Verification of DWD Ulrich Damrath & Ulrich Pflüger.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

COSMO General Meeting Zürich, Sept Stefan Klink, Klaus Stephan and Christoph Schraff and Daniel.

Advertisements

VERIFICATION Highligths by WG5. 9° General MeetingAthens September Working package/Task on “standardization” The “core” Continuous parameters: T2m,

COSMO Workpackage No First Results on Verification of LMK Test Runs Basing on SYNOP Data Lenz, Claus-Jürgen; Damrath, Ulrich

Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss The Latent Heat Nudging Scheme of COSMO EWGLAM/SRNWP Meeting,

Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss WG5-Report from Switzerland: Verification of COSMO in.

Validating the moisture predictions of AMPS at McMurdo using ground- based GPS measurements of precipitable water Julien P. Nicolas 1, David H. Bromwich.

COSMO General Meeting Zurich, 2005 Institute of Meteorology and Water Management Warsaw, Poland- 1 - Verification of the LM at IMGW Katarzyna Starosta,

Long-term trends of the quality of COSMO-EU forecast expressed as the universal score COSI and others scores for temperature 2 m and wind 10 m - related.

On the impact of the SSO scheme in the COSMO model into the development of a deep cyclone in the Tirrenian sea Case study: April Antonella Morgillo.

COSMO General Meeting – Moscow Sept 2010 Some results from operational verification in Italy Angela Celozzi - Federico Grazzini Massimo Milelli -

Verification Precipitation verification (overestimation): a common view of the behaviour of the LM, aLMo and LAMI Francis Schubiger and Pirmin Kaufmann,

Advances in the use of observations in the ALADIN/HU 3D-Var system Roger RANDRIAMAMPIANINA, Regina SZOTÁK and Gabriella Csima Hungarian Meteorological.

Introducing the Lokal-Modell LME at the German Weather Service Jan-Peter Schulz Deutscher Wetterdienst 27 th EWGLAM and 12 th SRNWP Meeting 2005.

Post-Processing at DWD Post-Processing at DWD Sebastian Trepte (FEZE) Grid-based forecasts COSMO, GME - derived products (thunderstorm ind., weather-related.

Verification methods - towards a user oriented verification WG5.

SEASONAL COMMON PLOT SCORES A DRIANO R ASPANTI P ERFORMANCE DIAGRAM BY M.S T ESINI Sibiu - Cosmo General Meeting 2-5 September 2013.

Assimilating satellite cloud information with an Ensemble Kalman Filter at the convective scale Annika Schomburg, Christoph Schraff EUMETSAT fellow day,

We carried out the QPF verification of the three model versions (COSMO-I7, COSMO-7, COSMO-EU) with the following specifications: From January 2006 till.

Latest results in verification over Poland Katarzyna Starosta, Joanna Linkowska Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, Warsaw 9th COSMO General.

The latest results of verification over Poland Katarzyna Starosta Joanna Linkowska COSMO General Meeting, Cracow September 2008 Institute of Meteorology.

Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss Verification results of COSMO at MeteoSwiss in the year.

Deutscher Wetterdienst Bootstrapping – using different methods to estimate statistical differences between model errors Ulrich Damrath COSMO GM Rome 2011.

Priority project Advanced interpretation COSMO General Meeting, 18. September 2006 Pierre Eckert.

Verification Verification with SYNOP, TEMP, and GPS data P. Kaufmann, M. Arpagaus, MeteoSwiss P. Emiliani., E. Veccia., A. Galliani., UGM U. Pflüger, DWD.

GPS GPS derived integrated water vapor in aLMo: impact study with COST 716 near real time data Jean-Marie Bettems, MeteoSwiss Guergana Guerova, IAP, University.

Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss WG 3: Overview status report COSMO General Meeting, 19.

Deutscher Wetterdienst Fuzzy and standard verification for COSMO-EU and COSMO-DE Ulrich Damrath (with contributions by Ulrich Pflüger) COSMO GM Rome 2011.

Denis Blinov, G. Rivin, M. Nikitin, A. Bundel, A. Kirsanov, I. Rozinkina Data assimilation system based on nudging for COSMO-Ru7/So2 1COSMO GM Sibiu, 2.

The Impact of Data Assimilation on a Mesoscale Model of the New Zealand Region (NZLAM-VAR) P. Andrews, H. Oliver, M. Uddstrom, A. Korpela X. Zheng and.

U. Damrath, COSMO GM, Athens 2007 Verification of numerical QPF in DWD using radar data - and some traditional verification results for surface weather.

Overview of WG5 future activities Adriano Raspanti Zurich, September 2005.

General Meeting Moscow, 6-10 September 2010 High-Resolution verification for Temperature ( in northern Italy) Maria Stefania Tesini COSMO General Meeting.

COSMO General Meeting Zurich, 2005 Institute of Meteorology and Water Management Warsaw, Poland- 1 - Simple Kalman filter – a “smoking gun” of shortages.

Joint SRNWP/COST-717 WG-3 session, Lisbon Stefan Klink Data Assimilation Section Early results with rainfall assimilation.

Overview of WG5 activities and Conditional Verification Project Adriano Raspanti - WG5 Bucharest, September 2006.

Verification A first attempt to WP Preliminary results of one test case Matteo Buzzi, Pirmin Kaufmann, Dominique Ruffieux, Francis Schubiger MeteoSwiss.

VERIFICATION Highligths by WG5. 2 Outlook Some focus on Temperature with common plots and Conditional Verification Some Fuzzy verification Long trends.

A physical initialization algorithm for non-hydrostatic NWP models using radar derived rain rates Günther Haase Meteorological Institute, University of.

Comparison of LM Verification against Multi Level Aircraft Measurements (MLAs) with LM Verification against Temps Ulrich Pflüger, Deutscher Wetterdienst.

Latest results in the precipitation verification over Northern Italy Elena Oberto, Marco Turco, Paolo Bertolotto (*) ARPA Piemonte, Torino, Italy.

COSMO_2005 DWD 15 Sep 2005Page 1 (11) COSMO General Meeting Zürich, September 2005 Erdmann Heise Bodo Ritter and Reinhold Schrodin German Weather.

COSMO - ROmania Liliana VELEA National Meteorological Administration, Bucharest, Romania.

Verification methods - towards a user oriented verification The verification group.

The presence of sea ice on the ocean’s surface has a significant impact on the air-sea interactions. Compared to an open water surface the sea ice completely.

Deutscher Wetterdienst FE VERSUS 2 Priority Project Meeting Langen Use of Feedback Files for Verification at DWD Ulrich Pflüger Deutscher.

Federal Department of Home Affairs FDHA Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss Experiments at MeteoSwiss : TERRA / aerosols Flake Jean-Marie.

ALADIN 3DVAR at the Hungarian Meteorological Service 1 _____________________________________________________________________________________ 27th EWGLAM.

OSEs with HIRLAM and HARMONIE for EUCOS Nils Gustafsson, SMHI Sigurdur Thorsteinsson, IMO John de Vries, KNMI Roger Randriamampianina, met.no.

Dmitry Alferov, Elena Astakhova, Gdaly Rivin, Inna Rozinkina Hydrometcenter of Russia 13-th COSMO General Meeting, Rome, 5-9 September 2011.

VERIFICATION Highligths by WG5. 2 Outlook The COSMO-Index COSI at DWD Time series of the index and its DWD 2003.

Deutscher Wetterdienst Long-term trends of precipitation verification results for GME, COSMO-EU and COSMO-DE Ulrich Damrath.

Deutscher Wetterdienst VERSUS at DWD Ulrich Damrath & Ulrich Pflüger COSMO GM Rome, September 2011.

WG5 COSMO General Meeting, Rome 2011 Authors: ALL Presented by Adriano Raspanti.

New results in COSMO about fuzzy verification activities and preliminary results with VERSUS Conditional Verification 31th EWGLAM &16th SRNWP meeting,

Eidgenössisches Departement des Innern EDI Bundesamt für Meteorologie und Klimatologie MeteoSchweiz Statistics of COSMO Forecast Departures in View of.

Introducing the Lokal-Modell LME at the German Weather Service

COSMO-RU operational verification in Russia using VERSUS2

Current verification results for COSMO-EU and COSMO-DE at DWD

André Walser MeteoSwiss, Zurich

aLMo from GME and IFS boundary conditions: A comparison

Tuning the horizontal diffusion in the COSMO model

Verification of LAMI: QPF over northern Italy and vertical profiles

WG5-Report from Switzerland: Verification of aLMo in the year 2005

Daniel Leuenberger1, Christian Keil2 and George Craig2

Workshop Results WG5 COSMO General Meeting

COSMO General Meeting 2009 WG5 Parallel Session 7 September 2009

Ulrich Damrath Deutscher Wetterdienst

NWP Strategy of DWD after 2006 GF XY DWD Feb-19.

Ulrich Pflüger & Ulrich Damrath

Seasonal common scores plots

Presentation transcript:

Verification of DWD Ulrich Damrath & Ulrich Pflüger

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification activities Operational verification –surface weather elements (SYNOP) –precipitation (high density network) –verification of vertical profiles using TEMPs and AMDARs

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification activities Preoperational verification & research –verification of LME –verification of precipitation forecasts using the pattern recognition method by Ebert –suggestion about common verification procedures in the future

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Time series of BIAS T2m of FCs valid 6 UTC

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Time series of RMSE T2m of FCs valid 6 UTC

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Time series of BIAS T2m of FCs valid 18 UTC

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Time series of RMSE T2m of FCs valid 18 UTC

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Time series of TSS RR> 2 mm/6h of FCs valid 18 UTC

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Time series of TSS RR> 10 mm/6h of FCs valid 18 UTC

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Time series of scores for QPF over Germany

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Mean observations and forecasts SON UTC H < 800 m

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Mean observations and forecasts SON UTC H > 800 m

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Mean observations and forecasts DJF 2004/05 00 UTC H < 800 m

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Mean observations and forecasts MAM UTC H < 800 m

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Mean observations and forecasts JJA UTC H < 800 m

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Mean observations and forecasts JJ UTC H < 800 m

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Mean observations and forecasts JJA UTC H < 800 m

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Verification of QPF using high density network, Grid of GME

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Verification of QPF using high density network, Grid of LM 2002

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Verification of QPF using high density network, Grid of LM 2003

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Verification of QPF using high density network, Grid of LM 2004

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Verification of QPF using CRA method: January 2005

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Verification of QPF using CRA method: January 2005, region 1

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Verification of QPF using CRA method: January 2005, region 2

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Verification of QPF using CRA method: January 2005, region 3

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Verification of QPF using CRA method: January 2005, region 4

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Geopotential GME PseudoTemps GME PseudoTemps New GME New GME

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Wind Velocity GME PseudoTemps GME PseudoTemps New GME New GME

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Temperature GME PseudoTemps GME PseudoTemps New GME New GME

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Relative Humidity Prognostic Cloud Ice Prognostic Cloud Ice

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Comparison of LM with LME, RMSE,...

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Comparison of LM with LME, BIAS,...

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Comparison of LME with LME Experiment, RMSE,...

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Comparison of LME with LME Experiment, RMSE,

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 Verification of surface weather elements: Comparison of LME with LME experiment, BIAS,...

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005

Using ODB as a tool within verification Observational Data Base: data base filled with observations (used during assimilation cycle) and differences between observations and forecasts requires special software to install and to run enables introduction of sql-statements to extract observations and differences FC-OBS under any conditions (i.e. get surface temperature values [or errors] over the Alps in cases if inversion occures in Payerne between 1000 and 850 hPa)

COSMO General Meeting Zürich September 2005 That‘s all, thank you for your attention!