Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th, 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005 North San Diego County Transit District Service Area

The SPRINTER – 2005 History & Background

The SPRINTER – 2005 OVERVIEW PUBLIC OPINION: 78% of North County residents recently surveyed believe traffic on Highway 78 is a major issue. FACTS: Heavily traveled with moderate to severe congestion Currently 145,000 vehicle trips/day 74% increase in North County population by 2015 No plans to widen - not economically feasible

The SPRINTER – 2005 Background 1987 SANDAG Highway 78 Corridor Study (determined rail service in corridor is feasible) 1987 TRANSNET 1/2% sales tax approved 1992 SANDAG Transit Corridor Evaluation (determined DMU’s most cost- efficient) 1992 NCTD (with MTDB) purchases 84 miles of track, including The SPRINTER line for $90 million Keeps project costs down

The SPRINTER – 2005 Problems & Issues

The SPRINTER – 2005 Problems & Issues Cal State San Marcos Loop at Highway 78 Overcrossing 37 grade crossings in 22 miles Short-term construction traffic Local outreach and notification Continuing Freight Rail operations during construction Traffic Control Plan to meet Caltrans requirements Implementation of Traffic Control Plan will reduce impacts to less than significant

The SPRINTER – 2005 PROJECT ENGINEERING HIGHWAY 78 Existing Conditions Looking west bound

The SPRINTER – 2005 PROJECT ENGINEERING HIGHWAY 78 Post Development Conditions Looking west bound

The SPRINTER – 2005 Costs & Benefits

The SPRINTER – 2005 Costs Total Construction Costs$205,969,000 Total Non-Constr. Costs$107,062,000 Project Contingency$ 16,400,000 Project Escalation$ 22,069,000 Total Project Budget$351,500,000

The SPRINTER – 2005 Costs--In perspective “Highly Recommended” Project by FTA $16.1 million/mile ($40-50 M National Avg.) 55% locally funded High potential use Annual operating cost for Oceanside - Escondido Rail Project: $12.2 million in first full year of operation Estimated 40-50% farebox recovery rate - consistent with national average

The SPRINTER – 2005 Benefits Potential addition of 4,884 full-time jobs during construction with 6,667 secondary or indirect jobs for the region Addition of 170 on-site jobs for operation and maintenance of the system when it is up and running with 304 indirect jobs generated Improved air quality…Fewer emissions from vehicles on Highway 78 (25-30% decrease in auto traffic) Increased travel capacity in the corridor...You don’t have to use transit to benefit from transit Increased mobility for North County residents: Link to COASTER / AMTRAK / Metrolink Link to BREEZE Link to Interstate 15 and future Bus Rapid Transit Provide bike trail in corridor More access to local schools, jobs and shopping

The SPRINTER – 2005 SERVICE TO STUDENTS Cal State University San Marcos Currently has 8,000 students plus 800 faculty & staff 11,000 students projected by ,000 students projected by 2020 Palomar College 20,000 students currently attend San Marcos campus Mira Costa College 13,616 students by 2005

The SPRINTER – 2005 CSU SAN MARCOS STATION

The SPRINTER – 2005 Potential Ridership

The SPRINTER – 2005 RAIL SERVICE Passenger service every 30 minutes from 5 a.m. to 10:30 p.m. 64 train trips/day Max speed: 50 mph Flat fares proposed $1.50/trip Freight service will continue 2-3 times a week at night Projected daily ridership: 12,000 in ,000 in 2020 Transit riders in corridor: 9,800 on Routes 302, 318 and 320 **Fastest growing ridership in system**

The SPRINTER – 2005 POTENTIAL RIDERS Ridership throughout the day, connections to shopping important 0%20%40%60%80% Work 21% School 12% Shopping 68% Visit friends 51% Other 49%

The SPRINTER – 2005 Diesel Multiple Unit Technology (DMU)

The SPRINTER – 2005 WHY DMU? Ability to operate in existing right-of-way Bi-directional operation Designed for light-density, regional service to heavily-used urban and inter- city rail lines and Bus Rapid Transit Modular design / “building block” approach Multiple - unit capability Lightweight material Self-propelled diesel - no catenary required

The SPRINTER – 2005 Financial Analysis

The SPRINTER – 2005 Financial Analysis Land/Right-of- Way Project ManagementDesignConstruction Final Setup Total Expenses Original Costs Net Present Value (Base) Net Present Value (Scenario #1) Control Panel (all periods in months) Length of Project Planning/Design Period 58 (16) Length of Final Preparation Period 2 (2) Length of Construction Period 22 (14) Total Length of Project 82 (32) Interest Rate (monthly).83% (1.17%) Interest Rate (yearly) 10% (14%)

The SPRINTER – 2005 Scenario Analysis OriginalInterest Rate10% Format( 5.5=5:30 AM, 22.25=10:15 PM) Start time:5.5# Trips/Hr2Fare/person/trip$1.50 Stop time:22Total Trips/Day33Total Daily Riders12,375 Total time (hrs)16.5Train Capacity375Total Daily Revenue$18, Total Yearly Revenue $6,775, NewInterest Rate14% Format( 5.5=5:30 AM, 22.25=10:15 PM) Start time:7# Trips/Hr2Fare/person/trip$1.50 Stop time:17.5Total Trips/Day21Total Daily Riders5,250 Total time (hrs)10.5Train Capacity250Total Daily Revenue$7, Total Yearly Revenue $2,874,

The SPRINTER – 2005 Conclusions

The SPRINTER – 2005 Review State Route 78 Inadequate to carry increasing traffic Total Construction Costs: $350 M Avg. Cost/Mile= $16.1 M (National Avg. $45-60 M) 40-50% Farebox Recovery Rate 12,000+ daily rider when opens in 2005 State-of-the-art DMU Technology Environmentally Friendly, Efficient, Cheap!