Market Forces at Play in Producing the 2012 Crop Alan Miller Craig Dobbins Bruce Erickson Purdue University is an Equal Opportunity/Equal Access institution.

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Presentation transcript:

Market Forces at Play in Producing the 2012 Crop Alan Miller Craig Dobbins Bruce Erickson Purdue University is an Equal Opportunity/Equal Access institution.

Major Inputs for Crops Fertilizers Seeds Pesticides Fuel (machinery operation, crop drying) Machinery Labor 2

From Roller Coaster to Merry Go Round, Inputs Costs Rising 3

2012 Outlook6 Fertilizer Use By Region, 2010 Fertecon

2012 Outlook7 Potash Corp

2012 Outlook8 Nitrogen Fertilizer Plant in Trinidad Courtesy PCS Sales

11

2012 Outlook14 Phosphorus Mining in Florida and

2012 Outlook17 Mining Potassium Deposits in Canada

Nitrogen/Corn Price Ratios from Purdue Budgets Year N Price $/lb Corn Price $/bu Ratio N price/Corn price Est

23 What is New in Seeds/Genetics New genetics/traits drive pricing Refuge in a bag Technology fees are dominating factor Tough conditions for seed production in some areas

Indiana Seed Price Trends 24

Corn Seed Cost/Gross Revenue from Purdue Budgets Year Seed Corn Cost $/A Corn Gross Revenue $/A Ratio Seed Cost/Revenue Est

Soybean Seed Cost/Gross Revenue from Purdue Budgets Year Seed Soybean Cost $/A Soybean Gross Revenue $/A Ratio Cost/Revenue Est

2012 Outlook Glyphosate (Roundup) Herbicide$29$40$43$23$17 Sethoxydim (Poast) Herbicide$74$73$83$81$83 2,4-D Herbicide$16$17$19$18 Terbufos (Counter) Insecticide (lb)$2.32$2.53$2.46$2.64$2.73 Chlorothalonil (Bravo) Insecticide$47$48$60$50$41 Price Trends of Individual Pesticides (price per gal unless noted) NASS Agricultural Prices,

2012 Outlook28 Sprayer Nozzle and Boom Control

2012 Outlook29 Planter Clutches

31