Violent Jihad Not Islamic Jihad “Blowback” or “Clash of Civilizations”?

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Presentation transcript:

Violent Jihad Not Islamic Jihad “Blowback” or “Clash of Civilizations”?

What are the causes of Radical Terror? (In the name of Islam) Since September 11 th 2001, there have been 107 incidents of Islamic terrorism worldwide claiming 2000 more victims Since September 11 th 2001, there have been 107 incidents of Islamic terrorism worldwide claiming 2000 more victims

Why Jihad? Poverty and lack of opportunity in the Muslim World Poverty and lack of opportunity in the Muslim World The Presence of foreign troops in the Middle East, in particular the Holy cities The Presence of foreign troops in the Middle East, in particular the Holy cities The intractable Israeli- Palestinian dispute The intractable Israeli- Palestinian dispute U.S. Foreign Policy towards Islamic states U.S. Foreign Policy towards Islamic states “Blowback” “Blowback” Clash of civilizations Clash of civilizations

How can we fight terrorism? Intellgence & Military operations Intellgence & Military operations Eradicate Poverty Eradicate Poverty Peace in Palestine Peace in Palestine Prevention of continued recruitment of Jihadists Prevention of continued recruitment of Jihadists

Clash of Civilizations Samuel P. Huntington “Clash of Civilizations” Foreign Affairs 1993 Samuel P. Huntington “Clash of Civilizations” Foreign Affairs 1993 The Book appeared in 1998 The Book appeared in 1998

The History of Warfare since 1648 The wars between princes and monarchs The wars between princes and monarchs Wars between nations and peoples Wars between nations and peoples Conflicts of ideologies & the Cold War Conflicts of ideologies & the Cold War

Huntington’s Civilizations

Why Civilizations Will Clash Divisions are basic & Real Divisions are basic & Real The World is becoming smaller The World is becoming smaller Globalization separates people from local identities Globalization separates people from local identities

Why Civilizations Will Clash The current global power of western civilization The current global power of western civilization Cultural differences are less mutable Cultural differences are less mutable Economic regionalism is growing Economic regionalism is growing

The West Versus Islam US support for Israel US support for Israel Desert Shield - Desert Storm Desert Shield - Desert Storm Initial failure to protect Bosnia Initial failure to protect Bosnia Russian destruction of Chechnya Russian destruction of Chechnya

The West Versus Islam Iranian Nuclear ambitions Iranian Nuclear ambitions Iraq War II Iraq War II Pope Benedict’s comments Pope Benedict’s comments The Cartoon Furor The Cartoon Furor Ethiopia/Somalia Ethiopia/Somalia The recent London car bombings The recent London car bombings

What is Jihad? Three Forms Three Forms SelfSelf Within the UlamaWithin the Ulama Enemies of IslamEnemies of Islam

The Rise of Jihad 600 The Sunni-Shia Split 600 The Sunni-Shia Split 1300 Ibn Tamiyyah justifies revolt against Ottoman rulers 1300 Ibn Tamiyyah justifies revolt against Ottoman rulers 1700 Muhammed ibn Abd al-Wahab condemns Shiites, founds Wahabism 1700 Muhammed ibn Abd al-Wahab condemns Shiites, founds Wahabism 1916 British and French division of the Ottoman Empire 1916 British and French division of the Ottoman Empire 1928 Egyptian activist found “Muslim brotherhood” 1928 Egyptian activist found “Muslim brotherhood”

The Rise of Jihad 1948 Founding of Israel approved by UN 1948 Founding of Israel approved by UN 1952 Col. Nasser coup in Egypt 1952 Col. Nasser coup in Egypt 1966 Nasser executes Sayyid Qutb and outlaws Muslim Brotherhood 1966 Nasser executes Sayyid Qutb and outlaws Muslim Brotherhood 1967 Israel crushes Arab armies in the Six-Day War 1967 Israel crushes Arab armies in the Six-Day War 1973 Arab Oil embargo finances Islamic missionary campaign 1973 Arab Oil embargo finances Islamic missionary campaign

The Rise of Jihad 1979 Islamic Revolution replaces Shah in Iran with Ayatollah Khomeini 1979 Islamic Revolution replaces Shah in Iran with Ayatollah Khomeini 1979 Jihad begins against Soviet occupied Afghanistan financed by US 1979 Jihad begins against Soviet occupied Afghanistan financed by US 1981 Jihadist soldiers assassinate Egyptian President Anwar Sadat for 1979 peace treaty with Israel 1981 Jihadist soldiers assassinate Egyptian President Anwar Sadat for 1979 peace treaty with Israel 1985 exiled Saudi construction millionaire Osama bin Laden lay groundwork for al Qaeda in Afghanistan 1985 exiled Saudi construction millionaire Osama bin Laden lay groundwork for al Qaeda in Afghanistan

The Rise of Jihad st World Trade Center Bombing by Ramsi Yousef st World Trade Center Bombing by Ramsi Yousef 1998 Bin Laden and al-Zawahiri issue fatwa calling on followers to kill Americans 1998 Bin Laden and al-Zawahiri issue fatwa calling on followers to kill Americans 1998 Al Qaeda bombing of embassies in Tanzania and Kenya 1998 Al Qaeda bombing of embassies in Tanzania and Kenya 2000 Al Qaeda bombing of USS Cole in Yemen 2000 Al Qaeda bombing of USS Cole in Yemen

The Rise of Jihad /11 kills nearly 3000 in New York, at the Pentagon, and in rural Pennsylvania /11 kills nearly 3000 in New York, at the Pentagon, and in rural Pennsylvania 2002 Car bombs linked to Jemaah Islamiya kill 202 in Bali 2002 Car bombs linked to Jemaah Islamiya kill 202 in Bali 2003 Khalid Sheik Mohammed, mastermind of 9/11 arrested in Pakistan 2003 Khalid Sheik Mohammed, mastermind of 9/11 arrested in Pakistan 2004 Madrid train bombings kill Madrid train bombings kill London bombs kill 52 commuters 2005 London bombs kill 52 commuters 2006 al-Zarqawi killed in Iraq 2006 al-Zarqawi killed in Iraq 2006 Mumbai Train bombings, 7 bombs kill Mumbai Train bombings, 7 bombs kill 209

The Rise of Jihad 2007 Qahtaniya bombings kill 800 member of Iraq’s Yazidi sect 2007 Qahtaniya bombings kill 800 member of Iraq’s Yazidi sect 2008 Ahmedabad bombings in India, 21 bombs kill Ahmedabad bombings in India, 21 bombs kill Mumbai coordinated attacks kill 174 at hotel, synagogue and train station attacks 2008 Mumbai coordinated attacks kill 174 at hotel, synagogue and train station attacks 2009 Two suicide vehicles kill 155 in and around Green Zone in Baghdad Two suicide vehicles kill 155 in and around Green Zone in Baghdad Jordanian double agent kills 9 at Camp Chapman in Afghanistan including 7 CIA agenst 2009 Jordanian double agent kills 9 at Camp Chapman in Afghanistan including 7 CIA agenst

What Can/Did We Do? Homeland Security Homeland Security Patriot Act Patriot Act Airport Security Airport Security Invade Iraq Invade Iraq Invade Afghanistan Invade Afghanistan Intelligence Sharing Intelligence Sharing

Obama got Osama The GWOT is over SEAL Team Six attack in Abbottabad May 2 nd 2011 killed Osama bin Laden Withdrawal from Iraq December 2011 Withdrawal from Iraq December 2011 Taliban don’t have international agenda Taliban don’t have international agenda Arab Spring Arab Spring Osama demonstrated the “divine mandate” of Jihad: morale will suffer Osama demonstrated the “divine mandate” of Jihad: morale will suffer

Obama got Osama The GWOT is not over The threat remains viable -Ayman al Zawahiri The threat remains viable -Ayman al Zawahiri Al Qaeda still operates openly in FATA/Waziristan region of Pakistan Al Qaeda still operates openly in FATA/Waziristan region of Pakistan Osama’s leadership was only symbolic Osama’s leadership was only symbolic Haqqani network is more dangerous to the US than Osama Haqqani network is more dangerous to the US than Osama LeT, Jem, JaI provide similar threat LeT, Jem, JaI provide similar threat

ISIS/ ISIL/ IS/ Daesh