KBC Group Life business Embedded value as at 31 Dec. 2004 and analysis of change and sensitivity Foto gebouw Disclosure date: 16 June 2005.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
SAP Accounting. Statutory Accounting Insurers produce financial statement prescribed by NAIC Filed with insurance department of regulators Based on Statutory.
Advertisements

Aparna.  Nature of Life Insurance Business  Role of Actuarial function  Roles needing actuarial skills in L. I. Co.  Types Of Life Ins.
An Introduction to Embedded Value
Intensive Actuarial Training for Bulgaria January, 2007 Lecture 2 – Life Annuity By Michael Sze, PhD, FSA, CFA.
Building a Simplified Stochastic Asset Liability Model (ALM) for a Malaysian Participating Annuity Fund 14th EAST ASIAN ACTUARIAL CONFERENCE Prepared by.
Impact of IFRS Foto gebouw. 2 Disclaimer By its nature, the information in this presentation involves numerous assumptions, uncertainties and opportunities,
1 Federal Office of Private Insurance Philipp Keller Research & Development Zurich, 26 February 2007 SST for Life Companies.
D S T Dynamic Solvency Testing Some Technical Factors Presentation to One-Day Seminar Held by PAI and AAJI Jakarta, December 8, 2005.
ALM and pricing of life insurance products Vladimír Krejčí Prague, 1 April 2004.
Investment holdings > 50% = Large holdings The holding company > The subsidiary.
2003 KBC Bank & Insurance Group Interim results at 31 March 2003.
KBC Bank & Insurance Group General Meeting of Shareholders 25 April 2002.
1 December 2003 Quarter Earnings January 20, 2004.
KBC Group Life insurance business Embedded value as at 31 Dec 2005 and analysis of change and sensitivity Foto gebouw.
Consolidated Financial Statements and Outside Ownership
Embedded Value European Embedded Value principles.
Final Results Presentation 5 March 2003.
Interim Results June 2002 Contents 1.Business environment 2.Interim results and operational performance 3.STANLIB 4.Capital adequacy and dividend cover.
Intensive Actuarial Training for Bulgaria January 2007 Lecture 4 – Life Insurance Reserve & Minimum Capital By Michael Sze, PhD, FSA, CFA.
Investment Analyst Views CIA General Meeting Chicago, Illinois October 19, 2006.
Financial Pricing and Performance Measurement
08 Dec Accountant Perspective On Appraisal Value Derivation Conference: Dynamic Solvency Testing & Appraisal Value Thursday, 8 December 2005 Ballroom.
Overview of Experience for Long-term insurers in SA 2005 Presented to ASSA members 14 November 2006 – Cape Town 16 November 2006 – Johannesburg.
Impact of Low Interest Rates on European Insurers Dermot Corry June 8 th 2015.
1 ASEM IFRS SEMINAR Shanghai, March 2006 Impairment of Assets Dr Allister Wilson Technical & Audit Partner Ernst & Young, UK Senior Advisor to the.
1 DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW MODELS (MIS-45&46) Seminar on Ratemaking Nashville, TNRuss Bingham March 11-12, 1999Hartford Financial Services.
KBC Bank & Insurance Group First quarterly results, June 2004 Foto gebouw.
Practical aspects of realistic valuations using a market consistent asset model Richard Waller & Michel Abbink.
Connolly – International Financial Accounting and Reporting – 4 th Edition CHAPTER 18 DISTRIBUTION OF PROFITS AND ASSETS.
Life Insurance Valuation Discussion on the MCEV Concept ARAB Summer School – VUB/ULB Fabian Suarez – September
1 4Q 2003 Earnings October 21, Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities.
1 Casualty Loss Reserve Seminar September 14, 1999 Presented by: Susan E. Witcraft Milliman & Robertson, Inc. DYNAMIC FINANCIAL ANALYSIS What Does It Look.
1 April 22, Q 2003 Earnings. 2 Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities.
Business Valuations. Reasons for wanting to know about value:  Market transactions  Scorecards  Estate planning  Family transfers  ESOP  Litigation.
Benoît Lebrun Chairman, Accounting Working Party FEE 7 June 2005 Advanced program in accounting and auditing regulation Accounting Directives.
1 Roundtable discussions re: EPIC Philippine Insurers & Reinsurers Association Wednesday 22 nd & Thursday 23 rd January 2014.
The Application Of Fundamental Valuation Principles To Property/Casualty Insurance Companies Derek A. Jones, FCAS Joy A. Schwartzman, FCAS.
Embedded Value and Analysis of Change KBC Insurance business as at 31/12/2002.
IAS 21 The Effects of Changes in Foreign Exchange Rates.
Z Swiss Re 0 Using Dynamic Financial Analysis to Structure Reinsurance Session: Using DFA to Optimize the Value of Reinsurance 2001 CAS Special Interest.
4 Life business, embedded value and analysis of change Johan Daemen General Manager, Life insurance Foto gebouw.
Tienie Hamman 17/19 November 2009 Overview of the Experience of Long-term Insurers in SA for 2008.
1 RISK AND RETURN: ACTUARIAL CONSIDERATIONS (FIN - 10) FINANCIAL MODELS and RATE OF RETURN PERSPECTIVES Russ Bingham Vice President and Director of Corporate.
2009 Annual Meeting ● Assemblée annuelle 2009 Halifax, Nova Scotia ● Halifax (Nouvelle-Écosse) 2009 Annual Meeting ● Assemblée annuelle 2009 Halifax, Nova.
“The challenges for revenue growth and profitability in a declining interest rate and low inflation environment.” Myles Ruck Chief Executive Liberty Group.
KBC Group New segment reporting, pro forma figures 2005.
Pozavarovalnica Sava, d. d. Financial Report Three Months to 31 March 2012 ( ) May 2012.
Measuring true profits using embedded value Peter Luk Plan-B Consulting Ltd. August 2004.
Ras Group 3rd Quarter 2005 Results CEO Paolo Vagnone November 14th, 2005.
36-1 Copyright  2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Australian Financial Accounting 5e by Craig Deegan Slides prepared by Craig Deegan Chapter.
0 Conference Call 1 st quarter of 2003 Banco Itaú Holding Financeira S.A.
1 3Q 2003 Earnings July 22, Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities.
Aggregate margins in the context of level premium term life insurance Results of a study sponsored by the Kansas Insurance Department Slides prepared by.
11 revision of basic groups. CopyRight 2013 By 周冬华 博士 CPA Some definitions  Subsidiary - an entity which is controlled by another entity (the parent)
1 Use test Izabela Sabała Insurance and Pension Inspection Department KNF O ffi ce TAIEX Workshop on Solvency II Requirements Baku, December 17 ‒ 18, 2013.
Introduction to Market Consistent Embedded Values
Accounting (Basics) - Lecture 5 Impairment of assets
Insurance Profitability
Chapter 31 Further consolidation issues IV: Accounting for changes in the degree of ownership of a subsidiary.
Summary of financial results for the period 1-12/2016
Accounting for indirect interests and changes in degree of ownership of subsidiaries Chapter 26 Copyright  2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a.
Section 28 Employee Benefits
Presentation Workshop
Insurance IFRS Seminar December 1, 2016 Darryl Wagner Session 17
Concepts and Objectives of Cost Accounting
2018 THIRd Quarter Results NASDAQ: fult
U.S. GAAP Loss Recognition Testing: Actuarial Science Session
Oklahoma Municipal Retirement Fund Asset Allocation Discussion
ESTP Course Balance of Payments – Introductory course Paris, May 2014 Primary Income.
Data as of September 30, 2019 unless otherwise noted
Presentation transcript:

KBC Group Life business Embedded value as at 31 Dec and analysis of change and sensitivity Foto gebouw Disclosure date: 16 June 2005

2 Cautionary Statements Embedded Value is the result of cash-flow projections with underlying assumptions and expectations. The values in this presentation are calculated on a deterministic basis. Many assumptions such as general economic conditions, performance of financial markets, taxes, changes in laws, frequency and severity of insured loss events, mortality and morbidity levels and trends, and others, are beyond KBC’s control. A modification of an assumption can result in a significantly different Embedded Value. Deviations from assumed experience are normal and are to be expected. Even without any change in the parameters, actual results will vary from those projected due to normal random fluctuations. Embedded Value cannot be considered as an absolute value. This value together with a sensitivity analysis allows the recipient to obtain an idea of the magnitude of the expected value created by their insurance activities. Under no circumstances should the inclusion of the projections (including the relevant underlying assumptions and expectations) be regarded as a representation, warranty or prediction that the business will achieve or is likely to achieve any particular results.

3 Content Life insurance activity & scope Terminology ANAV (‘Adjusted Net Asset Value’) Components Roll forward VBI (‘Value of Business In Force’) Components Assumptions Sensitivities Roll forward VNB (‘Value of New Business’)

4 Life business, overview Minor changes to published figures in order to improve model accuracy Growth in Life premium income (in ’000 EUR) % % % % % % %

5 Life business, overview Minor changes to published figures in order to improve model accuracy Growth in Technical Provisions, Life (in ’000 EUR) % % % % % % %

6 PV Tied Surplus Life Value In Force (VIF) Terminology ‘Embedded Value’ Shareholders Equity Economic Adjustments ANAV = Free Surplus As investment for Embedded Value > Equity adjustments > Asset adjustments > Resilience Reserves > Tax assets and liab. Tied Surplus Life ANAV Other Allocated Surplus PVFP* VBI** (PVFP- Cost Tied Surplus) Tied Surplus Life oror KBC standard Embedded Value Free Surplus Other Allocated Surplus Other Allocated Surplus = Tied Surplus Non Life + Other Tied Surplus *PVFP = Present Value of Future Profit **VBI = Value of Business In Force

7 Scope of current VBI figures Scope of review: KBC Insurance Belgium + Fidea + Vitis Life: total technical provisions : (000 euros) Modelled: 88% of the mathematical reserves 96.8% of the total premium income in % of the new premium income in 2004 Group entities out of scope: CEE subsidiaries (CSOB CR, CSOB SR, K&H Life, Warta Vita) and Secura: total technical provisions : (000 euros)

8 Embedded Value: overview (in ’000 EUR) 31/12/200331/12/2004 VBI Life PVFP Cost of tied surplus ( ) ( ) Tied Surplus, Life* Value In Force Other Surplus Embedded Value * Some methodological changes took place in the calculation of the ‘tied surplus, life’

9 Adjusted Net Asset Value ‘Adjusted Net Asset Value’ (ANAV) = [+]Shareholders Equity [+] Equity Adjustments ‘Minority interests’ [+]/[-] Asset Adjustments Unrealized capital gains on the investments, except for bond investments in the life portfolio (‘buy-and-hold’ philosophy) Goodwill is deducted [+]Additional Reserves Catastrophe and equalization reserves Additional reserves, life [-] Tax assets and liabilities on the above

10 ANAV as at 31/12/2004 (in ’000 EUR)

11 ANAV: Chg 31/12/2003 – 31/12/2004 (in ’000 EUR)

12 Value of Business in Force (VBI): non-economic assumptions Expenses Expenses are allocated to the different products and activities in such a way that the total expenses in the study equals the total expenses in the statutory accounts Expenses increase with expected wage inflation at 2-3% per annum Future expense reduction programmes and synergies are not taken into account Mortality Assumptions based on most recent industry experience were used Lapses Assumptions based on annual experience, investigations of surrenders and paid-ups, with a reasonable safety margin Assumptions are set by product and distribution channel

13 VBI, RBC requirements KBC RBC Requirements (legal requirements) % of the reserves % of sum at risk Unit-Linked 0.5% (0 or 1%) 0.375% (0.3%) Non-Linked Pension products Mix: 75 F.I./ 20 S./ 5 P. 8.5% (4%) 0.375% (0.3%) Non-Linked Investment products Mix: 88 F.I./11 S./ 1 P. 5.98% (4%) 0.375% (0.3%) The current RBC for Life activities is 176 % of the legal required solvency margin for the Life Activity

14 VBI, economic assumptions year bond yield (Rate from 2006 on) 4.17% pa (5.00% pa) 3.6% pa (4.80% pa) Risk premium on equity2.50% pa Risk premium used for discount rate3.50% pa Discount rate* (= Cost of Capital)8.50% pa*8.30% pa* Expense (wage) inflation (Rate from 2006 on) 2.90% pa (3.00% pa) 2.20% pa (2.50% pa) Based on the bond yield in the long run Weighted Average Cost of Capital, taking into account partial funding via subordinated loans

15 VBI, overview (’000 EUR, only reserves of modelled business) PVFPVBIVIFPVFP/ reserves VBI/ res. reserves %4.26% %3.72%

%- 10% Expenses- 3.95%+ 3.95% Lapses & Dormancy- 2.70%+ 2.93% Mortality- 3.12%+ 3.12% + 0.5%- 0.5% Discount rate- 7.43%+ 7.89% Investment Return*+ 8.58%- 9.68% VBI, sensitivity analysis Effect on VBI * The discount rate is changed consistently with the change in investment return. No profit-sharing was allocated to the 4.75% guarantees in the policies.

17 VBI, sensitivity analysis (2) Current RBC KBC Insurance 100% of the legal SM 150% of the legal SM 200% of the legal SM Embedded Value VIF VBI Changing the solvency margin (’000 EUR)

18 VBI, Chg 31/12/2003 – 31/12/2004 (EUR)

19 Value of New Business (VNB) APE *PVFPVNBPVFP as % of APE VNB as % of APE Total %17.64% (‘000 EUR) * Annualized Premium Equivalent (APE) is a measure of new business volume equal to 100% of regular premium on new contracts and 10% of single premiums New business, 2004 at date of sale

20 Review Lane Clark & Peacock Belgium reviewed the methodology and assumptions used by KBC Insurance in the determination of the Embedded Value at 31/12/2004, the Value of 2004 New Business and the analysis of the change in the value of in-force business for the Life Insurance activities of KBC Insurance. It is the view of Lane Clark & Peacock Belgium, based on the data made available, that the assumptions used are reasonable and that the methodology used by KBC Insurance is in line with basic principles described in appropriate literature. Our assignment included a review of the calculations.This review was not a detailed verification of the correctness of all calculations. This review was a limited high-level reasonableness check on the results and included a detailed review on a limited random sample of contracts of the insurance portfolio of KBC Insurance. No material issues have been discovered. Therefore, based on our work and our validation report on the work carried out by KBC Insurance, we consider the embedded value, the value of new business and the analysis of the change in the value of in-force for the life business to be reasonable and suitable for inclusion as supplementary information to the Group’s consolidated accounts.

21 Contact information Investor Relations Office : Luc Cool Nele Kindt Marina Kanamori Tel. : Visit for the latest update.