The American Public and the Arab Awakening April 11, 2011.

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Presentation transcript:

The American Public and the Arab Awakening April 11, 2011

Methodology Dates of Survey: April 1-5, 2011 Margin of Error: +/- 3.5 percentage points Sample Sizes: 802 Survey Method: Knowledge Networks probability-based online panel

Priority of US-Muslim World Relations Thinking about US interests, how important an issue is the US relationship with Muslims and Muslim majority countries? Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 Top 3 / Top 5 Not among the top five issues 61 Most important /

Views of Middle East Democratization Do you think that if the countries of the Middle East become more democratic this will be more positive or more negative for the US: Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 Over the next few years In the long run More positiveMore negative More positiveMore negative

What if Democratization Leads to Unfriendly Government? “I would want to see a country become more democratic even if this resulted in the country being more likely to oppose US policies.” Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 AgreeDisagree 4/11 9/05

Perceptions of Uprisings Do you think the popular uprisings in the Arab world are: Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 More about Islamist groups seeking political power More about ordinary people seeking freedom and democracy Both equally

Likelihood of More Democracy How likely do you think it is that the changes occurring in the Middle East will lead to more democracy there? Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 Not at all / Not very likely 51 Very / Somewhat likely 47

Are Islam and Democracy Compatible? Which position is closer to yours? Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 It is possible for Islamic countries to be democratic Democracy and Islam are incompatible 4/11 9/05

Favorable Views of Arab Nations What is your overall opinion of each of the following countries: Sadat/PIPA, April /11 2/10* Unfavorable Saudi Arabia Egypt Syria 2/11* 4/11 2/10* 2/11* 4/11 2/07* * Trends from Gallup

Views of Arab People What is your overall opinion of each of the following groups of people: Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 Arab people in general FavorableUnfavorable People of Egypt People of Saudi Arabia

Effect of Uprisings on Views of Arab World Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 Your level of sympathy for the Arab people IncreasedDecreased Your sense of how similar the aspirations of the Arab people are to yours

Not take a position US Position Toward Uprisings Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 Syria Express support for demonstrators Express support for government Yemen Bahrain Jordan Saudi Arabia In responding to the popular uprisings in the following countries, do you think the US should:

Compatibility of Muslim and Western Cultures Thinking about Muslim and Western cultures, do you think that: Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 It is possible to find common ground between them Violent conflict between them is inevitable

Support for Action in Libya As you may know, the U.S. military and other countries have begun cruise missile and air strikes in Libya in order to protect civilians from attacks by Qaddafi's forces. Do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. and other countries taking this military action in Libya? Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 ApproveDisapprove 4/11 3/11* * CBS News poll

Arming the Rebels Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 If the air campaign does not succeed in protecting civilians from attacks by Qaddafi’s forces, would you support or oppose the US and other countries providing arms to the Libyan rebels? Support Oppose

Approach to Israeli-Palestinian Conflict In its efforts to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, what position do you believe the US should take? Sadat/PIPA, April /11 11/10 Lean toward neither side Lean toward Israel Lean toward the Palestinians

Administration Efforts on Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 Which of the following is closest to your view of the Obama Administration’s diplomatic efforts to resolve the Palestinian-Israeli conflict? 4/11 11/10 Efforts are at the right level Not trying hard enough Trying too hard

Effect of Uprisings on Views of Arab World Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 Your level of sympathy for the Arab people IncreasedDecreased Your sense of how similar the aspirations of the Arab people are to yours Your optimism that peaceful change is possible in the Arab world Your optimism about relations between the US and the Arab world Your sense of how widespread religious fanaticism is among Arabs