Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.) Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu December 8 th 2009 A Policy Recommendation to the State Department Office of East Asian and Pacific Affairs
C risis & R isk I nternational S ervices and S olutions C risis & R isk I nternational S ervices and S olutions Pedro Tichauer Economic Analyst Economic Analyst Hyo-Jin Paik Hyo-Jin Paik Asia Specialist Asia Specialist Young-Hun Oh Crisis Management Specialist Crisis Management Specialist Sinan Chu Foreign Relations Foreign RelationsSpecialist
Background Nuclear Crisis and the Six-Party Talk North Korea’s “Plan B” Outcome Analysis of Solution “6-2-6” Economic Impact Political and Diplomatic Consequence Social Issues Conclusion Background Nuclear Crisis and the Six-Party Talk North Korea’s “Plan B” Outcome Analysis of Solution “6-2-6” Economic Impact Political and Diplomatic Consequence Social Issues Conclusion A satellite image of the North Korea nuclear facility
DPRK and Its Nuclear Program Political regime and foreign relations Nuclear Program Plan A and Plan B Multilateralism The “Six-Party” Talk Five rounds from 2003 to 2007 Latest Development DPRK’s withdrawal from SPT in April 2009 Current events
U.S.A. Russia China North Korea (DPRK) South Korea (ROK) Japan
North Korea’s Military Expense
US’s Position: NO Bilateral Talks US alone cannot resolve the North Korean nuclear crisis SPT: A better option than UN (General Assembly or Security Council) New Administration: Fresh Impetus
Major Stakeholders in the “Six-Party” Talk
China Political and Economic Ties with DPRK – less security concern Refugee Concern Imagine Building South Korea and Japan Security Concern Refugee Concern Diplomatic Normalization Russia Limited Political Power Balance China and Japan North Korea
Refugees Humanitarian Aid Social differences Human rights
Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.) Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu