Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre ETReC 2007 Hans Volkert (for G. C. Craig) DLR-Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre.

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Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre ETReC 2007 Hans Volkert (for G. C. Craig) DLR-Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre

Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Folie 2 > Vortrag > Autor Goals and Status Identify sensitive regions, i.e. optimal locations for supplementary observations for convective events in two European regions 1. COPS (guidance for targetted observation missions) 2. Mediterranean (preparation for future HYMEX campaign) Status of preliminary work Four case studies from 2006, showing typical weather patterns For first case June , four sets of preliminary results received, Initial impression: variety of methods (good), variety of results (bad)

Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Folie 3 > Vortrag > Autor T-48h make forecast T-36h supplementary observations for verification time of 12UTC Singular Vectors Alexis Doerenbecher MeteoFrance

Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Folie 4 > Vortrag > Autor T-48h make forecast T-36h supplementary observations for verification time of 12UTC ETKF (Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter) Philippe Arbogast MeteoFrance

Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Folie 5 > Vortrag > Autor T-48h make forecast T-36h supplementary observations for verification time of 12UTC Adjoint (MM5) Victor Homar UIB, Spain

Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Folie 6 > Vortrag > Autor T-48h make forecast T-36h supplementary observations for verification time of 12UTC ETKF (Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter) Keir Bovis Met Office, UK

Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Folie 7 > Vortrag > Autor COPS & DLR-IPA a natural research link between scales and laboratories Observations from the atmosphere's natural laboratory ETReC: Falcon upstream missions with 2 lidars + dropsondes Christoph KIEMLE, Reinhold BUSEN COPS: Falcon regional missions; POLDIRAD observations; sat. imag. Christoph KIEMLE, Martin HAGEN Simulations from the numerical laboratories of (forecast) models: ETReC: ECMWF forecasts + ensemble of sensitive regions Andreas DÖRNBRACK, George CRAIG COPS: Mesoscale ensemble with LM(K) + synthetic satellite images Christian KEIL