The Arab spring Causes & Effects Dr. Akram Khater North Carolina State University June 2012.

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Presentation transcript:

The Arab spring Causes & Effects Dr. Akram Khater North Carolina State University June 2012

What is It? A new generation seeking a better life, freedom and justice

Where is It?

Why We Missed It? Popular Culture and Arabs

Why We Missed It? – Part 2 US Foreign Policy: Between Radical Islamists and Brutal Allies

Causes of the Uprisings Demographics Failure and de-legitimization of the State Globalization

Demographics Youth in the Middle East and North Africa make up, on average, 50% of the population

Educational Crisis Overcrowded Classrooms Underfunded Schools Underpaid Teachers

Unemployment UN World Population Horizons: 2004 Census

“Hayt-iste,” or the Unemployed Poverty and Social Malaise Absence of Government Institutions Lack of Infrastructure Lack of Social Services and Green Spaces Imagined as dysfunctional

Political Repression

Conflicting Choices Islamist Current Neo-Liberalism The Facebook Generation

Islamists: From moderate to militant

Neo-Liberalism

The Facebook Generation: Between Islamists and Elites

Globalization A literate youth population

Globalization A connected youth population Between 2000 and 2009 internet user growth was %

Globalization Twitter, facebook are tools; human rights and democracy are their ideals

NGO and Civil Society

Immediate Future Rise of Islamists ruling elites Secular Parties will gain strength as Islamists prove incapable of governance Diverse attitude toward Shari’a Attitudes toward women’s rights

Implications for US Policy Beyond the binaries of Good and Bad Arab New Rules of Engagement - limits of military power Rapprochement of Rhetoric and Action Palestine/Israel Democracy and “Allies” Beyond Oil