le010z185i le100z200i from -,K - : from + from -,K - : from + qe res dis coh qe res dis coh qe res dis coh qe res dis coh Different components to antineutrino spectrum
le010z185i All qe res dis coh qe res dis coh From le010z185i MC to determine fraction of antineutrino spectrum corresponding to each component component/all Use these ratios to determine the components for the le100z200i configuration as well.
from -,K - from + pME LE MC MC with syst MC MC with syst MC MC with syst MC MC with syst Example: qel and res components increased by 30%, pME-POT=1e19
Fluctuate the pME histograms to create fake data set (which now includes these systematics) and fit in usual way:
But original + spectra got modified by systematics, so parLE and parME are not the right parameters to look at to find out systematic error. Consider sucLE and sucME parameters, defined by: Evidently, when no systematics are added then parLE=sucLE and parME=sucME sucLE = #antineutrinos from + predicted by fit, LE #antineutrinos from + in fake data, LE sucME = #antineutrinos from + predicted by fit, pME #antineutrinos from + in fake data, pME For qel and res both increased by 30%, with 1e19 POT of pME-POT ~6.5% systematic error in our antineutrinos from + in LE measurement
qel and res components increased by 30%, different pME-POT 2.5e19 POT 5e19 POT 7.5e19 POT 1e20 POT
qel and res components decreased by 30%, pME-POT = 1e19 from -,K - from + pME LE MC MC with syst
qel and res components decreased by 30%, different pME-POT 2.5e19 POT 5e19 POT 7.5e19 POT 1e20 POT