What is a Long Term Implementation Plan Used for?.

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Presentation transcript:

What is a Long Term Implementation Plan Used for?

Changed Fire Environment: Drought/fuels buildup/climate change—longer fire seasonsDrought/fuels buildup/climate change—longer fire seasons Long duration fires need a long duration planLong duration fires need a long duration plan Worth investment up front to consider what the options may be for tacticsWorth investment up front to consider what the options may be for tactics Allows for big picture approach especially when traditional tactics and strategy to fire may be ineffectiveAllows for big picture approach especially when traditional tactics and strategy to fire may be ineffective Resource competition at peak periods/prioritize actionsResource competition at peak periods/prioritize actions

Complexity of the Fire Environment

Northern Rockies Fire Dynamics Red lines indicate historical averages, blue lines indicate 2007 situations Northern Rockies Fire Dynamics Red lines indicate historical averages, blue lines indicate 2007 situations Ponderosa Pine Douglas-fir Alpine Fir Whitebark Pine

Management Efficiencies Concept: Preplanned actions with estimated costsPreplanned actions with estimated costs Allows for choices/tradeoffs/analysis of various options in advance of implementationAllows for choices/tradeoffs/analysis of various options in advance of implementation Identify where the most effective places to meet objectivesIdentify where the most effective places to meet objectives Choose the strategy and tactics that have a high probability for successChoose the strategy and tactics that have a high probability for success Can be used to help set principles for cost share agreementsCan be used to help set principles for cost share agreements Effective use and mobility of resourcesEffective use and mobility of resources Improved cost management strategyImproved cost management strategy

Values to Be Protected: Identify values to protect and put into a document Include all potentially affected jurisdictions and entities Identify those opportunities to meet everyone’s objectives Effective use of resources Quantify, assess, and determine the likelihood of fire impacts

Operational Actions to Mitigate Risk: Plan for measures to adequately mitigate the risk Response be commensurate with the values to protect Develop timeline for implementation in advance of the fire Utilize decision support tools to inform tactical actions Plan for contingencies Monitor actions and fire behavior and adjust actions to meet objectives Validate continuously the risk assessment Validate that proposed actions are still effective prior to implementation The right resource at the right place and the right time

Supporting the Planning and Documentation Effort: Identifies the need to communicate and coordinate with all affected parties—cooperators, partners, public WFSA—planned actions either support existing WFSA or identify the need to revise The LTIP should correlate to the selected alternative Delegation of authorities should include planning and implementation expectations of the LTIP Provides an opportunity to review overall cost of plan implementation

Initial Attack Ignition Wildland Fire Use Extended Attack Large FireLong-Duration Fire Control Long-Term Implementation Plan WFIP WFSA BAER IAP Range of Events During Implementation of NR AMR Strategy

Supporting the Planning and Documentation Effort (cont.): IAP—is the daily implementation of the LTIP 209s—documents and identifies critical resource needs and timeframes Communication of needs with GACC/MAC/AC etc. Communication tool for the public, discussion of long term impacts Region 1 USFS uses LTIP in lieu of a Regional Forester’s Rep

Daily Fire Costs Showing Irregular Trend Compared to Historic Trends

Questions?