European Livestock Policy Evaluation Network (ELPEN) Erling Andersen Danish Centre for Forest, Landscape and Planning Frans Godeschalk The Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI) Brussels

ELPEN Overall objective To build a decision support system for spatially explicit assessments of environmental, economic and social impacts of European livestock policy.

The ELPEN approach Livestock systems Agricultural statistical data Farm level information Contextual information Economic modelling

Step 1: Agricultural sectors

Step 2: Grazing livestock sectors

Step 3: Grazing livestock systems A. Land use

Step 3: Grazing livestock systems B. Intensity

Step 3: Grazing livestock systems C. Size

Location of systems Low input grassland systems High input grassland systems

Example of application: Two scenarios for area payments  All direct support substituted by:  1. UAA premium  - a unionwide homogeneous area payment on the total farmed area  2. Grassland premium  - a unionwide homogeneous area payment on permanent and rough grassland

Example of application: Area payments

Example of application: Area payments Permanent grassland systems 58 ha 58 GLU 84% Permanent and rough grass FFI: Ecu 33% older than 65 78% of UAA in LFA

Example of application: Area payments Permanent grassland systems

Example of application: Area payments Intensity

Example of application: Area payments Size

Variables used in the typology

Grazing days outside UAA Source: FADN-CCE-DG Agriculture/A-3; adaptation LEI.

Grassland data Percentage temporary grass of total grassland

Cost of inputs Source: DGagri web Price index = average for all the mentioned member states

Conclusions 1 Based on the expert knowledge and FADN data we have build a typology of grazing livestock systems The livestock systems have different environmental profiles enabling policy assessment More detailed information on farming practices and location is needed - reference farms and GIS-analysis

Conclusions 2 We need to check the quality of the variables used to build the typology This meeting Questionnarie