Climate and Energy in a Complex Transition Process towards Sustainable Hyderabad Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies by Changing Institutions, Governance.

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Presentation transcript:

Climate and Energy in a Complex Transition Process towards Sustainable Hyderabad Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies by Changing Institutions, Governance Structures, Lifestyles and Consumption Patterns Project in the Funding Programme of the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF): “Research for the Sustainable Development of the Megacities of Tomorrow” International Consortium lead by Humboldt University Berlin

Definition of the problem Emerging megacity of “Greater Hyderabad”, will reach 10.5 million inhabitants by 2015 Modernization and urbanization as well as consumption and lifestyle changes have led to growth in commercial energy use and increasing per capita greenhouse gas emissions Hyderabad is predicted vulnerable to climate change in terms of food production, water management, biodiversity and livelihoods Severe floods in 2002, strong heat waves in 2003 and altogether three drought years between 2000 and 2007 support this assumption

FIELDS PROCESSES Project Management WP 10 Project Design Dissemination Strategy WP 9 Action Plan WP 8 Food/ Poverty/ Health Resources/ Environment/ Infrastructure Knowledge Generation and Application Institutions and Governance Structures WP 2 WP 4 WP 5 WP 3 Communication Strategies WP 6 Cooperation Strategies WP 7 WP 1 Climate Change Project Structure

First year's program Projection of relevant climate/weather variables for Hyderabad Identification of qualitative climate impact paths CO2-Emissions from the city Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)‏

Impacts of projected climate change for Hyderabad Objectives: projected impacts on food security, health, transport, energy provision, natural resource management Methods: historical analogues, mechanistic modelling, expert/stakeholder interviews Results: „climate proofing“ of development plans/pilot projects and consideration of adaptation to unavoidable climate change Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)‏

Impact Paths 1.Weather-elements: (a) Extremes Extreme rainfall events Heat spells (b) Averages annual/seasonal rainfall annual/seasonal temperature (of daily min/avg/max)‏ (c)..... Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)‏

Impact Paths 1.Weather-elements: (a) Extremes Extreme rainfall events Heat spells (b) Averages annual/seasonal rainfall annual/seasonal temperature (of daily min/avg/max) (c).... Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)‏

1954: > 240 mm/day 28/9/1908: 408 mm/day Historical extreme precipitation events in Hyderabad 8-9/8/2008: 110 mm/day 22-23/08/2000: 240 mm/day 77 slums being completely washed away Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)‏

2. Impact Diagram (subsection) Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)‏......

Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)‏ Cross-cutting: Several fields affected by one type of event

Adaptation Improvement of drainage Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)‏

Adaptation Improvement of construction Reckien/Matthias Lüdeke/Reusswig, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)‏

Relevant Climate Change Impact Paths for Hyderabad after a first round of expert and stakeholder consultations (as of July 09)