The Arab spring Causes & Effects Dr. Akram Khater North Carolina State University June 2012
What is It? A new generation seeking a better life, freedom and justice
Where is It?
Why We Missed It? Popular Culture and Arabs
Why We Missed It? – Part 2 US Foreign Policy: Between Radical Islamists and Brutal Allies
Causes of the Uprisings Demographics Failure and de-legitimization of the State Globalization
Demographics Youth in the Middle East and North Africa make up, on average, 50% of the population
Educational Crisis Overcrowded Classrooms Underfunded Schools Underpaid Teachers
Unemployment UN World Population Horizons: 2004 Census
“Hayt-iste,” or the Unemployed Poverty and Social Malaise Absence of Government Institutions Lack of Infrastructure Lack of Social Services and Green Spaces Imagined as dysfunctional
Political Repression
Conflicting Choices Islamist Current Neo-Liberalism The Facebook Generation
Islamists: From moderate to militant
Neo-Liberalism
The Facebook Generation: Between Islamists and Elites
Globalization A literate youth population
Globalization A connected youth population Between 2000 and 2009 internet user growth was %
Globalization Twitter, facebook are tools; human rights and democracy are their ideals
NGO and Civil Society
Immediate Future Rise of Islamists ruling elites Secular Parties will gain strength as Islamists prove incapable of governance Diverse attitude toward Shari’a Attitudes toward women’s rights
Implications for US Policy Beyond the binaries of Good and Bad Arab New Rules of Engagement - limits of military power Rapprochement of Rhetoric and Action Palestine/Israel Democracy and “Allies” Beyond Oil