LOAD FORECAST SECTION 1

2 FORECAST METHODOLOGIES & TOOLS i.Power Market Survey (PMS) Medium Term (5-10 years) ii.Regression Long Term (25-30 years) LOAD FORECASTING

3 DISCO-WISE PEAK DEMAND PMS OUTPUT (MW) Name LESCO GEPCO FESCO IESCO MEPCO PESCO HESCO QESCO TESCO SEPCO DISCOs Demand (undiversified) DISCOs Demand (Diversified) T & T Losses (500 & 220kV) % T & T Losses (500 & 220kV) 3.05 NTDC Demand Auxiliary Consumption % Auxiliary Consumption 1.68 System Demand ( w/o Export to KESC) Export to KESC 650 System Demand With Export to KESC

4 FUTURE DEMAND & SUPPLY PROJECTION BY PLANNING POWER NTDC IN YEAR 2000

GENERATION PLANNING SECTION 5

GENERATION PLANNING SOFTWARES Worldwide used softwares  WASP (Wien Automatic System Planning)  SYPCO (System Production Costing Program) Other softwares  Power Balance System

Long Term Generation Expansion Plan Demand & Supply Projections Reports Being Published by Generation Planning Section 7

TRANSMISSION PLANNING SECTION 8

Transmission Planning Section is Responsible for We follow NTDCL Grid Code approved by NEPRA.” Preparing/updating transmission expansion plan. Proposing new substations and transmission lines. Proposing site & Interconnection schemes for power dispersal of all types of new power plants, both in public and private sectors. Review of feasibility studies/reports submitted by consultants. Providing technical support/consultancy services to the upcoming IPPs, DISCO(s) and KESC. 9

Load flow studies Short circuit studies Transient stability studies Power quality studies System Studies Being Carried Out 10

Following software tools are being used by leading consultants and electric utilities worldwide; Power System Simulator for Engineering (PSS/E) Power System Computer Aided Design (PSCAD) Transmission Planning Section has version 32 of PSS/E and is currently negotiating with Siemens to; Update PSS/E by acquiring its latest version 33 through Maintenance & Support (M&S) support. Purchase a multiuser wireless license of PSS/E. Purchase additional modules of PSS/E for advanced analysis Optimal Power Flow (OPF) Eigenvalue and Model Analysis (NEVA) Graphical Model Builder (GMB) Softwares Being Used by Transmission Planning Section 11

PROJECT PLANNING SECTION 12

Preparation of PC-I(s) for NTDC Development Projects Preparation of PC-II(s) for feasibility studies of mega Projects Preparation of Future Development Plan Preparation of Investment Plan Financing arrangements through International Financing Agencies Preparation of PC-I(s) and PC-II(s) for Public Sector Thermal Power Projects Responsibilities of Projects Planning Section 13

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