Estimation of parameters. Maximum likelihood What has happened was most likely.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
NORMAL OR GAUSSIAN DISTRIBUTION Chapter 5. General Normal Distribution Two parameter distribution with a pdf given by:
Advertisements

Special random variables Chapter 5 Some discrete or continuous probability distributions.
Copyright (c) 2004 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Chapter 6 Point Estimation.
Point Estimation Notes of STAT 6205 by Dr. Fan.
Chapter 7. Statistical Estimation and Sampling Distributions
Statistical Estimation and Sampling Distributions
Estimation  Samples are collected to estimate characteristics of the population of particular interest. Parameter – numerical characteristic of the population.
1 Methods of Experimental Particle Physics Alexei Safonov Lecture #21.
SOLVED EXAMPLES.
Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved.
Review of Basic Probability and Statistics
Descriptive statistics Experiment  Data  Sample Statistics Sample mean Sample variance Normalize sample variance by N-1 Standard deviation goes as square-root.
Today Today: Chapter 9 Assignment: Recommended Questions: 9.1, 9.8, 9.20, 9.23, 9.25.
Statistical Inference Chapter 12/13. COMP 5340/6340 Statistical Inference2 Statistical Inference Given a sample of observations from a population, the.
Part 2b Parameter Estimation CSE717, FALL 2008 CUBS, Univ at Buffalo.
Most slides from Expectation Maximization (EM) Northwestern University EECS 395/495 Special Topics in Machine Learning.
CSE 3504: Probabilistic Analysis of Computer Systems Topics covered: Moments and transforms of special distributions (Sec ,4.5.3,4.5.4,4.5.5,4.5.6)
Basics of Statistical Estimation. Learning Probabilities: Classical Approach Simplest case: Flipping a thumbtack tails heads True probability  is unknown.
CSE 221: Probabilistic Analysis of Computer Systems Topics covered: Statistical inference (Sec. )
Descriptive statistics Experiment  Data  Sample Statistics Experiment  Data  Sample Statistics Sample mean Sample mean Sample variance Sample variance.
Statistical inference form observational data Parameter estimation: Method of moments Use the data you have to calculate first and second moment To fit.
Maximum Likelihood We have studied the OLS estimator. It only applies under certain assumptions In particular,  ~ N(0, 2 ) But what if the sampling distribution.
CSE 221: Probabilistic Analysis of Computer Systems Topics covered: Statistical inference.
Today Today: Chapter 9 Assignment: 9.2, 9.4, 9.42 (Geo(p)=“geometric distribution”), 9-R9(a,b) Recommended Questions: 9.1, 9.8, 9.20, 9.23, 9.25.
2. Point and interval estimation Introduction Properties of estimators Finite sample size Asymptotic properties Construction methods Method of moments.
CSE 300: Software Reliability Engineering Topics covered: Software Reliability Models.
A random variable that has the following pmf is said to be a binomial random variable with parameters n, p The Binomial random variable.
2. Random variables  Introduction  Distribution of a random variable  Distribution function properties  Discrete random variables  Point mass  Discrete.
7-1 Introduction The field of statistical inference consists of those methods used to make decisions or to draw conclusions about a population. These.
CSE 221: Probabilistic Analysis of Computer Systems Topics covered: Statistical inference.
4-1 Continuous Random Variables 4-2 Probability Distributions and Probability Density Functions Figure 4-1 Density function of a loading on a long,
Moment Generating Functions 1/33. Contents Review of Continuous Distribution Functions 2/33.
Short Resume of Statistical Terms Fall 2013 By Yaohang Li, Ph.D.
Overview course in Statistics (usually given in 26h, but now in 2h)  introduction of basic concepts of probability  concepts of parameter estimation.
Statistics for Engineer Week II and Week III: Random Variables and Probability Distribution.
Moment Generating Functions
1 Bernoulli trial and binomial distribution Bernoulli trialBinomial distribution x (# H) 01 P(x)P(x)P(x)P(x)(1 – p)p ?
Prof. Dr. S. K. Bhattacharjee Department of Statistics University of Rajshahi.
Random Sampling, Point Estimation and Maximum Likelihood.
7-1 Introduction The field of statistical inference consists of those methods used to make decisions or to draw conclusions about a population. These.
Chapter 7 Point Estimation
4-1 Continuous Random Variables 4-2 Probability Distributions and Probability Density Functions Figure 4-1 Density function of a loading on a long,
1 Lecture 16: Point Estimation Concepts and Methods Devore, Ch
Chapter 7 Point Estimation of Parameters. Learning Objectives Explain the general concepts of estimating Explain important properties of point estimators.
1 Standard error Estimated standard error,s,. 2 Example 1 While measuring the thermal conductivity of Armco iron, using a temperature of 100F and a power.
IE 300, Fall 2012 Richard Sowers IESE. 8/30/2012 Goals: Rules of Probability Counting Equally likely Some examples.
Point Estimation of Parameters and Sampling Distributions Outlines:  Sampling Distributions and the central limit theorem  Point estimation  Methods.
Statistics Sampling Distributions and Point Estimation of Parameters Contents, figures, and exercises come from the textbook: Applied Statistics and Probability.
Week 21 Order Statistics The order statistics of a set of random variables X 1, X 2,…, X n are the same random variables arranged in increasing order.
Ex St 801 Statistical Methods Inference about a Single Population Mean (CI)
Week 21 Statistical Model A statistical model for some data is a set of distributions, one of which corresponds to the true unknown distribution that produced.
Statistics -Continuous probability distribution 2013/11/18.
Chapter 4. The Normality Assumption: CLassical Normal Linear Regression Model (CNLRM)
Crash course in probability theory and statistics – part 2 Machine Learning, Wed Apr 16, 2008.
Stat 223 Introduction to the Theory of Statistics
4-1 Continuous Random Variables 4-2 Probability Distributions and Probability Density Functions Figure 4-1 Density function of a loading on a long,
Estimating Volatilities and Correlations
STATISTICAL INFERENCE
Chapter 4. Inference about Process Quality
Discrete Probability Distributions
7-1 Introduction The field of statistical inference consists of those methods used to make decisions or to draw conclusions about a population. These.
Normal Density Curve. Normal Density Curve 68 % 95 % 99.7 %
Probability & Statistics Probability Theory Mathematical Probability Models Event Relationships Distributions of Random Variables Continuous Random.
Moment Generating Functions
POINT ESTIMATOR OF PARAMETERS
Lecture 5 b Faten alamri.
Stat 223 Introduction to the Theory of Statistics
If the question asks: “Find the probability if...”
Chapter 3 : Random Variables
Estimation Method of Moments Industrial Engineering
Presentation transcript:

Estimation of parameters

Maximum likelihood What has happened was most likely

Examples

Binomial distribution Observations: k successes in N Bernoulli trials

Poisson distribution Observations: k 1, k 2, …, k N

Normal distribution Observations: X 1, X 2, …,X N

Exponential distribution Observations: X 1, X 2, …,X N

Moment estimators

For our examples moment estimators = maximum likelihood estimators

Are they always the same ? No

Uniform distribution Cauchy distribution

Unbiased and biased estimators

Variance of estimators minimum variance estimators