2015 Hurricane Season Outlook Briefing National Weather Service Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu, HI.

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Presentation transcript:

2015 Hurricane Season Outlook Briefing National Weather Service Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu, HI

Looking Back at the 2014 Season Outlook 4-7 Tropical Cyclones 40% Above Normal Season 40% Normal Season (4-5 TCs) 20% Below Normal Season El Niño conditions expected to develop during the Season.

2014 Hurricane Season Review

Tropical Weather Climatology Central Pacific Average per Year – 4-5 Tropical Cyclones 1981 to 2013: Tropical Cyclones Three direct hits since 1950 – Dot (1959), Iwa (1982), Iniki (1992) – Total damage more than 3.25 billion dollars

La Niña El Niño Neutral

TC Climate Factors El Niño conditions typically mean a more active hurricane season in the Central Pacific. (6-7 per year since 1970) La Niña conditions typically mean a less active hurricane season in the Central Pacific. (3 per year since 1970)

2015 Season Outlook 5-8 Tropical Cyclones 70% Above Normal Season 25% Normal Season (4-5 TCs) 5% Below Normal Season El Niño conditions expected to strengthen during the season

Questions & Contact Info Any Questions??

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