Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism.

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Presentation transcript:

Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

1989 Berlin Wall falls in November By Christmas Poland, East Germany, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Rumania, Bulgaria, and Albania have eliminated Communist Governments.

The Transition from Communism 1990 German Unification, October 1990.

The Transition from Communism 1991 Soviet Union ends Christmas Day, 1991.

The Transition from Communism The Puzzle

The Transition from Communism The Puzzle A Marxist Economies < A Market Economies

The Transition from Communism The Expected Pattern Y time

The Transition from Communism The Expected Pattern Y time

The Transition from Communism The Expected Pattern Y time

The Transition from Communism The Actual Pattern Y time

The Transition from Communism Issues Transition Problems Legal Systems Safety Net

The Transition from Communism The People’s Pizzeria The Peoples Pizzeria to be privatized. Shares are transferred to someone –Cannot exercise managerial control –Whole organization is incompetent and collapses in the light of privatization

The Transition from Communism The People’s Pizzeria A MP A PP

The Transition from Communism The People’s Pizzeria A MP A PP

The Transition from Communism The People’s Pizzeria A MP A PP Transition to new businesses means a temporary decline in productivity

The Transition from Communism Managing Miller’s Pizzeria Limited knowledge of how one works in a market economy –Showing up on time Limited legal system –Cannot enforce contracts High level of Corruption

The Transition from Communism The Stages of Transition Feudalism Capitalism Communism

The Transition from Communism The Stages of Transition Feudalism Capitalism Communism Chaos Capitalism

The Transition from Communism The Social Welfare System Hungary –40% income tax –40% social security tax –24% VAT

The Transition from Communism Effective Taxes 100 Forints

The Transition from Communism Effective Taxes 100 Forints 29 Forints Welfare

The Transition from Communism Effective Taxes 100 Forints 29 Forints Welfare 71 Forints

The Transition from Communism Effective Taxes 100 Forints 29 Forints Welfare 71 Forints 29 Forints Income Tax

The Transition from Communism Effective Taxes 100 Forints 29 Forints Welfare 71 Forints 29 Forints Income Tax 42 Forints

The Transition from Communism Effective Taxes 100 Forints 29 Forints Welfare 71 Forints 29 Forints Income Tax 42 Forints 9 Forints VAT

The Transition from Communism Effective Taxes 100 Forints 29 Forints Welfare 71 Forints 29 Forints Income Tax 42 Forints 9 Forints VAT 33 Forints

The Transition from Communism The Response Cheat –Work for yourself –Deduct everything Don’t Work Hard Corruption

The Transition from Communism End ©2003 Charles W. Upton. All rights reserved