National Opinion Surveys: When and Where In “reforming” African countries (generally, multi party regimes that have had a founding democratic election, or a re-democratizing election) In “reforming” African countries (generally, multi party regimes that have had a founding democratic election, or a re-democratizing election) Round 1 (12 countries, mid-1999 to mid 2001) Round 1 (12 countries, mid-1999 to mid 2001)  in West Africa: Ghana, Mali, Nigeria  in East Africa: Uganda and Tanzania  in Southern Africa: Botswana, Lesotho, Malawi, Namibia, South Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe Round 2 (16 countries, mid 2002-late 2003) Round 2 (16 countries, mid 2002-late 2003) –repeats original 12 (Zimbabwe in early 2004) –Adds Cape Verde, Kenya, Mozambique, and Senegal Round 3 (18 countries, 2005) Round 3 (18 countries, 2005) –Adds Madagascar and Benin Round 4 (20 countries, 2008) Round 4 (20 countries, 2008) –Adds Burkina Faso and Liberia

Sampling from CSO  Personal, face-to-face interviews Questionnaires translated into 4 local languages Questionnaires translated into 4 local languages Interviewers fluent in local languages Interviewers fluent in local languages Interviewing Random Random –Clustered by region –Stratified by gender and urban/rural Nationally representative Nationally representative Minimum Sample Size of 1200 gives a margin of sampling error of +/- 3 percentage points (2.8 points) Minimum Sample Size of 1200 gives a margin of sampling error of +/- 3 percentage points (2.8 points)

Dissemination of Results Public presentations -- Mostly in Windhoek ; party politics bias Television coverage -- Both channels Radio coverage -- NBC news and independent news/interviews Newspaper coverage –Three rounds of coverage including front page and double page Brie fing Papers –Three local Briefing Papers distributed/web Other Papers and publications –Academic papers & book chapters Election Watch –Monthly column includes AB data Internet coverage –Newspaper coverage reproduced (e.g., allafrica.com) African 19 country distribution –Repeated newspaper coverage

Costs and Sustainability Issues Average costs: +/- N$750,000. Cost drivers:  Distance and fuel  Inflation and exchange rate volatility Funding sources  Declining local donors  Fiscal crisis  Mo Ibrahim Foundation Localisation issues Dissemination challenges

Q86 Which Party are you close to? Q86 Which Party

SWAPO Support by Region

Trust in the Ruling Party by Ethnic Identity

Corruption in the Namibian Public Sector 2008 Perceptions

Reject Authoritarian Alternatives 2008 PercentOne Man Rule Military RuleOne Party Rule Strongly Disapprove Disapprove 3026 Neither Approve Nor Disapprove 9107 Approve Strongly Approve 669 Don't Know 352

Freedom Questions “should be” Agree Strongly agree Total Agree Strongly agree Total Free to join organisations 38% 31% (69%) Free to join organisations 38% 31% (69%) Media free to publish (74) Media free to publish (74) Freedom for unpopular speech (78) Freedom for unpopular speech (78)

GRN Policies with positive support Fairly well/Very well Combating HIV/AIDS 70% Combating HIV/AIDS 70% Education 68% Education 68% Empowering Women 66% Empowering Women 66% Reducing Crime 61% Reducing Crime 61% Managing the Economy 60% Managing the Economy 60% Fighting Corruption 54% Fighting Corruption 54% Narrowing the rich and poor gap 73% Narrowing the rich and poor gap 73% Improving living standards of poor 62% Improving living standards of poor 62% Creating jobs 59% Creating jobs 59% Keeping prices down 53% Keeping prices down 53% Negative Views Fairly badly/Very badly

Performance of Officials Trust in Officials Trust in Officials Approve/strongly approve Approve/strongly approve Somewhat/A lot Somewhat/A lot President Pohamba 88% 81% President Pohamba 88% 81% National Assembly 70% 70% National Assembly 70% 70% National Councillors 61% 60% National Councillors 61% 60% Elected Regional Councilor 69% 65% Elected Regional Councilor 69% 65% Local Authority Councillors 57% 56% Local Authority Councillors 57% 56% Police 71% Police 71% Traditional leaders 69% Traditional leaders 69%