Returns to Sectors & Style Does sector adjustment matter? China to end April 2011
Sector & Style Investing Sectors selection can add returns Style can add different returns Important to distinguish between both factors – Possible to collect returns from both Style returns can be more stable than sector returns
Approach Use Style Research’s Market Analyzer Benchmark = market – All stocks with market cap of USD 100 million Build Portfolio based on Sector or Style Rebalanced every 6 months – Repriced every month – Includes dividends
WHAT HAVE SECTORS DONE RECENTLY? Sector returns
Returns to Sectors – last 5 years
Health Care Value: - Growth: +/- Size: Small Momemtum : Low Debt: Low Sales: Domestic Quality: +/-
Consumer Goods Value: - Growth: +/- Size: Large Momemtum : - Debt: Low Sales: Domestic Quality: -
Basic Materials Value: - Growth: - Size: Small Momemtum : + Debt: Low Sales: Domestic Quality: -
Technology Value: - Growth: -/+ Size: Small Momemtum : + Debt: Low Sales: Foreign Quality: -/+
Consumer Services Value: - Growth: - Size: Small Momemtum : - Debt: b’mark Sales: b’mark Quality: -
Returns to Sectors – last 5 years
Industrial Value: - Growth: +/- Size: Small Momemtum : low Debt: low Sales: Foreign Quality: -
Financials Value: +/- Growth: +/- Size: Large Momemtum : + Debt: High Sales: Domestic Quality: +
Utilities Clean
Oil & Gas Value: + Growth: +/- Size: Large Momemtum : nil Debt: Low Sales: Foreign Quality: +
Telecom Value: + Growth: - Size: Large Momemtum : nil Debt: Low Sales: Quality: +
Sector Returns 1 Year XS Return - % pa5 year XS Return - % pa Health Care Consumer Goods Basic Materials Technology Consumer Services Industrials Financials Utilities Oil & Gas Telecommunications
WHAT HAS STYLE DONE RECENTLY? Style returns including and excluding sector returns
Value – last 5 years
Book to Price
Last 5 Years SECTOR ADJUSTED - Last 5 Years
Dividend Yield
Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Earnings Yield
Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Cashflow Yield
Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Sales to Price
Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
EBITDA to Price
Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Growth – last 5 years
Return on Equity Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Growth in Earnings per Share Last 5 Years Last 5 Years - SA
Income to Sales Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Sales Growth Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Forecast Earnings Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Forecast Earnings Revisions Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Other – last 5 years
Market Cap Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Beta Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Price Momentum – 6 months Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Price Momentum – 12 months Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Quality – last 5 years
Low Accrual Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Debt to Equity Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Stability of Earnings Growth Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Sustainable Growth Rate Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Stability of Sales Growth Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Stability of Forecast Earnings Last 5 YearsLast 5 Years - SA
Returns to Sector + Style – last 5 years SA, annualised
Returns to Style – last 5 years Last 5 YearsSECTOR ADJUSTED Last 5 Year SA, annualised
Returns to Sector & Style
Value Last 5 YearsLast 5 Year - SA
Growth Last 5 YearsLast 5 Year - SA
Other Last 5 YearsLast 5 Year - SA
Quality Last 5 Years5 Year - SA
Sector & Style Investing Sectors selection can add returns Style can add different returns Important to distinguish between both factors – Possible to collect returns from both Style returns can be more stable than sector returns