Eugene Climate Events Since 2000 Not very many real anomalies
Team Results AUG 02 12d < 45 Feb
El Nino/La Nina Expectations Do we see wet/dry hot/cold anomalies that line up with this pattern – not convincingly Do we see wet/dry hot/cold anomalies that line up with this pattern – not convincingly
‘heat waves”
Cold Spells These are subtle but statistically valid: These are subtle but statistically valid:
Excessive La Nina Rain January 2006: inches January 2006: inches November 2006: inches November 2006: inches January 2008: 8.54 inches January 2008: 8.54 inches And that’s about it And that’s about it
February Drought! 2001: : : : : : : : : : “10 % events” in the 8 years 5 “10 % events” in the 8 years P(x) = 1 chance in 815
Water Year Drought : November inches November inches December inches December inches January inches January inches February inches February inches Total9.46 inches Total9.46 inches Expected Total30.73 inches!! Expected Total30.73 inches!!