1 Merritt TSA Type II Silviculture Analysis Merritt, B.C. April 5th, 2007.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Forest Legacy Assessment of Need Identifying Future Forest Legacy Areas Governors Commission for Protecting the Chesapeake Bay through Sustainable Forestry.
Advertisements

FVS, State - Transition Model Assumptions, and Yield tables – an Application in National Forest Planning Eric Henderson Analyst, Hiawatha National Forest,
Thinning intensity studies and growth modeling of Montana mixed conifer forests at the University of Montana’s Lubrecht Experimental Forest Thomas Perry.
What does stewardship mean? Especially in the context of BC forestry? Ralph Winter.
Type 4 Strategy Update Winter SISCO What’s done and what have we learned…. 1 February 25, 2014 Winter SISCO - Kamloops. BC.
Evaluating Approaches to “Ecosystem Management” Using FVS Steve McConnell NWIFC August 29, 2002.
Section 2 Land Based Investment Al Powelson & Kelly Osbourne Richmond: 9/28/20111.
1 Yield Implications of Variable Retention Harvesting VR Team: Mario Di Lucca, Ken Polsson, Jim Goudie, and Tim Bogle Research & Timber Supply Branches.
Timber Management Elements of Forestry Kenneth Williams
Jeremy Fried, Jamie Barbour, Roger Fight, Glenn Christensen, Guy Pinjuv & others at USFS PNW, Rocky Mountain, and Southern Research Stations Development.
FOREST MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS “It is a certainty that demands on the world’s forest lands will become greater while the area available for forest production.
 Homework #9 Due Wednesday  Quiz #4 Wednesday  Group Outline Due Wednesday  Exam #4 – Nov. 28th  Group Presentations – Dec. 3 & 5.
Lecture 7 Forestry 3218 Forest Mensuration II Lecture 7 Forest Inventories Avery and Burkhart Chapter 9.
 Homework #9 Due Thursday  Quiz #4 Thursday  Group Outline Due Thursday  Exam #4 – Dec. 1 st  Group Presentations – Dec. 6 & 8.
Economics of Forestland Use and Even-Aged Rotations Land tends to be used for the activity that generates the greatest NPV of future satisfaction to the.
FRST 318 / 537C March 3 rd Lab Midterm Review. Question 1 Governments in North America announce that wood is a preferred building material because it.
Investing in Forest Fertilization: tools, measures, analyses By Ralph Winter Forest Practices Branch July 25, 2005.
Mitigating timber supply impacts through strategic Forest Fertilization Ralph Winter Forest Practices Branch
Land Based Investment Strategy and Opportunities John McClarnon & Al Powelson Richmond: 9/28/20111.
BCTS/FFT Reforestation Collaboration – March 2012 Thompson Okanagan Region Case study By Mike Madill, FFT FLNRO Thompson Okanagan Region And John Hopper.
5 Year Silviculture Plan Development Process Presented by Kevin Telfer R.P.Bio., R.P.F. Stewardship Forester Coast Region.
Quantifying the availability and volume of the forest resides resource B.Hock, P.Nielsen, S.Grigolato, J.Firth, B.Moeller, T.Evanson Scion, Rotorua, New.
Western Hardwood Association Symposium III October 7, 2003 The Future of Hardwood Tree Farming.
TOPIC 9 –HISTORY OF FOREST MANAGEMENT  19 th CENTURY TO PRESENT  PARADIGM SHIFTS  SUSTAINABLE FOREST MANAGEMENT  CANADIAN MODEL FOREST NETWORK.
Overview of Financial Analysis
Silviculture Opportunities and strategies ä Ralph Winter ä Forest Practices Branch BC Forest Service March 22, 2010.
UPPER MONUMENT CREEK LANDSCAPE RESTORATION Allan Hahn – District Ranger Mike Picard – ID Team Leader.
1 MPB Mitigation Silviculture Treatments To mitigate timber supply problems in management units affected by catastrophic mountain pine beetle Presentation.
Estimating impact of potential regulatory constrains on future wood supply in Georgia based on diverse sources of data Michal Zasada 1,2, Chris J. Cieszewski.
The WLP must be consistent with these objectives 1.maintaining or enhancing an economically valuable supply of commercial timber from the woodlot licence.
Stefan Zeglen, Forest Pathologist, West Coast Region Jim Brown, Senior Analyst, Forest Analysis and Inventory Branch CSC Winter Workshop, Nanaimo, BCFebruary.
Forest Planning and Practices Regulation Amendments to Protect Secondary Structure Joint Presentation of: Joint Presentation of: Federation of BC WoodlotAssociationsFederation.
SCEK Fund Forum Reclamation & Impact Management.
1 Timber Supply Impacts of Mountain Pine Beetle (MPB) in British Columbia, Canada Western Forest Economists May 8 th, 2007.
Unique Characteristics of Forests and Their Management (Economic) Implications.
Effects of Regeneration Abundance on Predicted Development of Interior Douglas-fir Stands By Cornel Lencar Graduate Student, Faculty of Forestry University.
Beyond the Basic Forest Resource Model Monday, April 10.
Forest Productivity Will it be the Holy Grail? Wayne Brandt Executive Vice President.
Sept 18, 19 Richmond, BC FFT Fall Business Meeting Integrating Type 4 Silviculture Strategies into FFT Planning What the type 4’s are telling.
Growth and Yield Lecture 6 (04/17/2015). Overview   Review of stand characteristics that affect growth   Basic Stand Growth Terminology Yield curve;
Alachua County Forever Timber Harvesting Business Plan April 12, 2011.
Kalum TSA Mid-Term Timber Supply Issue. Land classification Reduction area (ha) Result (ha) Gross TSA area 2,300,464 Large parks 460,845 Tree Farm Licences.
Key BC Silviculture Statistics ä Forest Practices Branch BC Forest Service September 8, 2009.
Beyond the Beetle – Managing BC’s Forest for Value and Sustainability 2014 SISCO Winter Workshop February 26, 2014 Dave Peterson, RPF ADM Tenures, Competitiveness.
Aim 2 & 4 Integration. Objectives of Aims 2 & 4 Aim 2 Develop multi-scaled modeling program to assess forest management systems Aim 4 Life cycle, policy.
Spatial distribution of mature and old forest Dave Daust, Feb 25.
Assessment & Planning All land ownerships All major upland systems.
Alachua County Forever Timber Harvesting Business Plan June 28, 2011.
Landscape Management & Harvest Model A Case Studies from Chequamegon National Forest EEES4760/6760 April 20, 2009 HARVEST used to simulate different landscapes.
SILVICULTURAL PRACTICES. SILVICULTURE The application of various treatments such as; tree planting, pruning, intermediate cuttings and harvest cuts.
Ron Torgerson – FFSL Central Area Manager Nick Mustoe – Central Area Forester Fred Johnson – Fire Management Officer.
WOOD 492 MODELLING FOR DECISION SUPPORT Lecture 14 Sensitivity Analysis.
VFCFC – Nov 14, 2013 Board meeting. Agenda  2012 Annual Report: Planning/ Cutting Permit Development/Mtn Pine Beetle Strategy Harvesting Road building/Road.
Stakeholder meeting Floresteca Amsterdam, February 2016.
Mountain Pine Beetle Salvage Harvesting and Reforestation in British Columbia Brian Peter and Bryan Bogdanski Industry, Trade & Economics Program Pacific.
Forest Management Service Center Providing Biometric Services to the National Forest System Program Emphasis: We provide products and technical support.
FORESTRY LAND USE Overview and Update Buckingham County Land Use Work Session September 18, 2017 Dean Cumbia Forest Resource Management Branch.
SILVICULTURAL PRACTICES
Mitigating Projected Timber Supply Declines
23rd London Group Meeting San Jose Costa Rica, th October 2017
Timber Supply Analysis Discussion Paper October 28, 2016
Prince George Timber Supply Area Timber Supply Review (PG TSA TSR V)
Management Of Dry-belt Douglas-fir
FOREST MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
November 24, 2016 Meadow Lake Oriented Strand Board
Questions about Climate Change & Biomass Energy
Conceptual Framework on Planning for Timber Supply
Land Based Investment Program
Harvesting Early Good or Bad?
Kirk Hanson (360)
Presentation transcript:

1 Merritt TSA Type II Silviculture Analysis Merritt, B.C. April 5th, 2007

2 Presentation Overview  Project Objectives  MPB in Merritt  Basecase  Sensitivity Analyses  FFT Opportunity

3 Project Objectives Impact of MPB on harvest levels and other forest values such as wildlife habitat Evaluate how silviculture can reduce the impacts More specifically:  When, and by how much, will the beetle affect timber supply  Recommend and assess potential ways to improve timber supply and non-timber values  Prioritize spending

4 Classification of Land Base TSA Area Retention No Treatment Partial Cut Restoration to Enhance Major Salvage Basic Obligations Silviculture Opportunity Basic Silviculture: Fire/Pest Incremental Silv.: Fert., Thin, Prune

5 Mountain Pine Beetle Severity% Affected Trace0 – 1 Low1 – 10 Moderate11 – 30 Severe Very severe51+

projection - Merritt

projection - Merritt

projection - Merritt

projection - Merritt

10 Merritt MPB Projections by Severity

11 Defining a Base Case  Updated netdown;  Updated resultant file, which includes an updated inventory;  New analysis units and yield tables;  Recalculation of the PSI for each resultant polygon;  Old growth management area (OGMAs);  Disturbing the inoperable;  Updated UWR modelling; and  MPB projections to 2015.

12 Base Case

13 Conversion to Managed

14 Harvest by Species

15 ECA by CWS

16 -Return on Investment (ROI) -Merchantability Economic Indicators

17 Return On Investment (ROI) Uses TIPSY to generate: Yield Tables Costs and Revenues Standardized FFT IRR Worksheet: Calculates ROI and NPVs

18 Example ROI Output ROI = 3.38%

19 Merchantability A tool for describing the relative economics of timber harvesting opportunities across a forested landbase. Merchantability = Product Value – Operating Costs

20 Merchantability- Product Value Product value approximates the selling price for lumber and chips Product Value is a function of:  Site Index  Species  Stocking  Age

21 Merchantability- Operating Costs Costs involved in operating, building roads, harvesting wood, manufacturing products and reforestation  Operating cost is a function of:  Slope  Terrain  Volume/ha  Cycle time  Species  BEC zone  Stocking  Age

22 Merchantability- Index Each stand given a Merchantability Class Summarized by graphs and maps

23 Merchantability- Map product

24 Merchantability- Area Summary

25 Sensitivity Analyses

26 Harvest all MPB Very Severe

27 Plant all unharvested MPB Plant 122,000 ha Mid term increase: 370,000 m 3 /year

28 Plant Unharvested MPB-ROI > 2% Plant 89,000 ha Mid term increase: 370,000 m 3 /year

29 Faster MPB Spread

30 Presently Utilized Uplift Level

31 Retain 150m 3 /ha non-Pl

32 Kill MPB down to 10cm DBH

33 Two year shelf life

34 Two year shelf life-Availability

35 Plant GI spruce instead of pine

36 Retention Sensitivities

37 FFT Opportunity Scenario  Increased Planting of Genetically Improved Spruce  Plant all unharvested MPB kill with an ROI > 2%  CWS Restoration (planting) occurs irrespective of ROI  Retention of 100% FN Retention areas

38 FFT Opportunity Scenario

39 FFT Opportunity Age class

40 FFT Opportunity ECA Impact

41 FFT Planting Opportunity

42 Classification of Landbase

43 Classification of Landbase

44 Environmental Reporting  Seral Stage  Patch Size  Fine filter- UWR/Grizzly/Woodpecker  Harvest in FN Retention Area  CWS- ECA/Road Density/Seral stage

45 Seral Stage

46 Harvest in FN Retention Areas  No harvest in FN 100% for 15 years

47 Patch Size

48 CWS ECA

49 CWS Seral Stage