USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007.

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National Agricultural Statistics Service

Presentation transcript:

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007 Indianapolis, IN Jeff Geuder Chief, Crops Branch USDA/NASS

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service

CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Corn: PlantedMil Ac92.9NC HarvestedMil Ac85.4NC YieldBu/Ac ProductionBil Bu U.S CORN PRODUCTION

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Corn: PlantedMil Ac92.9NC HarvestedMil Ac85.4NC YieldBu/Ac ProductionBil Bu U.S CORN PRODUCTION No change from June Up from ‘06

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Corn: PlantedMil Ac92.9NC HarvestedMil Ac85.4NC YieldBu/Ac ProductionBil Bu U.S CORN PRODUCTION 2 nd highest yield on record Record production

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service 11% above previous record 24% above last year

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service 2 nd highest behind in

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Very high ear count Recent trend

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service August 2007 Corn Objective Yield Sample Distribution Maturity Code  2: Pre-blister  3: Blister  4: Milk  5: Dough  6: Dent Dent

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Better vegetative condition vs. 2006

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Increased yield in some major States

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Decreased yield in some minor States

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Record yield in some States

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Soybeans: PlantedMil Ac64.1NC HarvestedMil Ac63.3NC YieldBu/Ac ProductionBil Bu U.S SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Soybeans: PlantedMil Ac64.1NC HarvestedMil Ac63.3NC YieldBu/Ac ProductionBil Bu U.S SOYBEAN PRODUCTION No change from June Down from ‘06

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Soybeans: PlantedMil Ac64.1NC HarvestedMil Ac63.3NC YieldBu/Ac ProductionBil Bu U.S SOYBEAN PRODUCTION Yield down 1.2 bu. from ‘06 Production down from last year’s record

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Lowest since 2003

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Down 1.2 bu from ‘06 Still 4 th highest yield 41.5

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service August 2007 Soybean Objective Yield Sample Distribution Maturity Code  2: Pods set, leaves green  3: Pods filled, leaves yellow

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service

Small decreases in some major States

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Winter Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac YieldBu/Ac ProductionBil Bu Other Spring: HarvestedMil Ac12.7NC- 8.3 YieldBu/Ac ProductionMil Bu Durum Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac2.16NC YieldBu/Ac ProductionMil Bu All Wheat: ProductionBil Bu U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION Harvested acres reduced – flooding at harvest time Production up from last year’s drought

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Winter Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac YieldBu/Ac ProductionBil Bu Other Spring: HarvestedMil Ac12.7NC- 8.3 YieldBu/Ac ProductionMil Bu Durum Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac2.16NC YieldBu/Ac ProductionMil Bu All Wheat: ProductionBil Bu U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION 6.1 bushel increase from last year

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Winter Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac YieldBu/Ac ProductionBil Bu Other Spring: HarvestedMil Ac12.7NC- 8.3 YieldBu/Ac ProductionMil Bu Durum Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac2.16NC YieldBu/Ac ProductionMil Bu All Wheat: ProductionBil Bu U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION Above last year but below 8 of previous 10 seasons

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service

Hot, dry in July

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Winter Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac YieldBu/Ac ProductionBil Bu Other Spring: HarvestedMil Ac12.7NC- 8.3 YieldBu/Ac ProductionMil Bu Durum Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac2.16NC YieldBu/Ac ProductionMil Bu All Wheat: ProductionBil Bu U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION Above last year but lowest since 1993

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service 76.7

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season OatsMil Bu BarleyMil Bu SorghumMil Bu Alfalfa HayMil Tons Other HayMil Tons U.S. PRODUCTION

USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season RiceMil Cwt PeanutsBil Lbs Dry BeansMil Cwt All TobaccoMil Lbs SugarbeetsMil Tons SugarcaneMil Tons U.S. PRODUCTION