Assessment Of Future Change Stan Gregory Department of Fisheries & Wildlife Oregon State University.

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Presentation transcript:

Assessment Of Future Change Stan Gregory Department of Fisheries & Wildlife Oregon State University

Coastal Coho Salmon

1850

1995

2050 Scenario

2050 Conservation Scenario

1850

Models of stream ecosystem structure and function

Willamette River Basin 2nd to 4th order streams (6500 km)

Cutthroat Trout

EPT Richness

Fish Richness – Species/km Tributary Junction19.7 Tributary Junction19.7 Multiple Channel19.2 Multiple Channel19.2 Single Channel16.8 Single Channel16.8

Fish Abundance – # Captured Tributary Junction624 Tributary Junction624 Multiple Channel594 Multiple Channel594 Single Channel390 Single Channel390

M McKenzie Jct Willamette River Basin Planning Atlas, p. 63

Fish 50 Year Pattern Of Change

Develop. 50 Year Pattern Of Change

ERC Conservation

MAX Conservation

ERC Development

MAX Development

Median Land Value

Fish 10 Years

Fish 20 Years

Fish 30 Years

Fish 40 Years

Fish 50 Years

Development 10 Years

Development 20 Years

Development 30 Years

Development 40 Years

Development 50 Years

What did we forget? What don’t we know?

Willamette River Basin Planning Atlas