June 16-18, 2014 Violent Tornado Outbreak Meteorologist Quincy Vagell.

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Presentation transcript:

June 16-18, 2014 Violent Tornado Outbreak Meteorologist Quincy Vagell

Tornado Outbreak Ingredients

June 1 st, 2011

Storm Chasing Terrain

June 16-18, 2014 Tornado Reports 82 Reports* 82 Reports* 53 Confirmed** 53 Confirmed** 5 EF-4 Tornadoes 5 EF-4 Tornadoes

Monday, June 16th

CAPE C onvective C onvective A vailable A vailable P otential P otential E nergy E nergy

Courtesy: University of California, Santa Barbara

Courtesy: SPC

Significant Tornado Parameter Instability Instability Updraft Rotation Updraft Rotation Wind Shear Wind Shear Lifted Condensation Level Lifted Condensation Level Convective Inhibition Convective Inhibition Courtesy: SPC

MUCAPE = 5,765 J/kg! Sig Tor 13+!

“Practically Perfect Forecast” Tornado Probabilities

Tuesday, June 17th

“Practically Perfect Forecast” Tornado Probabilities

Wednesday, June 18th

“Practically Perfect Forecast” Tornado Probabilities

*Reports via CIPS **From Wikipedia citing SPC storm reports

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