Philip Mote Columbia River Basin The Climate Impacts Group: Piloting Climate Services for the Pacific Northwest Water resources Salmon Forests Coasts.

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Presentation transcript:

Philip Mote Columbia River Basin The Climate Impacts Group: Piloting Climate Services for the Pacific Northwest Water resources Salmon Forests Coasts

Columbia River flow, reconstructed from tree rings Gedalof et al., JAWRA, 2005

Case Inlet Protection Island Jamestown A record of past climate from geoducks!

Geoduck growth Mean of four series at Protection Island Are Strom, UW

Baseline Forecast at The Dalles using Older Resampling Methods (Oct 1, 1993 initial conditions) Blue = ensemble mean Red = long-term mean

Alaska and PNW salmon production are out of phase (Hare et al 1999, Fisheries)

Eco-provinces RegionModelCorrelation Cascade mixed-P(yr) - P(yr-1)0.50 Intermountain semi- desert T(yr) - P(Ap- Se) 0.46

Relative trends