11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Databases and the Future (Cont.) University of California, Berkeley School of Information Management and Systems.

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11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Databases and the Future (Cont.) University of California, Berkeley School of Information Management and Systems SIMS 257: Database Management

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Review Predicting the future… Quotes from Leon Kappelman “The future is ours” CACM, March 2001 Accomplishments of database research over the past 30 years Next-Generation Databases and the Future Source: Silberschatz, Stonebraker, and Ullman, Database Systems: Achievements and Opportunities. CACM 34(10) (Oct. 1991)

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Where … the ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have only 1000 vacuum tubes and weigh only 1.5 tons –Popular Mechanics, 1949

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home. –Ken Olson, president and chair of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977.

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson 640K ought to be enough for anybody. –Attributed to Bill Gates, 1981

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Examples (requiring improvements in database technology) NASA EOSDIS Computer-Aided design The Human Genome Department Store tracking Insurance Company

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson New Features New Data types Rule Processing New concepts and data models Problems of Scale Parallelism Tertiary Storage Heterogeneous Databases

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Coming to a Database Near You… Browsibility User-defined access methods Security Steering Long processes Federated Databases IR capabilities The Semantic Web

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Some things to consider Memory and Storage will keep getting cheaper (and probably smaller) Bandwidth will keep increasing and getting cheaper (and go wireless) Processing power will keep increasing –Moore’s law Put it all together and what do you have?

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Today A brainstorming exercise –May give some hints about where DBMS may be going –Ideas for next generation DBMS

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Today – DBMS and Usability What do you hate about Database Management Systems –From your experiences –In general What do you like about Database Management Systems –From your experience –In general

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Hate about DBMS

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Like about DBMS

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson DBMS and Usability What features would you like to see in DBMS?

11/27/2001Database Management -- R. Larson Features