General order for discussion Does balance matter? What kinds of metric should be used to measure imbalance? Algorithm details Other types of balance What.

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Presentation transcript:

General order for discussion Does balance matter? What kinds of metric should be used to measure imbalance? Algorithm details Other types of balance What about unbalanced flow? Use of “toy models”. Anything else?

Metrics What kind of metric should be used to measure imbalance? –Separate by scale?

Measuring gravitational “noise”

Does balance matter? Does a balanced analysis matter, or can we just initialise? Does a balanced background matter? –Used to estimate background error covariances

Algorithm details Are some flavours of EnKF inherently better for balance? –Perturbed obs, single vs double, ETKF vs EnSRF vs EAKF, sequential vs all-at-once, … Are some control variable choices better for balance in Var systems?

Other types of balance Balance issues concerning moisture Balances on the mesoscale Tropical cyclones

Convection and Gravity-Wave Generation

What about unbalanced flow? Models can simulate several regimes, e.g Mesosphere Mesoscale Tropics

Koshyk et al. (1999) troposphere stratosphere mesosphere Rot KEDiv KE RotKE = DivKE around n=20 RotKE = DivKE around n=10 Kinetic energy spectrum changes with height

Toy models What are the desirable properties of a toy model for studying balance in an assimilation system?

Anything else?

Forecast and obs error variances increase with height Nezlin et al. (2008) CMAM ens-based T forecast error std T profiles over one night from lidar R.J. Sica (U Western Ontario) 42.9 N, 81.4 W