2010 Homicide Prediction By Kevin Sullivan Kantivut Kanjad Nirav Navi, Marawan Mahmoud Group A
Homicide Rate Income Unemployme nt Rate Gang Presence/Act ivity Dropout Rate Weapons Licensed/Unli censed Historical Data Potential Factors
Homicide Rate Historical Date Income Unemploy ment Rate Potential Factors
Income Homicides ? Income
Income / Homicide
{Homicide} {Income} Income / Homicide
Unemployment Homicides ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? Unemployment
Unemployment / Homicide
Unemployment / Homicide
HomicideUnemployment
USING OUR PAST TO PREDICT OUR FUTURE Historical Data
Zip Code Total Avg 5-Y Avg 3-Y Avg 2-Y Number of Homicide in St. Louis
St. Louis 5-Year Average Homicide Heat Map
Homicide Map
Yearly Homicide Record of The Top 9 Zip Code
Zip Code Total Yearly Change on Homicide Record of The Top 9 Zip Code
Yearly Homicide Record of The Top 9 Zip Code
Monthly Homicide Record in the last 5 Years
Calculate % Change of each Year Identify the Hi/Lo %Change Calculate the %Change Average Calculate the High/Lo Homicide Calculate the Homicide Average Apply the Probability to the Homicide Average
MonthProbability January February March April May June July August September October November December Zip CodeProbabilityZip CodeProbability
Predicted 2010 Monthly Homicide
2010 Predicted Homicide Map