Late Holocene Changes in Northwest Atlantic Ocean Temperatures Peter deMenocal Tom Marchitto (Lamont-Doherty Earth Obs) Tom Guilderson (CAMS, Lawrence.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
The Ocean perspective on frontal air-sea exchange over the wintertime Gulf Stream or…CLIMODE Redux The separated Gulf Stream (GS) is one of the ocean hot.
Advertisements

Essentials of Oceanography
Climate Variability on Millennial Time Scales Introduction Dansgaard-Oeschger events Heinrich events Younger Dryas event Deglacial meltwater Meridional.
1 Last Glacial Maximum (~20K yrs ago) and afterwards What was climate like during LGM? What happened to end LGM? How has climate varied since LGM? What.
Abrupt Climate Change Evidence of climate changes that are too abrupt to be explained orbitally.
Don’t Discount the Tropics “Challenges to our understanding of the general circulation: abrupt climate change” R. Seager and D.S. Battisti 2007 Laura Zaunbrecher.
Insights into Climate Dynamics from Paleoclimate Data Michael E. Mann Department of Environmental Sciences University of Virginia Richard Foster Flint.
Observed variability of hydrography and transport at 53°N in the Labrador Sea Johannes Karstensen GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel With.
Exploring the spatial patterns of changing surface ocean conditions in the Tropical Atlantic and Pacific Kilbourne, K.H., D. E. Black, J. Nyberg, T. M.
Climate Forcing and Physical Climate Responses Theory of Climate Climate Change (continued)
The Role of Internally Generated Megadroughts and External Solar Forcing in Long Term Pacific Climate Fluctuations Gerald A. Meehl NCAR.
Introduction to Ocean Circulation - Geography 163 Wind-driven circulation of major gyres & surface currents Buoyancy-driven circulation linking the major.
Outline Further Reading: Detailed Notes Posted on Class Web Sites Natural Environments: The Atmosphere GE 101 – Spring 2006 Boston University Myneni L28:
Stratigraphy of climate change Lecture 19. The predominant power in this spectrum is at about 100,000, 41,000 and ,000 years.
Thermohaline Circulation
Thermohaline Circulation Carisa Sousa. Description Defining - terminology –Meridional Overturning Movement –“Overturning” - Pacific and Indian Oceans.
Southern Hemisphere Climate Change Professor Matthew England Climate and Environmental Dynamics Laboratory School of Mathematics, Faculty of Science The.
Abrupt changes in atmospheric circulation from Greenland Ice Cores.
The dominant periodicities are the same as those from astronomical calculations of changes in the Earth’s orbital parameters.
Part IV: Historical Climate Changes Lecture 18: The Little Ice Age (Chapter 15)
Composite of Sea Level – for last 600 k years. Note that SL was not always extremely low during glacial periods. From Rabineau et al, EPSL, 2006.
The 231 Pa/ 230 Th Paleoproxy: How should we interpret the growing observational dataset? Gideon Henderson Alex Thomas Mark Siddall James Rae Ben Hickey.
Ocean Response to Global Warming William Curry Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Wallace Stegner Center March 3, 2006.
Can Global Warming trigger rapid climate change?.
Lecture 30: Historical Climate Part V, ; Ch. 17, p
Global warming is over: Geologic, oceanographic, and solar evidence for global cooling in the coming decades Global warming is over: Geologic, oceanographic,
CLIMATE MODEL SIMULATES GLOBAL COLD CLIMATE DURING LATE MAUNDER MINIMUM ( ) Hans von Storch, Fidel González-Ruoco, Ulrich Cubasch, Jürg Luterbacher,
Paleoclimatology Why is it important? Angela Colbert Climate Modeling Group October 24, 2011.
Global Signatures of the “Little Ice Age” and “Medieval Climate Anomaly” and Plausible Dynamical Origins Michael E. Mann Penn State University with contributions.
CLIMATE MODEL SIMULATES GLOBAL COLD CLIMATE DURING LATE MAUNDER MINIMUM ( ) Hans von Storch, Fidel González-Ruoco, Ulrich Cubasch, Jürg Luterbacher,
Temperature and Salinity Variabitlity on the Scotian Shelf and in the Gulf of Maine BRIAN PETRIE AND KENNETH DRINKWATER.
1 Observed physical and bio-geochemical changes in the ocean Nathan Bindoff ACECRC, IASOS, CSIRO MAR University of Tasmania TPAC.
October 24, 2012 G 610 – Climate of the Holocene Presenter: Erin Dunbar Assistant: Jesse Senzer.
Didier Swingedouw, Laurent Terray, Christophe Cassou, Aurore Voldoire, David Salas-Mélia, Jérôme Servonnat CERFACS, France ESCARSEL project Natural forcing.
Ocean Current Switching: Can changes in ocean circulation cause rapid climate change? Richard Karsten Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Marine Aspects of Abrupt Climate Change NSF ACGEO April 28, 2004 William Curry Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.
Lecture 8 The Holocene and Recent Climate Change.
Physical Variability Atlantic Shelves, Coastal Areas.
Transport in the Subpolar and Subtropical North Atlantic
CLIMATE CHANGES DURING THE PAST MILLENNIUM Michael E. Mann Department of Environmental Sciences University of Virginia Gavin A. Schmidt and Drew T. Shindell.
Part II: Where are we going? Like an ocean... The waves crash down... Introducing OCEAN ATMOSPHERE INTERACTION.
1 Observed physical and bio-geochemical changes in the ocean Nathan Bindoff ACECRC, IASOS, CSIRO MAR University of Tasmania TPAC.
Module 4 Changes in Climate. Global Warming? Climate change –The pattern(s) of variation in climate (temperature, precipitation) over various periods.
DFO Northwest Atlantic Ocean Monitoring & Mooring Programs OSNAP Planning Meeting April 2011 BIO.
Didier Swingedouw, Laurent Terray, Christophe Cassou, Aurore Voldoire, David Salas-Mélia, Jérôme Servonnat CERFACS, France ESCARSEL project Natural forcing.
 In the mid-Pleistocene, the period of glacial cycles changed from 41kyr to 100kyr.  The zonal SST gradient increased during MPT due to the cooling in.
Variability on time scales of decades up to a century in a AOGCM simulation with realistic time-variable forcing Hans von Storch, Eduardo Zorita, Irene.
Lecture 29: Millennial Changes in Other Regions
Visit to FRSGC, Yokohama, 4. July 2003
Fossil coral records of ENSO and “ENSO-like” variability over the last millennium Kim M. Cobb, Georgia Institute of Technology Christopher D. Charles,
INTRODUCTION DATA SELECTED RESULTS HYDROLOGIC CYCLE FUTURE WORK REFERENCES Land Ice Ocean x1°, x3° Land T85,T42,T31 Atmosphere T85,T42,T x 2.8 Sea.
Thermohaline Circulation Lecture Outline 1)What is thermohaline circulation 2)History of understanding 3)Key water masses 4)Formation of deep water 5)Theory.
Global Climate Change: Past and Future Le Moyne College Syracuse, New York February 3, 2006 Department of Meteorology and Earth and Environmental Systems.
Inferred δ 13 C and δ 18 O distributions in the modern and Last Glacial Maximum deep Atlantic Holly Dail ECCO Meeting November 1,
Didier Swingedouw LSCE, France Large scale signature of the last millennium variability: challenges for climate models.
Interpreting the sedimentary record
Ocean Response to Global Warming/Global Change William Curry Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Environmental Defense May 12, 2005 Possible changes in.
Climate Physics and the Problem of Abrupt Climate Change Presentation given to the GEO 302C April 8, 2005 Charles Jackson Institute for Geophysics UT-Austin.
Recent Variability in Ocean Climate in the Scotia-Maine and Adjacent Regions Brian Petrie, Roger Pettipas, Charles Hannah Bedford Institute of Oceanography.
Climate Change and Global Warming Michael E. Mann Department of Environmental Sciences University of Virginia Waxter Environmental Forum Sweet Briar College.
10/24/03search_osm_10_032 Abrupt Change in Deep Water Formation in the Greenland Sea: Results from Hydrographic and Tracer Time Series SEARCH Open Science.
Climate Change Forcing of Intense Oceanic O 2 Minimum Zones n Existence dependent on interplay of ocean physics and biogeochemistry - focus on ETP n Paleo-evidence.
Climate Changes over Past Millennia Peter deMenocal (Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory)
Paleoclimatic Changes recorded in Deep-Sea Sediments Antje Voelker Laboratorio Nacional de Energia e Geologia (LNEG) & CIMAR L.A. Delegate to ECORD Science.
The 8.2Kyr event Julia Tindall Freshwater hosing experiments Ron Kahana.
Our water planet and our water hemisphere
Abrupt climate change
North Atlantic Sub-Polar Gyre
Investigating Dansgaard-Oeschger events via a 2-D ocean model
Climate Change on Millennial Time Scale During the Last
Presentation transcript:

Late Holocene Changes in Northwest Atlantic Ocean Temperatures Peter deMenocal Tom Marchitto (Lamont-Doherty Earth Obs) Tom Guilderson (CAMS, Lawrence Livermore Nat. Lab) Claude Hillaire-Marcel (GEOTOP, Univ. Montréal, Canada)

Holocene 1-2 kyr ice rafting cycles (Bond et al., 2001)

N. Atlantic Holocene climate records Surface cooling was widespread... synchronous everywhere?

The Plan... Measure Mg/Ca and  18 O composition of N. pachyderma (right) to monitor Late Holocene changes in NW Atlantic SSTs: –Core site situated near the subpolar gyre - N. Atlantic Drift boundary –Is N. pachy (right) a faithful, surface-dwelling species? –How well does NPR Mg/Ca composition track SSTs? –How large were past SST changes in this region? –How do these changes compare with lithic indices? –Implications & conclusions

Orphan Knoll: MC23, GGC024

Labrador Sea Bloom: May-June Nova Scotia Newfoundland

Orphan Knoll: Hydrographic Setting

Labrador Sea Water LSW spans m; T ~3.2°C, S ~34.85 psu LSW historically very sensitive to surface climate changes. –Responds to NAO forcing of surface climate and fluxes –During high NAO state: Cooling of Lab. Sea SSTs LSW formed is cooler, fresher, and thicker. Very rapid response (LSW “vintages”); Sy et al., Upper NADW (LSW) ventilation ~4 Sv.

LSW Shutdown ( ) GSA (Lazier, 1980)

Reconstruct Holocene changes in upper NADW Multicore (10MC) and Gravity core (09GGC) taken in Sedimented spur on Laurentian Slope m water depth. Within the modern core of LSW (upper NADW). ~16 cm/kyr sed. rate. 10MC 09GGC

Foraminiferal Mg/Ca vs. temperature C. pachyderma data from Lear et al. (2002)

Foraminiferal  18 O as a temperature/salinity proxy calcite  18 O decreases with temperature seawater  18 O increases with salinity Mg/Ca +  18 O foram => f(T,  18 O sw, S) Mg/Ca = f(T)  18 O foram = f(  18 O sw, T)  18 O sw = f(S) Lynch-Stieglitz et al. (1999)

Laurentian Slope core 10MC/09GGC Mg/Ca and  18 O data (1854 m)

LSW cold during IRD eventsLSW cold during glacial advances 10MC/09GGC results vs. time

Estimating “paleo-LSW” properties

Late Holocene “paleo-LSW” properties LSW instrumental (Yashayaev et al., in press) LSW past 4000 yr much greater T:S variability than instrumental record reduced density during cold, fresh periods

Part 2: Labrador SSTs during the late Holocene Two cores from the Labrador Sea: Orphan Knoll - Multicore (23MC) and Gravity core (24GGC) taken in S. Greenland - Box core taken by C. Hillaire-Marcel (Univ. Quebec). 23MC 24GGC

Mg/Ca and modern Labrador SSTs Southern Labrador Sea core site (23MC) Mg/Ca on N. pachyderma (right) Coretop Mg/Ca value indicates “modern SST” of 6.6±0.7°C Consistent with sediment trap evidence for late spring bloom.

Labrador SSTs WARM during “cool events”!

Summary of results

Part 3: Implications Cooling and freshening of upper NADW during late Holocene “cool events”. –Changes were many times larger than historical. –During cool events, LSW (upper NADW) may have formed elsewhere because... Labrador Sea was warm during the LIA and latest Holocene “cool events”. –Supports initial findings by Keigwin and Pickart (1999). –Suggests that the Holocene events may have a “NAO-like” signature - regionally assymetric.

Pacemaker of Holocene climate variability appears to have been solar luminosity... Bond et al., 2001

Solar Variability: Century-scale “pulsing” of Solar luminosity Only ~0.25% variability of incoming radiation (visible)

Regional climate responses to solar variability Shindell et al. (2001) simulated climate during the Maunder Minimum (1680’s) using a GCM with full stratosphere representation. Reduced irradiance during the Maunder minimum led to strat. ozone redistributions which amplified the cooling (global cooling of -0.4°C). Modeled surface temperature changes resembled a negative NAO pattern, with cooling over northern Eurasia and warming over the Labrador Sea region.

Modeled surface temperature changes during the Maunder Minimum (ca AD) Annual Temperature change (°C; Shindell et al., 2002) Persistent negative NAO pattern

Longest European climate records also suggest “persistent negative NAO” during the LIA (Luterbacher et al., 2002)

Negative NAO climate signatures during the LIA? Northern Eurasia, N. Atlantic cool? YES Labrador Sea warms? YES Reduced Labrador Sea Water formation? –Perhaps. LSW may have shoaled above core depth Cooler tropical ocean SSTs? (Hoerling et al., 2001) –Perhaps. Cooler and drier western tropical Atlantic during LIA (Black et al., 1999; Haug et al., 2001; deMenocal et al., 2000).

Labrador Sea Water at 1800m (Pot. Vorticity minimum) MC10 GGC09 (from R. Curry, WHOI)

Labrador Sea Water convection (TTO & WOCE data) deep convection shallow convection

Solar Variability and Climate Long history of proposed linkages (Blanford, 1891!) Cosmogenic isotopes: 10 Be, 14 C Contains decadal- to millennial-scale variability 0.25% solar constant variation = 0.50°C ∆T. From Stuiver et al. (1998)

Labrador Sea Water at 1800m (Pot. Vorticity minimum) (from R. Curry, WHOI)