KANSAS SEARCH AN RESCUE WORKSHOP 2009

 All the experts agree it is not whether or not it will, but when, and how bad it will be!  The events of December 1811 through February 1812 was 2 to 3 times larger than the Alaska event in 1964 and 10 times larger than the 1906 San Francisco event.  Estimates the 1800 quakes were over, there were 5 quakes over 8 in 3 months.

 The geographic coverage was over 600,000 sq kilometers and effect felt over 5 million.  Currently Cairo Illinois to Memphis to Chickasaw Bluff Tennessee with lighter damage as distant as Cincinnati and St.Louis.  Only a few lives were lost, but population is estimated at several hundred.  Same population area totals now exceed 20 million.

 Typical earthquake forecast seem not to apply to this area, although it is considered to be one of three most at risks areas in the US due to the lack of normal ground chatter.  PROBABILITY OF WITHIN 50 YEARS 7 TO 10%  PROBABILITY OF A 6.0 OR LARGER 25-40%  SCIENTIST S ESTIMATE 90%

 The Governor of the Missouri Territories asked for Federal Assistance and is considered the first example of disaster relief. 

 HEAVY DAMAGE TENN 3 COUNTIES MO 2 COUNTIES MODERATE TENN 9 COUNTIES MO 7 COUNTIES ARK 1 COUNTY KY 3 COUNTIES

 LIGHT DAMAGE TENN 17 COUNTIES MO 16 COUNTIES ARK 15 COUNTIES KY 11 COUNTIES ILL 12 COUNTIES

 30 % PROBABILITY ROAD INFRASTRUCTURES WITHIN 70 MILES OF CENTER COMPLETELY DESTROYED  6 MAJOR PIPELINES IN AREA  MISSISSIPPI LEVEES WILL FAIL DIVERTING RIVER  50% STRUCTURE LOSS IN EPICENTER PATH  90% OF PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE WITHIN 100 MILES OF EPICENTER

 DAMAGE ESTIMATES WITHIN THE LIQUEFACTION AREA WHICH RUNS FROM MISSISSIPPI TO KC IS AVERAGED AT 55% OF NON REINFORCED STRUCTURES  ESTIMATES RUN FROM 50B TO 200B DOLLARS  CASUALTIES 18,000 NIGHTTIME, 20,000 DAYTIME AND 18,000 COMMUTE TIME.  400K WITHOUT WATER FOR 90 DAYS  250K DISPLACED HOUSEHOLDS  32M TONS OF DEBRIS

 KANSAS AND MISSOURI WITH FEMA WORKING ON MULTI STATE EXERCISE  STATES WORKING ON PRE EMAC MISSION SETS  KANSAS WORKING ON LOGISTICS BASES LOCATED THROUGHOUT STATE  METRO KC WORKING ON RELOCATION CENTERS

 KANSAS SEARCH AND RESCUE TASK FORCE FORMING  INCIDENT MANAGEMENT TEAMS FORMING  MILITARY-CIVILIAN INTERFACE

 NO MISSION EQUALS NO MONEY

 THE DIFFICULTIES OF ROUTING, MAINTENANCE, SUSTAINMENT IN AREAS WITH NOTHING COMPOUND DEPLOYMENTS  NO ROADS, COMMS, WATER, FOOD, FUEL, EVACUEES MAKE NON SUSTAINABLE TASK FORCES A BURDEN  KS/MO WILL GET A BULK OD EVACUEES OVER A PERIOD OF DAYS USING OUR RESOURCES

 LIGHTWEIGHT TRUSS CONSTRUCTION WILL EXPAND EXPECTED DAMAGE AREAS, UNKNOWN SFFECTS MILES FROM THE EVENT AREA  KANSAS PLANS TO FORM REQUESTED TEAMS BASED ON THE MISSION REQUEST AND BE SELF SUSTAINABLE, A MIX OF LOCAL, STATE, PRIVATE, AND MILITARY ASSESTS.

 CONTINUE TO SUPPORT KANSAS SAR  COOPERATE WITH REQUEST FOR RESOURCE TYPING AND CREDENTIALS INVENTORIES  DO NOT SELF DEPLOY

 Bill Brubaker  Kansas Adjutant Generals Department  Northeast Regional Coordinator  2800 SW Topeka Blvd  Topeka, Kansas  Office  Cell 