Scotland’s labour market and Work Programme Dave Simmonds OBE Centre for Economic & Social Inclusion

Scotland’s employment Above UK at 72.4% Recovered half 4.8 point fall from 2008 Still 2.2 points below 2008 UK 1.4 points below 2008

Scotland’s unemployment Below UK at 7.4% Recovered less than one-third of 4.9 point rise from 2008 Still 3.5 points above 2008 UK 2.5 points above 2008

Scotland’s JSA claimants Falling, despite reform moving more into JSA 2,500 more lone parents on JSA IB reassessment – up to 20,000 more Smaller % of unemployed are claiming

Scotland’s ESA/IB claimants Falling slowly – 11,000 (3.9%) down from Nov 2011 IB reassessment – more than 20,000 Scots ‘Fit for Work’ WRAG has reached 22% of total

Scotland’s Work Programme performance (to March 2013) New figures 26th Sept Show average Job Outcome Percentage for programme to date Shows impact of only counting jobs when paid work is sustained (for 6 or 3 months) Estimated 8% of Scotland’s working age population will go through WP by 2016 More if excluding inactive population and much more in some areas

Work Programme performance

Work Programme performance – 12 months on programme (new DWP Measure)

Performance by payment groups - Scotland

The local economy matters DUNDEE GLASGOW ABERDEEN DUMFRIES & GALLOWAY

Challenges More jobs needed to get back to pre-recession Employability and skills framework to support all unemployed not just claimants? Role of Work Programme – important but not the only support Importance of health – across WP not just ESA Learning what is working in high performance areas