristics: 1. Percentage of people living in poverty Severely Distressed: 27.4% or more Distressed: 14.2 to 27.3% (1 standard deviation below) 2. Percentage of families with related children headed by women with no husband present Severely Distressed: 37.1% or more Distressed: 21.6 to 37.0% (1 standard deviation below) 3. Percentage of year olds who are not enrolled in school and not high school graduates Severely Distressed: 23.0% or more Distressed: 11.5 to 22.9% (1 standard deviation below) 4. Percentage of civilian, non-institutionalized men ages who are unemployed or not in the labor force Severely Distressed: 34.0% or more Distressed: 21.8 to 33.9% (1 standard deviation below) Taken from The Annie E. Casey Foundation and The Population Reference Bureau, 2003, “The Growing Number of Kids in Severely Distressed Neighborhoods: Evidence from the 2000 Census;”

Starting Life in Tulsa for Many is Risky Business ~Combination of many risk factors takes heavy toll and early screening for risk level is inadequate

Populations of Aging and Persons with Disabilities are Large and Growing ~These populations will significantly test the capacity of resources needed to enable them to be most self-sufficient

Health Challenges are Critical to Individual and Community Well-being ~Inadequate income, high risks of starting life and poor lifestyle choices contribute to major health concerns

OBESITY Trend: America’s weight gain epidemic – 25% of Americans are obese – more than doubled in 15 years. Benchmark: We must reverse this trend. Bad: Consequences – –high healthcare costs. –Increased heart disease, type II diabetes, osteoarthritis, hypertension, gallbladder disease, breast cancer, endometrial cancer and colon cancer. Bad: OK and Tulsa Co heart disease rates are higher than the rest of the nation – only one state ranks worse than OK. Lapolla, Health Policy Analysis of the Tulsa Metropolitan Area, Center for Health Policy Research and Development, OUCPH, 2005; NCHS, CDC; THD; Tulsa County Health Profile; NIH; United Health Foundation; BRFSS, CDC; St. Francis Health System FY 2004 Community Needs Assessment. OK US THD – Patel/Woodruff 9/05 Major Health Concern: Poor Lifestyle Choices -- Obesity

Poor Human Conditions Impact Crime and Growing Incarcerations ~Trends greatly affected by substance abuse

Oklahoma’s prison population was relatively stable until 1980 when laws passed to curb illegal drug use came into effect Oklahoma’s Prison Population Source: Oklahoma State Department of Corrections, Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa for the Metropolitan Human Services Commission in Tulsa. Note: Number of inmates in Oklahoma prisons, data as of June 30 of each year

Overall Progress in Human Development is Tied to Educational Success ~From preschool through post secondary education

Education Success: Preschool

Education Success: Kindergarten – 12 th Grade

Education Success: Post-Secondary-Higher Education

Growing importance of coordination among higher education institutions to promote system efficiency System Overview The State Regents prescribe academic standards of higher education, determine functions and courses of study at state colleges and universities, grant degrees, recommend to the state Legislature budget allocations for each college and university, and recommend proposed fees within limits set by the Legislature. A primary goal for the State Regents is “System Efficiency” especially focused on reduced program duplication. Tulsa Community College provides the lower level (Freshman & Sophomore) courses in Tulsa County and articulates agreements with all state supported four-year colleges and universities in Oklahoma for students wishing to pursue a bachelor’s degree. Tulsa Community College provides educational opportunities that can lead to Associate Degrees in Arts, Science, or Applied Science and to Certificates of Achievement.