N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 1/22 ASAP Progress Report Adaptive Sampling and Cooperative Control Naomi Ehrich Leonard Francois Lekien, Derek Paley, Fumin Zhang Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Princeton University

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 2/22 At least nine gliders to be used for adaptive sampling on boundaries and in interior of the “box”. Adaptive sampling should minimize model error by (1) maximizing coverage, (2) finding fronts, and (3) observing local changes in the heat budget. Three central tasks: 1.Design trajectories for glider array. Optimal trajectories will require coordinated design -- relative positions of all gliders central to the design. 2.Design feedback control algorithms to ensure coordination of gliders, in spite of currents, unexpected events, other perturbations. 3.Design feedback algorithms for adaptation of trajectories for glider array in response to changing ocean dynamics and changing operational conditions. Coordinated Array Design Cooperative Control Law Gliders Relative positions, currents Model Sensor measurements Overview

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 3/22 1. Glider Array Design: Objectives Use approximate model to derive optimal trajectories that maximize information to full model. Requires evaluation that optimal plan from approximate model enhances performance of full model. Match array design to ocean processes we want to observe including Migration of warm water offshore during upwelling, onshore migration during relaxation, pattern of these processes south of Ano Nuevo, 3-D effects, location of horizontal divergence, how deeply surface and bottom mixing penetrates stratified water column, special patterns around topography. Design how gliders should be coordinated to realize full potential of array. Accommodate influence of flow field on glider navigation in array design. Tradeoffs between optimality and robustness. Evaluate effectiveness of glider array design.

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 4/22 2. Feedback Control for Glider Coordination: Objectives Feedback should keep the gliders in their optimal relative positions despite currents that push the gliders away from the prescribed trajectories. Constant glider speed relative to flow. Relative position measurements computed every two hours and estimates of other glider positions used. Coordinated Array Design Cooperative Control Law Gliders Relative positions, currents Model Sensor measurements

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 5/22 3. Adaptation of Array Design: Objectives To “close the loop”, quantify effect of increased knowledge on design of coordinated trajectories. Use sensor data from gliders to re-determine metric and then recompute array design. Accommodate changes in ocean processes (using updated model estimates) and changes in operations (e.g., add/subtract glider). In case of feature tracking, use sensor data directly to influence changes in subarray (path and shape). Coordinated Array Design Cooperative Control Law Gliders Relative positions, currents Model Sensor measurements

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 6/22 1. Glider Array Design: Approach Derive performance of sampling array from linear data assimilation scheme Choose metric to be functional of error in the best linear estimate of final state (after data has been assimilated).

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 7/22 Glider Array Design: Approach cont. Search for trajectories corresponding to a global minimum of the metric. Design near-optimal trajectories: Use parametrized family of “simple” shapes. Parameters include shape, size, orientation # simple shapes to cover region. # of sensors per shape. Relative positions of all sensors. Choose near optimal solutions where value of metric is at plateau for robustness.

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 8/22 Sampling Metric from Objective Analysis Represent ocean with finite number of random variables: Measurement matrix represents influence of M measurements on N grid points: Priori covariance between two grid points approximated from past observations: Posteriori covariance of best linear estimate: Metrics:

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 9/22 Computation of Optimal Trajectories Box: Trajectories: Constraint: Optimality Trajectories:

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 10/22 Computation of Optimal Trajectories A Priori Correlation: Scaled Trajectories: Size and shape: Speed and time: Constraint:

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 11/22 Computation of Optimal Trajectories For

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 12/22 Nearly Optimal Trajectories

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 13/22 Minimum Error The value of the metric (  ) does not depend on is a function of (and ) only!

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 14/22 Optimal Solution for Ellipses For ellipses, the optimum is at Corresponds to one glider per region of area

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 15/22 Sub-sampling Dramatic increase below Sub-sampling limited to Sample small scale gradients and keep an acceptable model error?

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 16/22 Smallest Sub-Sampling Scale Minimum sub-sampling scale for : Minimum side of a triangle of 3 gliders: August 16, 2003

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 17/22 Level Sets and Front Tracking Thermal Front Parameter (TFP) Thermal Front Warm / Cold Fronts

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 18/22 2. Feedback Control for Glider Coordination Feedback control laws and convergence proofs for coordinating constant speed vehicles to move around closed paths with uniform inter-vehicle spacing.

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 19/22 Feedback Control for Glider Coordination Feedback provides robustness to small perturbations. In progress: Improving robustness to currents. Coordination with reduced “communication”, I.e., each glider to know relative position with respect to only subset of other gliders. vehicle

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 20/22 3. Adaptation of Array Design 1)For metric, evaluate a priori covariance from unstructured data collected by sensors. 2)Consider inhomogeneous statistics. Reveals importance of currents (e.g., high correlation along a jet, low correlation across a jet). 3)Consider capturing inhomogeneity with advection term. 4)Possibly use potentials to direct array to processes of interest.

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 21/22 Test flow field: Example: Double-Gyre Model

N.E. Leonard – ASAP Progress Meeting – February 17-18, 2005 Slide 22/22 Final Remarks and Future Directions Metric based on objective analysis error map. Starting point is homogeneous, isotropic field. Considering different ways to augment approach to ensure that arrays are well matched (and can adapt) to ocean processes that we want to observe. Near-optimal glider trajectories from parameterization of simple shapes. Parametrization includes relative positions of gliders. Numerical studies with elliptical trajectories yield preliminary results on nature of near-optimal solutions. Work still to be done to find complete near-optimal coordinated array solutions. Can choose among near-optimal solutions: seek a solution that aids robustness to currents and contributes to better computing the metric. Need still to fully address transit problem, I.e., how best to bring glider(s) from deployment to near-optimal glider array. Approach: combine sampling metric with minimum-time (or energy) metric (see Jerry’s talk). Evaluate performance of near-optimal glider arrays first in simulation. Develop means to evaluate success of glider array and adaptation for the experiment. Use at least 9 gliders for coverage of “the box”. Propose testing new level set/front tracking algorithms with gliders (perhaps before or after main glider array coverage experiment).