Weiming Sha and Guixing Chen Tohoku University, Japan 1st MAHASRI/AMY WS Yokohama/Tokyo, 2007.1.8-10 Study on Monsoon Onset in South China (Huanan area)

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Thesis Topics Prof. C.-P. Chang Tropical and Monsoon Meteorology  Focus on the area of Indian Ocean-Asia- Australia-Pacific  All topics on Weather and.

Advertisements

September 10, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 1 Forecast Verification.

March 2005VAMOS/MESA Evaluation of a Nested Model Ensemble Climatology for South America: Annual Cycle, Interannual Variability and Rainy Season Onset.

Introduction to JMA’s one-month model - focusing on an extreme rainfall event during Asian monsoon season - Hiroaki MINEMATSU Tokyo Climate Center Japan.

Line Efficiency     Percentage Month Today’s Date

GRL Seminar Dec 11, Advanced Asian summer monsoon onset in recent decades Yoshiyuki Kajikawa RIKEN, Advanced Institute.

© Crown copyright Met Office Forecasting the onset of the African rainy seasons Michael Vellinga, Alberto Arribas and Richard Graham S2S Conference, Washington,

Advances in High Resolution Regional Weather Modeling Mike Leuthold University of Arizona Department of Atmospheric Sciences.

INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY AND ENVIRONMENT (IMHEN)

Climate Prediction Center / NCEP

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 11 August 2008.

Market Analysis & Forecasting Trends Businesses attempt to predict the future – need to plan ahead Why?

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP May 9, 2011.

High Resolution Coupled Model Development and Research at GFDL Whit Anderson Ron Pacanowski Tom Delworth Tony Rosati Riccardo Farneti Gabriel Vecchi Hyun-Chul.

1. Global monsoon features Australian monsoon South American monsoon North American monsoon African monsoon Asian monsoon 2. Northern China winter drought.

4.2.2 Tropical Meteorology Research Yihong DUAN

Current status of AMSR-E data utilization in JMA/NWP Masahiro KAZUMORI Numerical Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency July 2008 Joint.

Assimilated Taiwan Ocean Prediction (ATOP) & Climate Research at NCU by Leo Oey March

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP April 01, 2013.

Climate, Water and Vulnerabilities Climatic trend & variability in South Asia and their potential implications for peri-urban water security M. Shahjahan.

Interannual Variation in the Seasonal Northward Movement of the Baiu Front in the Western North Pacific Tomohiko Tomita Kumamoto University / FRCGC, JAMSTEC.

Modeling coordination T. Satomura Kyoto University.

Seasonal Atlantic Hurricane Outlooks Dr. Gerald Bell Lead Seasonal Hurricane Forecaster Climate Prediction Center 27 May 2008 Archive of past outlooks.

© Crown copyright Met Office Extended-range forecasts for onset of the African rainy seasons examples and ideas for future work Michael Vellinga, Richard.

September 4, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 1 Forecast Verification.

Inputs for Gujarat Weather Watch 08 July 2014 By A tmospheric Sciences Division, Space Applications Centre, ISRO Ahmedabad 1.No major rainfall pockets.

Seasonal Variation and Test of Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau Heating and Its Profile Zhong Shanshan, He Jinhai Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disasters of.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP August 9, 2010.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 31 August 2009.

Stephen W. Bieda III, Steven L. Mullen, Christopher L. Castro University of Arizona Department of Atmospheric Sciences.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP August 27, 2013.

Change of program Implementation Plan. T. Satomura Current status of and contribution by NICAM. T. Matsuno & T. Nasuno (~ 20 min) Comments. J. Shukla Discussion.

Global Climate is Changing Now. More Intense Precipitation Events & Flooding in Northeast Observed Change in Very Heavy Precipitation Observed U.S. Flooding.

The lower boundary condition of the atmosphere, such as SST, soil moisture and snow cover often have a longer memory than weather itself. Land surface.

Climate Extremes PRECIS Workshop Tanzania Meteorological Agency, 29 th June – 3 rd July 2015.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP May 27, 2014.

The Diurnal Cycle of Winds, Rain, and Clouds over Taiwan During the Mei-Yu, Summer, and Autumn Regimes Yi-Leng Chen and Brandon Kerns Department of Meteorology.

Validation of Satellite-Derived Rainfall Estimates and Numerical Model Forecasts of Precipitation over the US John Janowiak Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS.

The NTU-GCM'S AMIP Simulation of the Precipitation over Taiwan Area Wen-Shung Kau 1, Yu-Jen Sue 1 and Chih-Hua Tsou 2 1 Department of Atmospheric Sciences.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP April 11, 2011.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP May 16, 2011.

Today’s INSAT-3D rainfall and IR images suggest that monsoon is very active over Saurashtra and south Gujarat regions. WRF model forecast suggests that.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 14 July 2008.

Date: 28th Jan to 1st Feb Venue: Tokyo, Japan Co-hosting Organizations: JMA ， CRIEPI, WCRP, (GEO, UT) International Programming Committee Dr. Phillip.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP July 12, 2010.

The South American Monsoon System: Recent Evolution and Current Status Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 4 June 2012 For more information,

September 4, 2013SEASONAL AND EXTENDED RANGE PREDICTION GROUPSlide 1 Forecast Verification.

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 6 October 2008.

Precipitation extremes during Indian summer monsoon Jayashree Revadekar Centre for Climate Change Research Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology PUNE,

1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP October 7, 2013.

The 2 nd phase of the Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment Randal Koster GMAO, NASA/GSFC

Afghanistan Area Weather and Climate Products cpc. ncep

“CLIMATE SERVICES IN MYANMAR” DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AND HYDROOGY

Summer and fall Weather outlook

Tropical and subtropical convection in South Asia and South America

Tadashi Fujita (NPD JMA)

Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science

Forecast Verification

Soo-Hyun Yoo and Pingping Xie

Moetasim Ashfaq and Noah S Diffenbaugh

Jennifer Boehnert Emily Riddle Tom Hopson

Shuhua Li and Andrew W. Robertson

Average Monthly Temperature and Rainfall

2013 Macau Rainy Season Forecast

Forecast Verification

Forecast Verification

Forecast Verification

Environmental Issues:

Development of Meso-scale Numerical Model System in IHR

Technical Committee Meeting (TCM)

Presentation transcript:

Weiming Sha and Guixing Chen Tohoku University, Japan 1st MAHASRI/AMY WS Yokohama/Tokyo, Study on Monsoon Onset in South China (Huanan area) with a High-resolution Regional Weather Forecast Model System

Beginning date of rainy season (a) subtropical monsoon onset; (b) after tropical monsoon onset (Chen et al, Cli. Envi. Res., 2000) month pentad Aug Jul Jun May Apr

Heavy flood over South China in June 2005 AWS accumulative precipitation(mm) during 17~26 Jun, 2005

Diurnal variation of the rainfall in coastal region (mm/hr.)

Target/Task Monsoon onset events in South China (Huanan area) Modeling, Understanding & Prediction

DS: a ‘ small ’ JMA DS 3 : a ‘ small ’ JMA JMA DS 3 Model/Resolution Global model （ dx=40km ） NHM model (dx=15km→4km→1km) Regional model （ dx=20km ） Coupled with Meso model （ dx=5km ） CFD ・ LES model (dx ～ 100m ） Its name is ・・・ DS 3 = Down Scaling Simulation System We are building up and testing A high-resolution regional weather forecast model system

*Modeling and validation of the monsoon onset events, diurnal variation of the rainfall in Huanan area, South China (on going,,,) Next … *Understanding its mechanism and prediction