How are SLR projections guiding coastal community adaptation planning? Jessica Bolson Postdoctoral Fellow UM/SECC Wharton Risk Management and Decision.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Raising the Standard for Improved Flood Risk Management in the Midwest Raising the Standard for Improved Flood Risk Management in the Midwest Interagency.

Advertisements

M. Buchanan, K. Chowdhary, H. Li, S. Lorenz, F. Menendez, G. Treuer Visualizing Impacts of Combined Events A study in Southeast Florida.

HUMBOLDT BAY SEA LEVEL RISE ADAPTATION PLANNING PROJECT: A State and Local Collaboration Aldaron Laird Sea Level Rise Planner.

Slide1 Managing Flood Risk U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Steven L. Stockton, P.E. Director of Civil Works U.S. Army Corps of Engineers 14 July 2009 Presentation.

What can you do?. Write a letter Federal (President and Vice President, Senators, Representatives) State (Governors and Legislators) Local (Mayor, city.

Compact Policy and Legislative Coordination Jason Liechty Environmental Projects Coordinator Natural Resources Planning and Management Division Broward.

Outreach, Education and Technical Assistance: What We Can Do Differently Jurij Homziak Lake Champlain Sea Grant.

Adaptation Action Areas Jim Murley South Florida Regional Planning Council AAA Workshop, August 28, 2014.

William Solecki City University of New York – Hunter College

Integrating Climate Change into the Emergency Management Context Nancy J. Gassman, Ph.D. Sustainability Manager City of Fort Lauderdale Governor’s Hurricane.

1 Preparing Washington for a Changing Climate An Integrated Climate Change Response Strategy Department of Ecology Hedia Adelsman, Executive Policy Advisor.

U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Tom Armstrong Senior Advisor for Global Change Programs U.S. Geological Survey

Somerset County Council Climate Change Strategy Abigail Stretch Sustainable Development Officer.

NOAA’s Habitat Blueprint- a multiagency approach to climate adaptation and increasing resiliency along the Sonoma coast Sonoma Adaptation Forum April 8,

Think globally, act regionally: the southeast florida regional climate change compact Jason Liechty AAA workshop august 28, 2014.

Risk and Resilience: A Canadian Perspective on Climate Change Adaptation Donald S. Lemmen, PhD Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Directorate Natural.

NIDIS-Supported Efforts in the ACF River Basin Puneet Srivastava Associate Professor Department of Biosystems Engineering Auburn University Chris Martinez.

Climate Futures and Oregon’s Coastal Communities A Survey and Strategy to Address the Effects of Climate Change on the Oregon Coast.

Foster and sustain the environmental and economic well being of the coast by linking people, information, and technology. Center Mission Coastal Hazards.

Flood Risk Management Program Rolf Olsen Institute for Water Resources U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

Disaster Reduction & Climate Change Adaptation by Fengmin Kan, UN-ISDR Africa Nairobiwww.unisdr.org.

Carolinas Integrated Sciences & Assessments (CISA) Work to Support NIDIS July 31 st – August 1 st, 2012 Wilmington, NC.

Possible Webinar Topics Jennifer Penney, Director of Research Clean Air Partnership.

US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® Emily Vuxton and Lauren Leuck U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Institute for Water Resources (IWR) Alexandria,

Water, sustainability and climate for south Florida

TECHNOLOGY FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN COASTAL ZONES Richard J.T. Klein 1,2 1. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany 2. Stockholm.

City of Satellite Beach. Satellite Beach Total area of 4.3 square miles Just over 10,000 residents 98% built out.

Community Resilience: It Takes A Village Civil Society Leadership Symposium December 8, 2009 Margaret A. Davidson NOAA’s Coastal Services Center.

Social and Interdisciplinary Environmental Science Team.

Methods for Developing Robust Climate Adaptation Plans in the Energy Sector David Groves Water and Climate Resilience Center.

Partnership for Urban South Hampshire Sustainable Growth.

Gulf of Mexico Alliance SIMOR Briefing June 9, 2009.

Rutgers University Henry Mayer, PhD Matt Campo Jennifer Whytlaw

US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® The Nature Conservancy’s Climate, Risk & Resilience 2013 Learning Exchange Col. Richard Hansen U.S. Army Corps.

Characterizing the decision landscape to identify opportunities and barriers for climate adaptation in oyster aquaculture in Wellfleet, Massachusetts Seth.

1 Slide1 THINGS WE NEED TO UNDERSTAND ABOUT LEVEES: CURRENT INITIATIVES AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS Presentation to Association of State Flood Plain Managers.

Building the Digital Coast. Priority Coastal Issues Land use planning (growth management) Coastal conservation Hazards (flooding/inundation/storm surge)

LaDon Swann and Tracie Sempier Mississippi-Alabama Sea Grant Consortium February 24, 2010.

Advancing Natural and Nature-Based Infrastructure Solutions through Policy and Partnerships Kim Penn, NOAA Office for Coastal Management.

ESIP Federation Air Quality Cluster Partner Agencies.

Climate Change & Sustainability Coordinator, Palm Beach County

US Army Corps of Engineers South Atlantic Division One Corps Serving The Army and the Nation US Army Corps of Engineers South Atlantic Division One Corps.

The Southeast Florida Regional Climate Change Compact Sustainable Communities Leadership Academy October 14, 2014.

Perceived Climate Change Impacts and Exposure Units ASTRA Conference May 2006 Klaipeda Jürgen Kropp & Klaus Eisenack Potsdam Institute for Climate.

Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata: Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects AIACC – LA26 Argentina.

Climate Change and Water Resources Planning Kim Shugar Department Director Intergovernmental Programs Kim Shugar Department Director Intergovernmental.

Climate Adaptation Policy & Practice in the United States A Presentation for the Environmental Evaluation Network Forum June 24, 2011 Steve Adams Managing.

Current Climate Change Adaptation Initiatives Carole McCauley, Massachusetts Bays Program Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Workshop Peabody Institute.

Subregional Planning Initiative (SPI) Project Fact Sheet – East Port Area Plan – February 2010 What is the purpose of the SPI Initiative? The SPI Program.

Protecting Lives and Property at Our Coastlines A Disaster Roundtable Workshop The National Academies Our National Marine Sanctuary Foundation Capitol.

Funding Adaptation: Challenges and Opportunities Orestes Anastasia USAID Regional Development Mission for Asia Cities at Risk: Building Adaptive Capacity.

Coastal Change in Levy County Doug McDuffie & Stephanie Zarkis.

Regional Planning for Sea-Level Rise in Hampton Roads Benjamin McFarlane, AICP Regional Planner NOAA Hydrographic Services Review Panel October 26, 2011.

Expressing Change Goal: To creatively express the challenges and opportunities of the changing coast in Levy County Goal: To creatively express the challenges.

California’s Flood Future Recommendations for Managing the State’s Flood Risk Flood Risk Management & Silver Jackets Workshop August 21, 2012.

Regional Sediment Management Policy and Implementation Workshop April, 2009.

U N I T E D S T A T E S D E P A R T M E N T O F C O M M E R C E N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N.

Climate Change Threat Sea-Level Rise 1. Potential Impacts from Sea-Level Rise How might our community be impacted by sea-level rise? 2.

US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® North Atlantic Coast Comprehensive Study Collaboration Webinar Series #5: Policy Challenges and Institutional.

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY Joint IEPR Workshop on Climate Adaptation and Resiliency for the Energy Sector Energy Sector Climate Resilience CRAIG ZAMUDA,

Dr. John T. Wells, Dean and Director, VIMS Dr. Mark W. Luckenbach, Associate Dean, VIMS Dr. Morris Foster, Vice President for Research, ODU February 24,

Preparing for Climate Change: British Columbia’s Adaptation Strategy Thomas White Climate Action Secretariat 26 January 2010.

Using Analysis and Tools to Inform Adaptation and Resilience Decisions -- the U.S. national experiences Jia Li Climate Change Division U.S. Environmental.

Climate Adaptation and Hazard Resilient Coastal Communities Climate Adaptation in Coastal Communities: A Network Approach to Outreach Workshop November.

U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Coastal Storm Risk Management

North Atlantic Coast Comprehensive Study Collaboration Webinar Series #2: Ecosystem Goods and Services U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Coastal Storm Risk.

Local Context for Climate Change- Broward County Natural Resources Planning and Management 1/14/2014 City of Fort Lauderdale Vulnerability Assessments.

1980’s: Historic Challenges SUPPORT for Historic Preservation

Sea Level Rise Information

Presentation transcript:

How are SLR projections guiding coastal community adaptation planning? Jessica Bolson Postdoctoral Fellow UM/SECC Wharton Risk Management and Decision Processes Center

Context Ongoing projects/interactions: – South Florida Water Sustainability and Climate Project SFWSC (South Florida Water Management District) – Miami Beach SLR Initiative (Miami Beach and S. Fl.) – Southeast Florida Climate Change Compact – FWCA (Fl.) Proposed research involving SLR – SRN (US cities Miami, LA, etc.) – NSF Hazard SEES (S. Fl.)

Context: South Florida WSC Project Everglades National Park Everglades/U rban boundary 5.5 million people 100 miles 160 km Lake Okeechobee

Context: Miami Beach SLR Initiative

Context: Southeast Florida Climate Change Compact

… to increase the regional relevance and usability of climate and sea level rise models for water suppliers and resources managers in Florida Context: FWCA

Climate Change Concerns for Florida (from Miami-Dade SLR Task Force) Salinity changes in coastal bays, plus tidally influenced creeks and rivers Shoreline retreat with natural habitat changes/losses Increasing flood frequency and depth in coastal areas Saltwater intrusion in water supply wells, OR higher canal stages and floods Uncertainties and risks in rate and depth of sea level rise

How is information being used to support decisions? Ongoing projects/interactions: – NSF SFWSC (Everglades and S. Fl.) Scenarios: climate, SLR, demographic, economic, demand Models: optimization, penalty functions, SFWMM 2x2 – Miami Beach SLR Initiative (Miami Beach and S. Fl.) Gathering sources/ building research partnerships with FIU and UM to produce new information Other SLR information sources (USACE used in SFCCC) Risk Analysis – FWCA (Fl.) Modeling impacts of SWI, working with USGS to model GW – SFCCC Series of workshops and interactions with scientists to agree on unified SLR projections Adaptation Action Areas (Broward Cty) Priority planning areas (Broward Cty) Community Resiliency: Planning for Sea Level Rise

Example of how SLR information is being used

Systems based approach to adaptation Focus on short and long term risk reduction Prioritize long term risk reduction, shift from optimizing under current conditions to “robust and adaptable” decisions Encourage public investment in low risk reduction (major roads, water supply, flood protection, etc.) Provide incentives for investment in low risk areas Use hurricanes and storms as opportunities to redevelop in low risk areas, implement pre-storm relocation agreements Recognize a need for interagency collaboration and shared planning Address combined needs of human and natural systems

Who are key stakeholders and how are you interacting with them? Federal, state, regional, local water agencies, utilities Local level planners, engineers, decision makers, environmental, agricultural, tourism reps, developers, artists Water stakeholders (ex. representatives of WRAC at SFWMD) Larger groups of utilities representatives (ex. The Water Environment Research Foundation (WERF) The Leaders Innovation Forum for Technology (LIFT))

Who are your partners? Research teams City of Miami Beach employees Water agency representatives with long- standing regular participation and interest in climate science and climate impacts FWCA participants

Lessons learned Science focused lessons – SLR is now viewed as one of the more certain impacts that we need to adapt to – Long term precipitation forecasts are not viewed as “useable science” – Need for useable science is evident Decision making – Need for decision-science and support – In addition to the science, communication is key – Focus on metrics useful to stakeholders (ex ROI) is critical

Research questions What is the role of scenarios and models in decision making? What are the likely behavioral responses to flooding (ex relocation, investment in mitigation, policy support)? How can we characterize the likelihood of adoption of new sustainable water technologies?