Flow, Fish and Fishing 2006 All-Hands Meeting July UCSB

The Proposal’s Bottom Line… Larval transport is a stochastic process driven by coastal stirring Fish stocks, yields & their assessment are affected by this & other stochastic forcings Management under this uncertainty must be accounted for in real & robust ways The key is following the flow of information

Flow Fish Settlement Habitat Recruitment Harvest Regulation Fishermen Market INFO Climate

F3 Proposal Hypotheses 1.Larval Settlement in Coastal Environments Interactions among coastal circulation & organism life cycles make larval settlement intermittent & episodic 2.Scales of Nearshore Fish Stocks Stocks are controlled by larval settlement, habitat, natural & fishing mortality and adult migration

F3 Proposal Hypotheses 3.Uncertainty, Information and Fishery Management Choice of the most effective management instrument depends on the quantity, quality and cost of information 4.Scale Disparity between Harvesting & Management Fish population dynamics, fishermen behavior and fishery management occurs on disparate space and time scales 5.Managing Mixed Species Fisheries Managing mixed fisheries is difficult, as the status of the slower-maturing species dictates management strategy

Overall F3 Goal Given sources of uncertainty & stochasticity… how can nearshore fisheries be managed that best balances fish stock viability, ecosystem quality & socioeconomic value?

F3 Approach 1. Build interdisciplinary team of experts 2. Develop process & realized models Spatial modeling of a nearshore fishery Modeling the value of information 3. Inform modeling with data

F3 Broader Impacts 1. Educational activities ORCA, SEASET, Bren MESM projects, EES- IGERT, our classes… 2. Global perspectives PISCO/Mellon, PISCO/CICESE, NCEAS, … 3. Graduate education

General Goals for the Meeting Get up to date on where we are for each component of the F3 project Talk thru the next steps age-size in stock modeling, heterogeneous space in flow modeling, fleet modeling and fishermen behavior, value of information, etc. Work towards integration We need to do this seriously…

Agenda for 2005 F3 All Hands Meeting Jul 12 - ICESS Conf Room - 6th floor Ellison Hall 8:30 Meet and greet 9:00 Dave - Welcome, agenda, goal of meeting [10 min] 9:10 Satoshi - Scaling of larval dispersal in the coastal ocean [30 min] 9:40 Chris - Optimal harvesting of stochastic spatial resources [30 min] 10:10 Discussion (20 min) Meeting goals & plans - Dave 10:40 Break [20 min] 11:00 Individual talks Michael - Modeling heterogeneous fisherman behavior Carey - Interaction of MPA's & catch regulation evaluated using a two stage population model Crow - Fishing for Profit, not Fish 12:00 Lunch - walk over to the UCEN

Agenda for 2005 F3 All Hands Meeting 1:30 Programmatic talks (10 min each just goals & directions) CALobster - Matt NOAA forecast - Steve EBM Group at NCEAS - Chris Salmon Biocomplexity - Ray? Baja Coop Biocomplexity - Chris? Sea Urchin Coop Research - Ray? PISCO - Steve? 2:50 Break [10 min] 3:00 Other presentations [15 min each] Nicolas - Individual based models of sea urchins, fishermen and kelp Tim - Role of headland in determining habitat connectivity Suresh - Impact of poaching on MPA success John - A Theory of Information Sharing in Spatial Search Heather - Dissertation plans 5:00 Discussion of F3 Integration - Dave [20 min] 6:30 Dinner?

Agenda for 2005 F3 All Hands Meeting Jul 13 - ICESS Conf Room - 6th floor Ellison Hall 8:30 Meet and greet 9:00 Ray - Using age structured spatial MPA models to evaluate California MLPA proposals [30 min] 9:30 Dave - Suboptimal management [30 min] 10:00 Chris - Spatial harvesting in the 'real' world [30 min] 10:30 Bruce - Stock-recruitment patterns in the F3 model [30 min] 11:00 Others & discussion? 12:00 Lunch at UCEN 1:30 List of papers to be written 2:00Afternoon tasks 4:00 Assign remaining tasks,

F3 Integration Take on a fishery / management plan – MLPA, Channel Islands MPA Assessment Take on process in F3 and examine its consequences – Stock-recruitment relationships, information flow, fisherman behavior Need to think about integrative publications