03/26/10.  Events: - 7, Hugel 103 - John Morris, hedge-fund manager - Saturday, Kirby 104 – Financing Africa Conference - Tuesday, March 30,

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Presentation transcript:

03/26/10

 Events: - 7, Hugel John Morris, hedge-fund manager - Saturday, Kirby 104 – Financing Africa Conference - Tuesday, March 30, Simon L3, 4pm – Martha Heinze, JPMorganChase – Careers on Wall Street  Next Meetings: April 9 th - ? - April 16 th – Market Madness Winners! - April 23 rd - Elections  Wall Street 2 – postponed until Sep 23 rd 

 MARKET MADNESS  Portfolio Overview  Buy Presentation on AMGN (by Brandon Commodaro)  Hold/Sell Presentation on JAKK (Miao and Eduardo)

 TOTAL VALUE $328,  CASH $40,  TECH $70,  ENER $31,  HEALTH CARE $30,  FINANCIALS $52,  MISC $41,  OTHER (bonds and international funds) $61,532.44

MISC HEALTH CARE

Company: AmgenPresenters: Brandon Commodaro Ticker: AMGNSector: Biotech/ Healthcare Date: 3/26/2010Buy/ Sell: Buy

News New Healthcare Bill has passed What does this mean for Biotech companies?

What is in the Bill? States that if you have insurance at the time of the bill becoming law and change, you will be required to take a similar plan. If that is not available, you will be required to take the government option! All non-US citizens, illegal or not, will be provided with free healthcare services Taxpayers will subsidize all union retiree and community organizer health plans No company can sue the government for price-fixing. No "judicial review" is permitted against the government monopoly

Step by Step The healthcare bill will be initiated in steps 2010 Children age 26 and younger will be able to remain covered under their parents health insurance plans (this is increased from past age limits which were anywhere from age 22-25) Adults with pre-existing conditions will be eligible for coverage into high risk health insurance pools until future health care exchanges are up and running. Health insurance companies will be prohibited from levying annual limits and lifetime limits on coverage Seniors enrolled in Medicare Advantage or the Prescription Drug Plan will receive a 50% discount on brand name drugs immediately with additional prescription drug discounts to follow 2014 All US citizens will be forced to have health insurance coverage considered acceptable by the US Government or else pay a fine Businesses with 50 or more employees will face a fine of either $2,000 or $3,000 per employee for not offering health insurance coverage.

The Facilitators 1.The Government will facilitate an environment where previously ineligible applicants will now be eligible for insurance 2.The Government will facilitate an environment where companies will be forced to supply health care to employees 3.The Government will enforce policy in 2014 by fining Basically…

Company Profile Amgen Inc. (Amgen) is an independent biotechnology medicines company. The Company discovers, develops, manufactures and markets medicines for grievous illnesses. It focuses on human therapeutics and concentrates on medicines based on advances in cellular and molecular biology.

Product Pipeline Prolia/ Denosumab - PENDING FDA APPROVAL Used to treat Osteoporosis ($$) Possibly help prevent cancer from spreading to the bone ($$$) “Denosumab demonstrated superiority over the standard of care in treating bone complications in breast cancer” – Investor Relations Amgen will market Prolia for PMO and oncology in the United States and Canada without a partner

Numbers Current Stock Price$59.07 (Close of 3/24/10) P/E13.10 EPS4.51 PEG1.32 DividendN/A 52 WEEK HIGH/ LOW

Earnings “Amgen, Inc. reaffirmed fiscal 2010 guidance and expects revenues of $15.1-$15.5 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $5.05-$5.25. According to Reuters Estimates, analysts on an average are expecting the Company to report revenue of $15.3 billion and EPS of $5.11 for fiscal ” - Reuters

Earnings Trends

Poised For A Comeback

IBB Holdings 

Counterargument Points to take into consideration 1.Stock price has leveled 2.Health Care Bill will go into final effect in Competitor Novartis (NVS) shows strong fundamentals

Proposal Double shares in AMGN (buy 59.96) Great product pipeline No direct competitor – more invested into Biotech as opposed to healthcare and vaccines Strong Fundamental outlook Closely follows positive market trend

Miao Wang 03/26/09

What does JAKK do JAKK is a multi-brand company that designs and markets a broad range of toys and games -Action Figures -Water Toys -Vehicles Toys -Stationery -Construction toys -TV games -etc (a lot more)

Boys

Girls

Bad things Big loss of million in 2009 compare to a gain of 76.1 million in 2008 Net sales is significantly lower in every quarter of 2009 than that of 2008

Fourth Quarter of 2009 Net Sale: 198.8m vs m in 2008 Net income: -1.9m vs. 16.9m in 2008 Operational Efficiency???

Good things One of the top five toy companies in the states Diversity of Products Sells products in China Consumer goods(not necessities) vs. Economy recovery Presented at Needham Game Day Conference (Yesterday) Increasing trend since Jan of 2010

Statistics Latest Trade: wk Range: Market Cap: M Beta: 0.72 EPS:

What shall we do? Keep itSell it