Assetz Fund Management Commercial Property No 1 LP.

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Presentation transcript:

Assetz Fund Management Commercial Property No 1 LP

UK Commercial Property Fund

Other Markets *249% growth since 1989

Why Commercial Property Source: IPD Index. Growth 240% and assumes UNGEARED investment

Why Commercial Property Source: IPD Index. Growth 4949% and assumes UNGEARED investment

UK Commercial Fund FRI (Full Repairing Insuring) leases FRI (Full Repairing Insuring) leases Less volatile and more predictable due to long leases Less volatile and more predictable due to long leases Buy Offices and Industrial off plan + tactical opportunities Buy Offices and Industrial off plan + tactical opportunities 9%+ prospective yield 9%+ prospective yield Once tenanted the building can be worth 25% more Once tenanted the building can be worth 25% more Hold for 5 years and then renew/ replace lease and sell Hold for 5 years and then renew/ replace lease and sell Repayment mortgage of 70% will be just 40% after 5 years – rent increases returns Repayment mortgage of 70% will be just 40% after 5 years – rent increases returns Finally if there are commercial property rises then even better – we expect 5-7% pa for the next 5 years on these type of properties Finally if there are commercial property rises then even better – we expect 5-7% pa for the next 5 years on these type of properties

UK Commercial Fund High quality locations High quality locations Airports Airports Major cities Major cities Near other large business parks Near other large business parks Arterial roads Arterial roads Small developments (8-12 units) Small developments (8-12 units) Small units – sq ft Small units – sq ft SME’s are 98%+ of the market SME’s are 98%+ of the market Prices 20% discounted with a 9.5% prospective yield Prices 20% discounted with a 9.5% prospective yield Fast selling units to Owner Occupiers Fast selling units to Owner Occupiers Limited sales to investors Limited sales to investors

UK Commercial Fund 20% discount to market value when tenanted 20% discount to market value when tenanted How is this ‘lease premium’ calculated ? How is this ‘lease premium’ calculated ? 9.5% prospective yield 9.5% prospective yield Say building is £100,000 – rent would be £9,500 Say building is £100,000 – rent would be £9,500 Rent is the driver Rent is the driver Once tenanted the building can be sold on a 7.5% yield Once tenanted the building can be sold on a 7.5% yield £9,500 /.075 = £126,666 a gain of £26,666 £9,500 /.075 = £126,666 a gain of £26,666 If you 50% gear that is a 53% gain If you 50% gear that is a 53% gain If you 75% gear that is a 107% gain If you 75% gear that is a 107% gain Less purchase and sales costs Less purchase and sales costs

UK Commercial Fund 9.5% yield is £9,500 rent per £100,000 of property 9.5% yield is £9,500 rent per £100,000 of property 9.5% is set by the developer as a reasonable prospective yield on a property price that still makes them money whilst leaving around 2% in it for the investor 9.5% is set by the developer as a reasonable prospective yield on a property price that still makes them money whilst leaving around 2% in it for the investor The 7.5% yield is ‘set’ by the investor market, what they are willing to receive as a yield on a tenanted property. The 7.5% yield is ‘set’ by the investor market, what they are willing to receive as a yield on a tenanted property. As the rent is constant, £9,500 per annum the property is worth £100,000 at 9.5% prospective yield when sold by the developer and worth £126,666 to the investor buying it with a tenant at 7.5% yield As the rent is constant, £9,500 per annum the property is worth £100,000 at 9.5% prospective yield when sold by the developer and worth £126,666 to the investor buying it with a tenant at 7.5% yield

UK Commercial Fund £9,500 / 9.5% = £100,000 £9,500 / 9.5% = £100,000 Yield is only prospective – no actual tenant Yield is only prospective – no actual tenant £9,500 / 7.5% = £126,000 £9,500 / 7.5% = £126,000 Yield is real – signed up tenant Yield is real – signed up tenant Premium is the value of the lease Premium is the value of the lease The better the tenant the lower the tenanted yield The better the tenant the lower the tenanted yield

Property Price UK Commercial Fund Property Price Property Price Plus Rental Profit in 5-7 Years Lease Premium Rental Income/ Profit Price Increases

UK Commercial Fund Risks : Risks : Prices do not rise Prices do not rise Fund already bought at discount and the lease premium plus the rental profit will still give gains. Fund already bought at discount and the lease premium plus the rental profit will still give gains. Prices fall Prices fall Fund bought at discount and with the lease premium once tenanted should have around 20% protection built into purchase prices. Fund bought at discount and with the lease premium once tenanted should have around 20% protection built into purchase prices. Tenants not found quickly Tenants not found quickly Small units do find tenants quickly but significant voids would be in some units would be countered by others having very profitable rental income. Can always sell to recover costs at least to the owner occupier market. Small units do find tenants quickly but significant voids would be in some units would be countered by others having very profitable rental income. Can always sell to recover costs at least to the owner occupier market. Interest rate rises Interest rate rises Fund will use interest rate hedging / fixed rates if thought necessary. Fund will use interest rate hedging / fixed rates if thought necessary.

UK Commercial Fund Fund can gain in four ways : Fund can gain in four ways : Buying at a discount pre-completion – helps developers funding Buying at a discount pre-completion – helps developers funding Tenanting the new building brings c 25% uplift in value according to tenant quality, rental level and lease duration Tenanting the new building brings c 25% uplift in value according to tenant quality, rental level and lease duration Rental yield is high – 8%-9.5% - pays down mortgage increasing equity Rental yield is high – 8%-9.5% - pays down mortgage increasing equity General price growth General price growth Note price growth is the last of the profit levers Note price growth is the last of the profit levers Objective of 20%+ growth per annum if assumptions met Objective of 20%+ growth per annum if assumptions met

Thank You  Stuart Law  Assetz Fund Management Ltd