Roger Nelson Mind Matter and Machines Tools for Anomalies Research PEAR Laboratory, Princeton University.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Roger Nelson Utrecht II Oct A Presentation for Utrecht ll: Charting the Future of Parapsychology October 2008, Utrecht, The Netherlands Roger Nelson.
Advertisements

Design of Experiments Lecture I
A GLOBAL NETWORK of random sources shows deviations linked with events that affect millions of people. The results challenge common ideas about.
Overarching Goal: Understand that computer models require the merging of mathematics and science. 1.Understand how computational reasoning can be infused.
Roger Nelson Global Consciousness Project Consciousness, Observation And Randomness: The Presence of Mind in the Physical.
Yellow dots are nodes in the network Roger Nelson Effects of Collective Attention: Patterns Where.
Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure.
A slide show describing scientific process, primary findings, and preliminary interpretations Roger Nelson, Director Global Consciousness Project
Statistics. Large Systems Macroscopic systems involve large numbers of particles.  Microscopic determinism  Macroscopic phenomena The basis is in mechanics.
Chapter 6 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions
The Global Consciousness Project Weak Signals, Strong Implications Roger Nelson Yellow spots are.
Variability and statistical tests. Where the variability comes from? Instrumental measurements Biology –Genotype –Environment –Ootype –Experimental factors.
Yellow dots are nodes in the network Roger Nelson Patterns Where There Should Be None A Glimpse of.
Statistics: The Science of Learning from Data Data Collection Data Analysis Interpretation Prediction  Take Action W.E. Deming “The value of statistics.
CHAPTER 6 Statistical Analysis of Experimental Data
3-1 Introduction Experiment Random Random experiment.
Personality, 9e Jerry M. Burger
Multivariate Probability Distributions. Multivariate Random Variables In many settings, we are interested in 2 or more characteristics observed in experiments.
Systems Dynamics and Equilibrium
Item Analysis: Classical and Beyond SCROLLA Symposium Measurement Theory and Item Analysis Modified for EPE/EDP 711 by Kelly Bradley on January 8, 2013.
Chapter 4 Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions
Reclaiming Connection. An experiment on connection Can our positive thoughts/feelings influence the environment a quantum level (and perhaps be a force.
Prof. SankarReview of Random Process1 Probability Sample Space (S) –Collection of all possible outcomes of a random experiment Sample Point –Each outcome.
Verification & Validation
1 9/23/2015 MATH 224 – Discrete Mathematics Basic finite probability is given by the formula, where |E| is the number of events and |S| is the total number.
1 LES of Turbulent Flows: Lecture 1 Supplement (ME EN ) Prof. Rob Stoll Department of Mechanical Engineering University of Utah Fall 2014.
Chapter 1: Research Methods
Theory of Probability Statistics for Business and Economics.
 A probability function is a function which assigns probabilities to the values of a random variable.  Individual probability values may be denoted by.
 A probability function is a function which assigns probabilities to the values of a random variable.  Individual probability values may be denoted by.
Yellow dots are nodes in the network Roger Nelson Effects of Collective Attention: Patterns Where.
 A probability function is a function which assigns probabilities to the values of a random variable.  Individual probability values may be denoted by.
4.3 Binomial Distributions. Red Tiles and Green Tiles in a Row You have 4 red tiles and 3 green tiles. You need to select 4 tiles. Repeated use of a tiles.
Copyright © 2010, 2007, 2004 Pearson Education, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Statistics Section 5-6 Normal as Approximation to Binomial.
Methodology Matters: Doing Research in the Behavioral and Social Sciences ICS 205 Ha Nguyen Chad Ata.
Global Consciousness Project
Data Analysis Econ 176, Fall Populations When we run an experiment, we are always measuring an outcome, x. We say that an outcome belongs to some.
The Global Consciousness Project Weak Signals, Strong Implications Roger Nelson.
An overview of analytical findings and recent developments Roger Nelson, Director Peter Bancel, Principal Analyst Global Consciousness Project
5.1 Probability in our Daily Lives.  Which of these list is a “random” list of results when flipping a fair coin 10 times?  A) T H T H T H T H T H 
Describing Distributions with Numbers Chapter 2. What we will do We are continuing our exploration of data. In the last chapter we graphically depicted.
Trond Reitan Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, Department of Biosciences, University of Oslo, Norway
Roger Nelson Princeton University and Global Consciousness Project Emotions in Global Consciousness A study of basic emotions.
1 LES of Turbulent Flows: Lecture 2 (ME EN ) Prof. Rob Stoll Department of Mechanical Engineering University of Utah Spring 2011.
The Global Consciousness Project Weak Signals, Strong Implications Roger Nelson.
Using Qualitative Methods to Identify System Dynamics and Inform System Evaluation Design Margaret Hargreaves Mathematica Policy Research American Evaluation.
Global Consciousness Project Anomalous Correlations In Networked Random Data Evidence for.
Probability Distributions  A variable (A, B, x, y, etc.) can take any of a specified set of values.  When the value of a variable is the outcome of a.
INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMIC STATISTICS Topic 5 Discrete Random Variables These slides are copyright © 2010 by Tavis Barr. This work is licensed under a Creative.
Probability Distributions
Computer Simulation Henry C. Co Technology and Operations Management,
MECH 373 Instrumentation and Measurements
Statistical Modelling
Discrete Probability Distributions
What better example than Finally, What’s the Bottom Line?
Tools of Environmental Science
Lessons From The PEAR Lab
When you put a thing in order, and give it a name, and you are all in accord, it becomes. - - From the Navajo, Masked Gods, Waters, 1950.
The Global Consciousness Project
Global Emotion: Transfixed by Tragedy
Probability Review for Financial Engineers
Research in Psychology
Probability using Simulations
ENM 310 Design of Experiments and Regression Analysis Chapter 3
Statistics: Analyzing Data and Probability Day 5
Statistical Thinking and Applications
Elementary Statistics
Name:________________ Date:_________________ Class Period:___________
How Far We Are From Orto-Computing?
Wednesday, September 6 Remember Dusty? How could we use correlation to learn more about the relationship with different variables with ADHD? What is.
Presentation transcript:

Roger Nelson Mind Matter and Machines Tools for Anomalies Research PEAR Laboratory, Princeton University

We have used many machines All based on Random Sources Dual Thermistor Linedar Pendulum Electronic REG/RNG Chaotic Fountain Random Drumbeat

Designing a flawless experiment is extremely difficult, and carrying one out is probably impossible. - - Jessica Utts, Seeing Through Statistics

The beginning of a viable Experiment is good design And careful implementation

The technology has been developing Over the last four decades Reliable, calibrated REG/RNG devices Increasing sophistication of design Computer recording and analysis Controlled explorations Theoretical questions Robust analyses

New generations of Random Sources PEAR B-Box: Thermal Johnson Noise Mindsong: Field Effect Transistor Replications and Extensions Palmtop Portability

How it works: Here’s 1000 Trials from A physical random source Each trial is the sum of 200 bits

The binomial distribution of bit trials, compared with Theoretical normal distribution expected

What happens to the data over time? Plot cumulative deviation from expectation A General CaseGCP Standard Analysis Should be a Random Walk (a “drunkard’s walk”)

The REG technology is basic Experimental questions can vary Feedback and perspective change outcome

Feedback mode can be simple numbers Or plots of cumulative deviations Is one of these better?

Laboratory Experiments, PEAR: Intention to change the REG behavior High and Low both depart from expectation HI LO BL

522 REG Experiments: The Difference Between High and Low Intention is Small, but is a Significant Shift

Other Experiments with Random Physical Systems Fabry Perot Interferometer Crookes Tube Dual Thermistor Degraded Shift Register Random Mechanical Cascade Linear Pendulum Linear to Turbulent Flow (Fountain) …

An Onboard REG controls the path of a Robot (with a Frog passenger) Poisson distributed rotation and distance

Random Mechanical Cascade (RMC) The Pinball Machine Murphy 9000 ¾ inch balls 19 collecting bins 10’ high 6’ wide

A Linear Pendulum Swinging in Air Increase or Decrease Damping Knife edge breaks An LED beam Timing by a 50 Nanosecond clock

A Random Event Generator (REG or RNG) Mindsong REG Orion RNG

Broader Applications: A continuous running REG in the lab, with software to mark events In November, 1995, Rabin was Assassinated

Field REG Experiments: Take portable REG With Palmtop Computer into the Field Resonant vs Mundane Situations

In FieldREG there are no Assigned Intentions We simply collect data in the situation We find departures from expectation Queens Chamber Grand Gallery Kings Chamber

Departures from expectation correlate with Coherent or Resonant group consciousness Deeply engaging ideas and emotions

Going Global: A prototype collaboration Colleagues in Europe and the US Collected 12 independent data streams

Global Consciousness Project Combined data For a whole day, from 48 eggs

We can see better what’s happening by Plotting the cumulative deviations Correlation Tilts … Variance Spreads

Maybe a trend in the cumulative Deviation is Meaningful?

Examples of the range of Potential Global Events: Natural disasters Terrible accidents The beginning of war The Pope’s pilgrimage Grand celebrations Political excitement Astrological hot spots World-wide meditations

Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure September 11 Enters History of the Earth

Major disasters that engage us powerfully Often correlate with big deviations

An exploration of context: Six hours of data Around the beginning of bombing in Kosovo

Sept 11 prediction: Inter-egg Variance will fluctuate Red is real data, Green is Pseudorandom

Repairing the Social Fabric: Healing Meditations Prayer Vigils Ceremonies Holidays

A Substantial Agreement on Getting Our Ecological Act Together

Voices For Peace -- World-Wide Conscience -- Global Consciousness

And Yet -- A Preemptive Attack The March to War is No Random Walk

The Lighter Side Celebrations: What better example than New Years?

An obvious prediction: New Years celebrations Across all (37) time zones Three of five are classic examples

Prediction: New Years Reduction of Variance Among the Eggs Three of five are classic confirmations

Questions outnumber answers Deep engagement is powerful Great numbers contribute but Does distance from the focus matter? How about relevance to local people? Is human consciousness necessary? Are “experimenter effects” the source? What kinds of events are “strongest”? Is the effect repeatable and reliable?

Does the distance of the eggs From the event make a difference?

Categories: What seems to touch the EGG Network? Four and a Half Years, 132 Formal Predictions

The Bottom Line: 132 global events over 4.5 years Odds: About 100,000 to 1