Debashis Chowdhury WFS-Az, 1/12/10 Hot, Flat and Crowded - major issues - prescribed solutions - personal perspective - alternate solutions.

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Presentation transcript:

Debashis Chowdhury WFS-Az, 1/12/10 Hot, Flat and Crowded - major issues - prescribed solutions - personal perspective - alternate solutions

Energy-Climate Era (year 2000+) Hot – Global warming (or weirding) Flat – burgeoning middle classes – Internet as the ultimate flattener (of info access) Crowded – Global population growth

Business as usual? 1.Continued upswing in global temperature, CO 2 levels, weird weather 2.Loss of Rainforests and Biodiversity 3.Energy Poverty – esp. for the newly flattened 4.Oil and freedom – petro-dictatorships 5.Looming global energy shortages – Oil – Coal – State of the energy grids

Prescribed Solutions More nuclear power (electricity) Carbon sequestration (esp coal fired power plants) More renewables (solar, wind, tidal…) and smart grid More individual conservation, smart appliances/cars… Better conservation standards (cars, buildings, homes) America should lead (system solutions): – Technology, finance, sustained governmental initiative – Cement US global leadership status – New industries, new employment Chinese central planning has its benefits – ‘China for a Day’ to get the process going

The wider perspective Hot  Stressed  distressed? (planet) Flat  Informed, connected (society) Crowded  Urbanization (demographics) The opportunity is much bigger than reclaiming US industry leadership, or riding out the heat wave – It’s about our ability to survive and evolve as a species

Meta level challenges? Emergence of a Global Human consciousness – Atoms  Cells  Humans  Global Humanity? Stabilization of our home environment – Planet earth, at least for the next 200 years Beyond that: Humanity’s Cosmic aspirations… Food for thought: There is already a level of organization at about the scale of organization of Global Humanity? What might it be? What happens to it when we evolve to the next level?

Pervasive Consciousness? Is it possible? Desirable? – Can technology help? Avatar withdrawal? – Should our planet be more like Pandora? CNN reports: On the fan forum site "Avatar Forums," a topic thread entitled "Ways to cope with the depression of the dream of Pandora being intangible," has received more than 1,000 posts from people experiencing depression and fans trying to help them cope.

Backup

Information, Radiation, Mass/Energy triangle eV m m m m 10 5 m 1m m m m - Proton ~ 1fm, 1GeV - Atoms: Carbon ~ 2A, Hydrogen ~ 1A - Eukaryotic Animal Cells: 10-30micron - Human Being - Sun diameter ~1.4x10 9 m Universe Energy (est.) Information Limit ~10 44 bits (Complexity) Nucelar Density Barrier Quantum Photonic Barrier Milky Way Galaxy Univ. Information Limit ~ bits (Complexity) Pure Radiation Material Existence - Solar Cell Energy  Distance 

Yearly Solar fluxes & Human Energy Consumption Solar3,850,000 EJ Wind2,250 EJ Biomass3,000 EJ Primary energy use (2005) 487 EJ Electricity (2005)56.7 EJ Source: Wikipedia, 1EJ = Joules

Human Existence – Universal Context SENTIENCE (Self Awareness) Global Consciousness? -Approx. dimension of earth biomass Visible Universe ~10 26 m - Atoms: Carbon ~ 2A, Hydrogen ~ 1A - Eukaryotic Animal Cells: 10-30micron - Height of typical Human: 1.7 m Milky Way Galaxy ~10 21 m Inter-stellar distance (local) ~ 4x10 16 m Universal Progression (10 5 ) - Nucleus: Carbon~3fm, Hydrogen~1fm - Sun diameter ~1.4x10 9 m Levels of Encapsulation  LIFE MATTER Physical Dimension