Chevy versus Ford NASCAR Race Effect Size – A Meta-Analysis.

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Presentation transcript:

Chevy versus Ford NASCAR Race Effect Size – A Meta-Analysis

Data Description All 256 NASCAR Races for Season Race Finishes Among all Ford and Chevy Drivers (Ranks) –Ford: 5208 Drivers (20.3 per race) –Chevrolet: 3642 Drivers (14.2 per race) For each race, Compute Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Statistic (Large-sample Normal Approximation) Effect Size = Z/SQRT(N Ford + N Chevy )

Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test (Large-Sample)

Evidence that Chevrolet tends to do better than Ford

Effect Sizes Appear to be approximately Normal

Combining Effect Sizes Across Races Weighted Average of Race-Specific Effect Sizes Weight Factor  1/V(d i ) = 1/N i = 1/(N Ford,i +N Chevy,i )

Test for Homogeneity of Effect Sizes

Testing for Year Effects

Testing for Year and Race/Track Effects Regression Model Relating Effect Size to: –Season (8 Dummy Variables (No Intercept)) –Track Length –Number of Laps –Race Length (Track Length x # of Laps) Weighted Least Squares with weight i = N i

Regression Coefficients/t-tests Controlling for all other predictors, none appear significant

 2 – Tests for Sub-Models and Overall

Sources Hedges, L.V. and I. Olkin (1985). Statistical Methods for Meta-Analysis, Academic Press, Orlando, FL. Winner, L. (2006). “NASCAR Winston Cup Race Results for ,” Journal of Statistical Education, Volume 14, #3