Stability & Skew-T Diagrams ATS 351 Lecture 6 Stability & Skew-T Diagrams

Air Parcel To demonstrate stability, a parcel of air is used Expands and contracts freely Always has uniform properties throughout

Air Parcel Movement: Why does rising air expand and cool? Lift parcel: pressure lowers  air molecules push outward  EXPANDS Energy is used to expand so molecules slow down  COOLS Lower parcel: pressure increases  COMPRESSES parcel Compressing increases molecular energy  WARMS

Adiabatic Process Adiabatic Process: when a parcel expands and cools or compresses and warms WITHOUT exchange of heat with the surrounding environment. In unsaturated air, a parcel of air cools or warms at the Dry Adiabatic Rate (about 10ºC/km)‏ The dew point also decreases as a parcel is raised “Dry Adiabatically” Dew Point Lapse Rate: 2ºC/km

Moist Adiabatic Process As the parcel rises, temperature and dew point get closer together and are eventually equal  condensation Td decreases at a slower rate than T Since latent heat is released inside the parcel during condensation, the temperature will now decrease at a slower rate Moist Adiabatic Lapse Rate: ~6ºC/km Bullet 2: LH release offsets the adiabatic cooling that is occurring because of the rising motion - temperature decreases at a slower rate.

Stability Stable Equilibrium Unstable Equilibrium Neutral Equilibrium If the ball is displaced it will return to it’s original position Unstable Equilibrium If the ball is displaced it will accelerate away from the equilibrium point Neutral Equilibrium If the ball is displaced it will stay in it’s new location.

Stability in the Atmosphere At any height, if the temperature of the parcel is greater than the environment, the parcel will rise (and vice versa). Temperature profile of the environment is received from radiosonde data. We can look at the lapse rate of the environment to see what an air parcel will do if it is displaced In a stable atmosphere: a displaced parcel will return to its initial position. In an unstable atmosphere: a displaced parcel will continue to move in the initial direction of motion.

Conditions for Stability Absolutely Stable Environmental lapse rate is less than moist adiabatic lapse rate. Lapse rate < 6ºC/km Absolutely Unstable Environmental lapse rate is greater than dry adiabatic lapse rate. Lapse rate > 10ºC/km Conditionally Unstable Environmental lapse rate lies between moist and dry lapse rates. Lapse rate between 6- 10ºC/km

Stable Atmosphere The parcel of air is colder than the environment since its lapse rate is greater. Therefore, a displaced parcel will return to its original position: vertical motion is suppressed. What conditions produce a stable atmosphere?: Air aloft warms (by warm advection) and surface air cools (by radiative cooling at night or cold advection)‏ Subsiding air (frequently associated with a ridge of high pressure)‏ Inversions represent very stable air. Tropopause is often very stable, as the stratosphere is warmed due to ozone. Bullet 1: The PARCEL follows either the dry or moist adiabatic lapse rate (depending on if it is saturated or not). Before bullet 3: A stable atmosphere means that the difference between the surface air and air aloft is SMALL. Inversion is an example of very stable air. If clouds WERE to form by forced vertical motion, the type of clouds that would be produced are thin layers of clouds with flat tops (stratus, cirrostratus, altostratus, nimbostratus).

Unstable Atmosphere Buoyant parcels are accelerated upward As parcels rise and cool, they are still warmer than the environment since the environment is cooling faster than the adiabatic lapse rate Larger instabilities lead to larger updrafts Large updrafts lead to the formation of cumulonimbus clouds and thunderstorms

Causes of Instability Cooling of the air aloft: Winds bringing in colder air (cold advection)‏ Clouds (or the air) emitting IR radiation to space (radiational cooling)‏ Warming of the surface air: Daytime solar heating of the surface Winds bringing in warm air (warm advection)‏ Air moving over a warm surface Daytime solar heating: this is one of the reasons you see convection occur a lot in the later afternoon because the sun has reached its max of heating the surface of the earth

Conditionally Unstable Environmental lapse rate is between moist and dry adiabatic lapse rates (common in atmosphere)‏ Ex: environmental rate of 7ºC/km Conditional instability means that if unsaturated air (stable) could be lifted to a level where it becomes saturated, instability would result Figure on next slide demonstrates conditional instability If environmental lapse rate is 7ºC/km: FIGURE If it is unsaturated, the parcel will follow the dry adiabatic lapse rate and it will be colder than the environment, so it is stable. However, if it reaches a level where it is saturated now, it will cool at the moist adiabatic rate and therefore will be warmer than the environment and will be come unstable and rise.

Conditional Instability

Skew-T/Log-P Diagram Reminder:

Stability on a Skew-T Determine the stability of the atmosphere by looking at the PLOTTED temperature profile. There will be varying layers of stability throughout the atmosphere.

Examples Layer between 700mb and 800mb is absolutely stable ABSOLUTELY UNSTABLE Layer between 700mb and 800mb is absolutely stable Layer between 850mb and 950mb is absolutely unstable

Examples Layer between 600mb and 700mb is conditionally unstable

Lifting a Parcel Initially, a parcel being lifted will cool at the Dry Adiabatic Lapse Rate When the dry adiabat from the surface temperature meets the saturating mixing ratio line from the surface dew point, the parcel will have reached saturation and condensation can occur This is called the Lifted Condensation Level (LCL)‏ Green: Mixing ratio lines…FOLLOW UP FROM SURFACE DEW POINT Pink: Dry adiabat lines…FOLLOW UP FROM SURFACE TEMPERATURE INTERSECTION: LCL

Lifting a Parcel Once a parcel has reached the LCL, it will continue to rise, but instead cool at the Moist Adiabatic Lapse Rate Often the temperature of the parcel at the LCL is still cooler than the temperature of the environment (negative area)‏ If the parcel is lifted further it will reach its Level of Free Convection (LFC), the point at which the parcel becomes warmer than the environment and will be accelerated upward by buoyancy (positive area)‏ As it continues to rise it will eventually reach a point where it is cooler than the environment again. This is the Equilibrium Level (EL)‏

Lifting a Parcel

Sources of Lift 4 ways to lift a parcel to the LCL Orographic Frontal Boundary Convergence Convection

CAPE CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy CAPE is the energy available to a rising parcel to accelerate it On a Skew-T, CAPE is proportional to the area between the parcel’s temperature and the environment’s when the parcel is warmer CAPE gives an upper limit on how high updraft speeds can get in a severe storm High values of CAPE are associated with the possibility of strong convection Large hail requires very high CAPE values Extreme 2,500+ Large 1,500-2,500 Positive 1 - 1,500

CAPE

CIN CIN = Convective Inhibition This is the energy the must be overcome in order to lift a parcel to its LFC On a Skew-T, CIN is proportional to the area between the parcel’s temperature and the environment’s when the parcel is colder Large values of CIN will prevent the formation of storms, but often the presence of some CIN can add strength to a storm if this energy is overcome

CAPE and CIN

More Uses for Skew-T’s Finding cloud levels Forecasting precipitation type Forecasting max/min temperatures Forecasting the possibility of microbursts

More Uses for Skew-T’s Finding cloud levels – useful for aviation Clouds are most likely present at 3 layers in this skew-T. Can you find them? Right at surface, 680mb, and 480mb

More Uses for Skew-T’s Forecasting precipitation type The 00C isotherm in this skew-T shows that the precipitation will fall through a layer which is above freezing, thus implying that freezing rain is possible Rain is falling through above freezing layer but right at surface, temperature is just at 0 degrees C…therefore the rain may freeze.

More Uses for Skew-T’s Forecasting maximum/minimum temperature 12Z on left (Oct 3); 0Z on right (Oct 4)‏ How to do it: From the morning sounding (12Z): if there is an inversion (like there is here): find the temperature at the warmest point of the inversion. From that point, follow the dry adiabat down to the surface and that corresponding temperature is your Tmax

More Uses for Skew-T’s Forecasting the possibility of microbursts The “inverted V” shape is a sign of possible dry microbursts (isolated pockets of strong winds associated with thunderstorms)‏

Parcels Movement on Skew-T Just explain that if you are looking for the PARCELS temperature, the orange line is what you will follow. The temperature profile is the ENVIRONMENT.

Parcels Movement on Skew-T

A few skew-T reminders: Plot the temperature (or dew point) ON the pressure line that is given. i.e. 25C at 900mb When plotting temperature, remember the temperature lines (isotherms) are slanted. i.e. 25C at 300mb is NOT going to be directly above 25C at 1000mb The parcel of air begins at the surface temperature but follows either the dry or moist adiabatic lapse as it rises in the atmosphere (NOT the plotted temperature profile = environmental lapse rate)‏

30C @ 900mb 30C @ 1000mb -35C @ 500mb Just pointing out that your temperatures are going to be SLANTED, even if they are the same value as you go up in the atmosphere.