The MHS Capital Investment Decision Model Transforming the Decision-Making Process Tri-Service Symposium, Boston, MA 13 July 2006.

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Presentation transcript:

The MHS Capital Investment Decision Model Transforming the Decision-Making Process Tri-Service Symposium, Boston, MA 13 July 2006

2 WHY AM I HERE? The MHS Capital Investment Decision Model (CIDM) What is CIDM? Why do it? Is there a relationship to the MHS Strategic Plan & QDR 8? What have we accomplished so far? How does CIDM work? Where are we in the process? How will we implement CIDM? What are the benefits?

3 WHAT IS CIDM? Structured decision making that employs the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP)  Allows for structuring a decision into smaller parts, proceeding from the goal to objectives down to the alternative courses of action  Employs pairwise comparison judgments throughout the hierarchy to arrive at overall priorities for the alternatives  The decision problem can involve qualitative and quantitative factors  Allows for the consideration of a range of criteria across an organization’s goals and objectives  Provides for an optimization functions as well as provision for policy constraints  Supported by COTS software

4 WHY DO IT? a.OMB wants us to b.It works for VA c.It’s the right thing to do for the MHS d.All of the above e.None of the above

5 OMB WAKEUP CALL PBD 726 and the FY05 Program  We lost money, projects, and scope in PBD 726  We could not make succinct and compelling arguments that the FY05 program represented good investments for the MHS. What’s obvious and compelling to you may not be to others.

6 FINDINGS OF THE 1986 BLUE RIBBON PANEL Create an office to centrally plan, program, and budget medical facilities Issues Resolved  No consistent functional and design criteria across Services  Construction cost variation  Medical projects not comparable  Consistent cost models  Central Management  Centralized Advocacy  MILCON based only Issues Resolved  No consistent functional and design criteria across Services  Construction cost variation  Medical projects not comparable  Consistent cost models  Central Management  Centralized Advocacy  MILCON based only Issues Still Pending  No coherent method to define priorities and select projects for recommended funding  Inconsistent planning assumptions  Lack consistent programmatic ability to prioritize capital projects Issues Still Pending  No coherent method to define priorities and select projects for recommended funding  Inconsistent planning assumptions  Lack consistent programmatic ability to prioritize capital projects

7 WHY DO IT (cont)? CIDM Helps in Many Ways Expedites planning/acquisition timeline  Simplify and standardize project planning Articulates real MILCON requirements beyond current TOA  Supports programming of most critical needs of MHS Provides a logical and consistent rationale for selecting projects  Allows us to articulate what is important and why Ensures inclusiveness and transparency of decision making  Engages clinical operators and resource managers  Incorporates executive review by the SMMAC Supports QDR transformation initiatives  Links to strategic and business planning

8 WHAT HAVE WE ACCOMPLISHED SO FAR? Conducted extensive research Selected software and model Received ASD(HA) guidance and resources Developed, weighted, and scaled criteria Conducted “Top Ten” exercise Refined criteria Developed draft implementation guide Established QDR 8 IPT from HFSC Planning Subcommittee Obtained funding for site license and additional consulting

9 IS THERE A RELATIONSHIP TO MHS STRATEGY? Balanced Scorecard Mission & Customers Mission Elements Medically ready and protected force and homeland defense for communities Deployable Medical Capability Manage and deliver the health benefit Mission Elements Medically ready and protected force and homeland defense for communities Deployable Medical Capability Manage and deliver the health benefit MHS Customers Combatant Commanders & Service Members Beneficiaries People of the MHS MHS Customers Combatant Commanders & Service Members Beneficiaries People of the MHS

10 IS THERE A RELATIONSHIP TO QDR 8 ? Medical Infrastructure Transformation 1.Systematic and strategic approach to provide comprehensive visibility of assets 2.Link facility investments with MHS strategic and business goals and enhance joint operations 3.Transform the MILCON planning, acquisition and recapitalization processes

11 GOAL 2 OF QDR 8 Link Facility Investments with MHS Strategic/Business Goals & Joint Operations Project focus To Market based portfolio focus linked to strategic and business goals No consistent programmatic ability to prioritize capital projects across the MHS To Consistent basis for making capital investments and improved focus for articulating Service investment candidates Current planning and selection process does not acknowledge dynamic nature of MHS operating environment (GWOT, BRAC, Jointness) To Evaluation criteria that supports investments consistent with unique requirements of military medicine Inconsistent planning assumptions across Services To Consistent investment proposal methodology and evaluation As Is To Be

12 HOW DOES CIDM WORK? Annual Cycle 1.TMA & Services jointly develop/update evaluation criteria 2.TMA updates CIDM Selection & Proposal Guide 3.Services review business plans 4.Services review strategic guidance 5.Services develop and submit concept papers 6.TMA & Services jointly review concept papers 7.Services develop and submit capital investment proposals 8.Capital Investment Review Board scores proposals 9.SMMAC reviews/approves output 10.TMA submits POM/BES/BCP And repeat…..

(HA, Army, Navy, Air Force, TMA, Functional Experts) Coordination/Optimization potential Capital Investment Review Board (CIRB) Prioritize/Select Investments Concept Paper Submit/Forum Senior Executive Review SMMAC Ensure Alignment With Strategic Objectives and Approve Portfolio PPMD/Service Execution Acquire/Field/Maintain Capabilities TMA Navy Army Air Force JS HA MHS Strategic Plan PPMD FINAL DOD/ National Strategy Guidance Service Recommendations Business Case Analysis Business Planning Mission Imperatives Strategic Guidance MHS Capital Facility Planning Guidance TMA Navy Army Air Force HA Nov May Cap Investment Proposals Jun Jul Sep Budget Submit To Comptroller Coherent method to define priorities Consistent process Linkage to MHS Strategic Plan Senior executive review Reduced acquisition cycle Coherent method to define priorities Consistent process Linkage to MHS Strategic Plan Senior executive review Reduced acquisition cycle Objectives MHS Facilities Capital Facility Development Process Feedback Model Revisions Updated Guidance & Criteria

14

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18 “TOP 10” EXERCISE February 2006 Services’ submitted unconstrained Top 10 capital projects Based on 2 minute verbal briefs of each initiative – no tangible material or data

19 FEB 06 POST EXERCISE PROCESS REVIEW Lessons Learned Range of reasons that drive new capital development The results reflect a point in time based on imperfect criteria and imperfect data Business planning disconnect Difficult to provide judgment based on oral presentations – need greater specificity/data/tangible review materials Some installations may have greater value than others

20 WHERE ARE WE IN THE PROCESS? Finalizing implementation guide Templates for concept paper and submission Standardized business case analysis Developing SMMAC approval plan

How Will We Implement CIDM? 60 Day Service Review

Capital Planning Submission Process Approximately 12 month For capital submission Capital Investment Submission Components 1391 Through Block 12 HCRA or functional narrative for non- healthcare Departmental PFD Alternatives Analysis Business Case/EA Linkage to Evaluation Criteria Parametric Cost Estimate Capital Investment Submission Components 1391 Through Block 12 HCRA or functional narrative for non- healthcare Departmental PFD Alternatives Analysis Business Case/EA Linkage to Evaluation Criteria Parametric Cost Estimate

23 SUMMARY A more structured systematic approach to capital investment decision-making across the MHS A coherent method to define priorities and select projects for recommended funding Consistent and programmatic ability to prioritize capital investments A consistent basis for selection of investments MHS Senior executive review of proposed investments Greater probability of OSD and OMB concurrence * DOD Blue Ribbon Panel on Sizing of Military Medical Facilities, 1986

Questions